Is the Cold War really over?

It has been 27 years since the end of the Cold War.

However, the heat is on again between the United States and Russia over missiles and nuclear weapons.

US President Donald Trump accuses the Russians of violating a 31-year-old arms treaty. He recently announced that Washington is pulling out of it.

Russian President Vladimir Putin says if he does, Moscow will build new missiles.

Is another arms race about to start?

Presenter: Richelle Carey

Guests:

Pavel Felgenhauer – defence and military analyst

James Nixey – head of Russia and Eurasia programme, Chatham House

Lawrence Korb – former US Assistant Secretary of Defence

Source: Al Jazeera

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GOP hawks to Trump: Iran is the bigger threat in Syria


Lindsey Graham

Taking troops out of Syria will “be seen by Iran and other bad actors as a sign of American weakness in the efforts to contain Iranian expansion,” Sen. Lindsey Graham said. | Zach Gibson/Getty Images

Foreign Policy

Some Republicans vehemently disagree with Trump’s claim that ISIS is the ‘only reason for being’ in Syria.

As reports emerged that he plans to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria, President Donald Trump hinted at why: “We have defeated ISIS in Syria, my only reason for being there during the Trump Presidency,” he wrote on Twitter.

But to some of Trump’s own national security advisers, the U.S. presence in Syria is really about another foe: Iran.

Story Continued Below

Instead of vanquishing the Islamic State, a job not yet done, some believe the more important mission in war-torn Syria is combating the creeping expansion of Tehran’s influence across the region — even if that means an indefinite U.S. deployment.

These Trump supporters were scrambling Wednesday to change Trump’s mind, insisting that removing U.S. troops from the Arab state could undermine his own “maximum pressure” campaign against the Islamist regime in Tehran, which the Trump administration has accused of empowering anti-Israel militant forces in Syria.

Taking troops out of Syria will “be seen by Iran and other bad actors as a sign of American weakness in the efforts to contain Iranian expansion,” Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), a national security hawk and top Trump ally, said in a statement listing several reasons not to leave.

“When the U.S. pulls out of Syria, we are basically turning the country over to the Russians and to Iran, and primarily to Iran,” warned Republican Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), another foreign policy hawk.

Since its start in 2011, the bloody conflict in Syria has expanded and drawn in outside players including the United States, Russia, Israel, Iran, Turkey and others, as the death toll has risen toward half a million people.

The U.S. officially has 2,000 forces there help local fighters battle the Islamic State, a small but strategic contingent that American officials and Trump-allied lawmakers paint as giving the U.S. at least some leverage in protecting its allies and pushing forward peace talks.

It’s been enough of an argument to convince Trump to keep some U.S. troops in Syria so far, despite his own conflicting impulses and mercurial nature.

At times the president has wanted to completely withdraw troops from Syria. But he’s also been willing to launch airstrikes against the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad over its use of chemical weapons, while also insisting he wants to eliminate the Islamic State, also known as ISIS.

But the U.S. troops have served another major purpose: counterweight to Iran and its influence operation in the country.

Tehran has devoted significant military resources to shore up the Assad regime, giving Assad, who’s also gotten a boost from Russia, an edge over rebels and other forces trying to end his brutal rule.

Iran’s presence has given the country’s proxies — among them the anti-Israel Shiite militia Hezbollah — more room to maneuver, build bases and keep weapons.

The cover offered to these groups has greatly aggravated Israel, a major U.S. ally that Trump has vowed to protect. The country has launched numerous airstrikes designed to curb Iranian and Iran-affiliated forces in Syria. The U.S. forces in Syria — even a relatively small number — are seen as a buffer of sorts to Israel as Iran slogs forward.

Iran’s moves in Syria also concern America’s Arab allies, such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, who fear the growing power of the Shiite Muslim-led theocracy in Tehran.

Trump has made countering Iran one of the biggest and clearest parts of his foreign policy. The Republican president has pulled out of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, imposed a massive number of sanctions on Tehran and is pressuring other countries to stop importing Iranian oil.

The Trump administration has demanded, among other things, that Iran withdraw all of the forces under its command from Syria, a demand Trump aides have repeatedly echoed.

Just this Monday, U.S. Special Envoy for Syrian Engagement James Jeffrey said of the Iranian presence in in Syria: “We see no reason to tolerate this. We see no reason for this to be there. … Our position is that they need to go.”

Three months earlier, White House national security adviser John Bolton suggested that the U.S. military presence in Syria could be indefinite because of Iran.

“We’re not going to leave as long as Iranian troops are outside Iranian borders and that includes Iranian proxies and militias,” he is reported to have said in New York.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, meanwhile, has conditioned future U.S. assistance to Syria on the departure of Iran. “If Syria doesn’t ensure the total withdrawal of Iranian-backed troops, it will not receive one single dollar from the United States for reconstruction,” he said in October.

These Trump aides and other supporters make clear that the U.S. has multiple interests in trying to bring peace to Syria.

The fight against terrorist groups in the country is not yet over, despite Trump’s claims. Remnants of the Islamic State are still fighting, and there are worries that the group will return as an insurgent force, even if it lacks control over any territory.

Similarly, there are concerns about Russia’s increased influence in the country if the U.S. withdraws completely, a concerning prospect given Russian President Vladimir Putin’s revanchist aspirations.

But given the president and his administration’s fixation on the Iranian threat, Trump’s willingness to consider a full withdrawal is especially startling. There is a growing sense among observers of the region that Tehran is more committed to Syria than Russia.

“The Iran hawk wing of the U.S. government’s foreign policy establishment ought to feel betrayed by this decision,” said Charles Lister, an analyst with the Middle East Institute.

In his comments Wednesday, Rubio pointed to another concern should the U.S. leave: “America looks unreliable,” he said. “Our partners in the region now view at America as a nation that’s looking to get out, not looking to stand by our commitments.

“They will compare us to Vladimir Putin, who has stuck by Assad the whole time. They will compare us to Iran, who has stuck by Assad at all times. And they will compare the United States to that and say ‘America is unreliable.’”

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UAE says US-Taliban talks show ‘positive’ result

The United Arab Emirates said talks it is hosting between the United States and Taliban have yielded “positive” results.

The US-Taliban “reconciliation talks” produced “tangible results that are positive for all parties concerned”, the UAE’s official WAM news agency said on Wednesday.

A new round of talks would be held in Abu Dhabi “to complete the Afghanistan reconciliation process”, it said without providing further details.

The two days of meetings in the Emirati capital are Washington’s latest attempt at ending Afghanistan’s 17-year conflict, which has cost it nearly $1 trillion since 2011 when it led an invasion to oust the Taliban following the September 11 attacks. 

WATCH: Taliban meet US officials in the UAE (02:16)

President George W Bush’s administration at the time accused the Afghan group of harbouring Osama bin Laden, the leader of al-Qaeda, which carried out the attacks. 

The Taliban, which has not confirmed meeting Afghan officials, said it had held “preliminary talks” with the US envoy.

US envoy Zalmay Khalilzad said he had “productive” meetings in the UAE with Afghan and international partners “to promote intra-Afghan dialogue towards ending the conflict”.

Khalilzad tweeted he met with Pakistani officials on Wednesday to brief them before travelling to meet Afghan leaders in Kabul.

He said he would like to see a “roadmap” agreement reached before Afghan presidential elections, scheduled for April.

In another breakthrough, three representatives of the Haqqani network – Hafiz Yahya, Saadullah Hamas and Dr Faqeer – were also present at the talks, The Associated Press quoted an anonymous Taliban source as saying.

Although part of the Taliban, the Haqqani network has its own military committee. Its leader, Sirajuddin Haqqani, is deputy head of the Taliban. The group’s prowess on the battlefield makes its presence at the meeting particularly significant because it’s unlikely any agreement could be enforced without their support.

Other attendees included officials from Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, which along the Emirati hosts were the only other countries to recognise Taliban rule during its five-year reign starting in 1996.

The Taliban has refused to meet directly with the Afghan government, viewing it as a puppet of the United States. 

The armed group controls nearly half of Afghanistan and is more powerful than at any time since the 2001 invasion.

“We called for an end to the invasion and they insisted on the exchange of prisoners,” a Taliban official told Reuters news agency of the talks, adding there was no discussion about a cease-fire.

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Roy Williams, UNC Agree to 8-Year Contract Extension Through 2027-28 Season

North Carolina head coach Roy Williams reacts during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Gonzaga in Chapel Hill, N.C., Saturday, Dec. 15, 2018. North Carolina won 103-90. (AP Photo/Gerry Broome)

Gerry Broome/Associated Press

The University of North Carolina and head basketball coach Roy Williams reached an agreement Wednesday on an eight-year contract extension through the Tar Heels’ 2027-28 season.

UNC athletic director Bubba Cunningham announced the new deal, and Williams made a statement about his contracts with the school and apparel company Nike.

“I’m grateful and humbled in the University’s continued faith in my leadership of the basketball program. When I coached at Kansas my contracts with Nike and our media partner were private, and UNC respected and honored that for 15 years. However, times have changed and understanding the environment that college basketball faces now, Chancellor [Carol] Folt, Bubba and I agreed the correct and proper thing would be to disclose those terms.”

Williams has led North Carolina to three NCAA Division I championships (2005, 2009 and 2017) since taking over the program in 2003. He owns a 432-128 record across 15-plus seasons at the helm.

The 68-year-old North Carolina native, who played for UNC’s freshman squad, started his collegiate coaching career with the Tar Heels as an assistant to the legendary Dean Smith for a decade, starting in 1978.

He left Chapel Hill in 1988 to become head coach at the University of Kansas. He guided the Jayhawks to a 418-101 record and four Final Four appearances in 15 years before returning to UNC.

Williams, a two-time Associated Press College Basketball Coach of the Year, is a member of both the College Basketball and the Basketball Halls of Fame.

In August, North Carolina dedicated the floor inside the Dean Smith Center as the Roy Williams Court.

“It was emotional for me,” Williams told the NCAA.com March Madness 365 podcast about the honor. “It’s hard to talk about. It was very flattering…to have my name on the court inside the building named for coach Smith is pretty special.”

It’s shaping up to become another title-contending season for the Tar Heels following an 8-2 start, including a victory over the No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs on Saturday.

Williams continues to find consistent high-end success, and UNC rewarded him with a long-term deal.

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DRC election: Governor bans campaigning in capital Kinshasa

The governor of Kinshasa, capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has banned campaigning in the city ahead of Sunday’s presidential vote for security reasons, a move denounced by the opposition.

Andre Kimbuta, a member of the ruling coalition, announced his decision on Wednesday following crackdowns by security forces on opposition supporters last week that killed at least seven people and caused a fire that destroyed thousands of voting machines.

“The information in our possession attests that in all the political camps of the main presidential candidates, extremists have prepared and are preparing for a street confrontation in the city of Kinshasa during election campaign activities,” Kimbuta said in a statement, without elaborating.

The long-delayed election is meant to choose a successor for President Joseph Kabila, who is due to step down after 18 years in power. If successful, it would be the DRC’s first democratic transfer of power.

Kinshasa is an opposition stronghold, where security forces killed dozens of people during protests against Kabila’s refusal to step down when his mandate officially expired two years ago.

Campaigning is due to end at midnight on Friday in the race between Kabila’s preferred successor, Emmanuel Ramazani Shadary, and two main challengers, Felix Tshisekedi and Martin Fayulu.

‘Regime’s fear’

Fayulu had scheduled a rally in Kinshasa on Wednesday.

“Kimbuta’s only objective is to prevent Martin Fayulu’s rally. This hasty cancellation, while the crowd is already mobilised, is dangerous and shows the regime’s fear,” Moise Katumbi, a Fayulu supporter, wrote on Twitter.

Opposition leaders say the government is trying to rig the results in Shadary’s favour with new electronic voting machines and falsified voter registrations. The government denies it has engaged in fraud.

Kimbuta said the only way presidential candidates could campaign in Kinshasa would be through the media, where Shadary has a clear advantage due to sizeable campaign funds and state or ruling party control of many media outlets.

However, a rare national opinion poll in October showed Tshisekedi leading the race at 36 percent, well ahead of Shadary’s 16 percent. Fayulu had eight percent.

More than 40 million people in DRC are eligible to cast their vote on Sunday. 

The elections are a huge challenge for the DRC, which has not seen a peaceful transition of power since it gained independence from Belgium in 1960.

Kabila, 47, who succeeded his assassinated father in 2001, is at the helm of a government that critics say is notorious for corruption, incompetence and rights abuses.

Kabila should have stepped down in 2016 but he stayed on, invoking a caretaker clause in the constitution. Protests against this move were bloodily repressed.

Twenty-one candidates are vying to replace him.

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Fifth Harmony Forecast: How Each Member Is Poised To Dominate 2019



Getty Images

Fifth Harmony once made a song in which they declared they’re “Better Together,” but this year may have proven otherwise. The group’s four remaining members — Lauren Jauregui, Ally Brooke, Normani, and Dinah Jane — announced in March that they would be taking an indefinite hiatus while pursuing solo careers. And they have done just that, with promising efforts that prove the best is still to come.

While Camila Cabello continues to forge a commanding path — this year alone, she notched a No. 1 album and No. 1 song, won the top prizes at the VMAs, opened for Taylor Swift on tour, and earned two Grammy nominations — her former bandmates are working on their own albums. Below, see how each of them laid the foundation for their solo debut, and find out what lies ahead for them in 2019.

  1. LAUREN JAUREGUI

    How she defied “Expectations” in 2018: The first taste of Lauren’s solo slayage came in June, when she opened a few dates on her pal Halsey’s tour. Those sets previewed the diverse material Lauren had been working on, including her fiery closing song, “Expectations.” The smoky jam arrived in October as her official debut solo single, and came accompanied by a cinematic video in which Lauren unleashed both her angelic and devilish sides. She continued to show fans her true colors with a slew of stunning magazine spreads — including Playboy, Galore, and LADYGUNN — and even took home a pair of Teen Choice Awards: Choice Female Hottie and Choice Electronic/Dance Song for her Steve Aoki collaboration, “All Night.”

    What’s next for 2019: She’s teased “much more to come” next year, which you can bet means her debut solo album is on the way. In an interview with Nylon (yet another mag she covered this year), the 22-year-old revealed plenty of tidbits about the impending LP: she wrote every song, some tracks pay tribute to her Latin roots, she sings romantically about both men and women, and it all stems from her own, singular perspective.

  2. ALLY BROOKE

    How she wrote a new chapter in 2018: Judging by the year she’s had, Ally may be the most versatile of the 5H ladies. The 25-year-old appeared as herself on an episode of Famous in Love in the spring, but we didn’t hear anything on the music front until August, when news broke that she had joined the roster at Atlantic Records. Her first release was the Latin-tinged banger “Vámonos,” a Spanish-language collaboration with Dutch production trio Kriss Kross Amsterdam and Dominican trap rapper Messiah, who joined Ally in performing the track at the ALMA Awards in November. Not long after, Ally got into the holiday spirit with a cover of Wham!’s “Last Christmas” — which she performed at the famed Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade — and then surprised fans by announcing that she was writing a tell-all memoir. Acting, singing, writing… Ally’s talents know no bounds.

    What’s next for 2019: That memoir, entitled Finding Your Harmony, hits bookshelves on April 2, 2019. But aside from penning tales about her childhood and her 5H days, she’s also been writing plenty of new music. In September, she posted pics from an all-female writing camp she hosted, revealing that she’s been “creating amazing music” with female writers, producers, and engineers. “Been pouring out my soul,” she wrote. “I can’t wait for y’all to hear.”

  3. NORMANI

    How she made “Waves” in 2018: Normani has always fancied herself a mini Beyoncé, and her solo moves this year prove she’s on the right track to making that lofty goal a reality. A month before 5H announced its hiatus, Normani released “Love Lies,” a collaborative slow jam with Khalid that’s become a monster hit. A steamy music video and a few killer live performances later, the song topped the Billboard Mainstream Top 40 chart and even reached the top 10 on the Hot 100. That paved the way for Normani’s slew of fresh releases and features over the past few months. Among them (deep breath, please): a pair of tracks with Calvin Harris (“Checklist” and “Slow Down”); a verse on Jessie Reyez’s “Body Count (Remix)” alongside Kehlani; a feature on Quavo’s “Swing“; and her own R&B single “Waves” with 6LACK. Oh, and on top of all that, she was affectionately dubbed “that bitch” by Nicki Minaj at the 2018 VMAs.

    What’s next for 2019: Just joining one of the most hotly anticipated tours of the year; no big deal. Normani has been booked as the opening act on the North American leg of Ariana Grande’s massive Sweetener World Tour, hitting arenas in the spring. No word yet on whether or not her debut album will arrive before that, but it definitely sounds promising — she recently revealed that she hit the studio with one of Grande’s go-to producers, Pharrell, and told Paper that she’s “really hands on in every single aspect” of her new music.

  4. DINAH JANE

    How she unbottled her potential in 2018: After celebrating her 21st birthday over the summer, Dinah kickstarted her new year by dropping “Bottled Up,” an effervescent collaboration with Ty Dolla $ign and Marc E. Bassy. The trio performed together on The Tonight Show and then joined forces for a glossy, neon-lit video that snatched scalps. And just when fans thought “Bottled Up” would be the only solo Dinah material they’d hear in 2018, she debuted a pair of new songs at Jingle Ball in early December: “I Don’t Mind” and “Retrograde,” the latter of which is rumored to be her next single.

    What’s next for 2019: The same as her other bandmates: a new album! Dinah has reportedly been working with songwriters Priscilla Renae (5H’s “Work From Home”) and Mozella (Miley Cyrus’s “Wrecking Ball”), and she recently teased her sonic direction as “urban R&B meets ’90s to 2000s.” Hopefully she doesn’t keep that music bottled up for too much longer.

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US weighs complete withdrawal of troops from Syria: US media

The United States is considering a total withdrawal of its forces from Syria, US media reported on Wednesday, citing unnamed US officials. 

Such a decision, if confirmed, would upend assumptions about a longer-term US military presence in Syria, which US Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and other senior US officials had advocated to help ensure ISIL. 

Still, President Donald Trump has previously expressed a strong desire to bring troops home from Syria when possible.

On Wendesday, Trump tweeted, “We have defeated ISIS in Syria, my only reason for being there during the Trump Presidency.” He did not elaborate and the White House has not commented on the possible troop withdrawal, which was first reported by the Wall Street Journal. 

The timing of the withdrawal was not immediately clear and US officials who spoke to Reuters news agency on the condition of anonymity did not disclose details about the deliberations, including who was involved. It was unclear how soon a decision could be announced.

The Pentagon declined to comment.

Turkey factor

The United States still has about 2,000 troops in Syria, many of them special operations forces working closely with an alliance of Kurdish and Arab groups known as the Syrian Democratic Forces, or SDF.

The partnership with the SDF has outraged NATO ally Turkey, which views the US-backed Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) as an extension of a armed group fighting inside Turkey.

The deliberations on US troops come as Ankara threatens a new offensive in northern Syria.

On Monday, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said his country may launce the new military operation at any moment, adding that Trump has given a positive response to Turkey’s plans. 

The announcement came days after Erdogan announced that Turkish forces would launch a new cross-border operation against the YPG  to the east of the Euphrates River in northern Syria.

The US is supporting Kurdish forces east of the Euphrates, where YPG troops have been fighting against ISIL. 

But Ankara recently again voiced frustration about what it says are delays in the implementation of a deal with the US to clear the YPG from the town of Manbij, located west of the Euphrates in YPG-controlled areas.

 

Sizeable US military presence would be left in region

A complete withdrawal of US troops from Syria would still leave a sizeable US military presence in the region, including about 5,200 troops across the border in Iraq.

Much of the US campaign in Syria has been waged by warplanes flying out of Qatar and other locations in the Middle East.

Still, Mattis and US State Department officials have long fretted about leaving Syria before a peace agreement can be reached to end that country’s brutal civil war, which has killed hundreds of thousands of people and displaced around half of Syria’s prewar population of about 22 million.

In April, Mattis said, “We do not want to simply pull out before the diplomats have won the peace. You win the fight – and then you win the peace.”

ISIL is also widely expected to revert to guerilla tactics once it no longer holds territory. A US withdrawal could open Trump up to criticism if ISIL reemerged.

Trump has previously lambasted his predecessor, Barack Obama, for the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq that preceded an unraveling of the Iraqi armed forces. Iraqi forces collapsed in the face of ISIL’s advance into the country in 2014.

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McConnell to introduce short-term funding bill to avert shutdown


Mitch McConnell

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell plans to introduce a bill funding the government through Feb. 8 on Wednesday, the GOP leader said on Wednesday.

The legislation comes after President Donald Trump softened his stance on demanding $5 billion in border funding and after congressional Democrats rejected a longer-term offer on Tuesday that would have boosted border security.

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Watch Ariana Grande Hit Those Whistle Notes In Christmasy TV Debut Of ‘Imagine’



YouTube/NBC

Ariana Grande‘s “Imagine” is wonderful. Its slow-burn tenderness is a nice counterpoint to the punchy virality of “Thank U, Next,” and “Imagine” opens itself up further the more you listen and find resonance within your own life and via your own experiences. Tuesday night (December 18), Ari brought that same grace to The Tonight Show, where she debuted the song on TV for the first time with a little help from The Roots.

Clad in a red Christmas sweater and singing in front of a wreathed and lighted stage setup, Grande made her way through the tune with some added live bounce from the band around her — culminating in a series of whistle notes. There’s something extra whimsical about it with the added holiday flare, you know?

“Imagine” is the second taste of her upcoming fifth studio album, Thank U, Next, which will likely drop sometime in early 2019. Grande’s been teasing it quite a bit, both in interviews and in candid replies to her fans on social media. One thing we can expect for sure is “feminine energy and champagne and music and laughter and crying.”

Ari also joined in recreating one of the most iconic holiday performances of all time: the goofy glory of “I Wish It Was Christmas Today,” first executed by Jimmy Fallon, Tracy Morgan, Horatio Sanz, and Chris Kattan on Saturday Night Live in 2000. In this update, all the major players returned, and Grande stood between Kattan and Morgan with her hands on Kattan’s shoulders. Christmas cheer.

Watch both of those videos above, then check out MTV News’s roundup of everything you need to know about Ariana’s Thank U, Next album.

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Obamacare’s secret base: America’s middle class


The healthcare.gov website for 2019 open enrollment

The sweeping court ruling invalidating the Affordable Care Act shows how hard it is to relitigate parts of Obamacare without harming measures that benefit virtually every American. | Patrick Sison/AP Photo

Health Care

From free mammograms to no lifetime limits, the health law has changed coverage in ways that are popular. A new court ruling puts that at risk.

Millions of middle-class Americans who get health coverage through work have been getting Obamacare benefits for years — whether they know it or not.

And millions of older Americans who rack up big drug costs under Medicare get more financial help through Obamacare — whether they know it or not.

Story Continued Below

Now a Texas federal judge who just invalidated the entire health care law has put them at risk — whether they know it or not.

The sweeping court ruling shows how hard it is to relitigate parts of Obamacare without harming measures that benefit virtually every American, including people who don’t even buy insurance from the Obamacare markets.

“The Affordable Care Act has a lot of provisions people are very familiar with, but also a lot of things critical to some populations that are not as well-known,” said Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.), who just won reelection with a campaign heavily focused on defending popular patient protections. “With the sweeping ruling … all of those are placed in jeopardy, and people face real uncertainty.”

Since U.S. District Judge Reed O’Connor’s surprise decision Friday night, most of the attention has focused on the immediate threat to pre-existing condition protections and health insurance for 20 million people covered through Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion and subsidized insurance markets. If the ruling is ultimately upheld after appeals, that would all be wiped away.

But the 2010 health law has numerous other benefits that millions more have been getting for years now and have come to take for granted. Features like letting young adults stay on their parents’ plan, eliminating caps on insurance benefits, free preventive care and helping seniors pay their drug bills are popular among Democrats and Republicans alike — though polling shows people don’t always know they were part of Obamacare.

“A lot of this has flown under the radar; people can’t identify that the Affordable Care Act gave them these things,” said Mollyann Brodie, who runs Kaiser Family Foundation’s polling. “But once you give people something, they get concerned when you take it away.”

“Obamacare had all the bad stuff — the Affordable Care Act is different,” said Tom Miller, a health care expert at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, gently mocking the American public’s confusion about one law known by two names.

Pro-ACA advocates plan on reminding them of those protections.

Brad Woodhouse, executive director of Protect Our Care, told POLITICO the organization is about to launch an effort to highlight these benefits, using them to try to get Republicans to join a Democratic effort to kill the Obamacare lawsuit brought by 20 conservative states — and to broaden the public constituency for preserving the law.

“All these things that are at stake — it’s a litany that we sort of got away from,” Woodhouse said. “Beginning today, we’re going to start talking aggressively about those things.”

Republicans don’t have a unified stance on these benefits. Some would favor legislation to protect certain provisions, as part of a larger post-Obamacare bipartisan deal. If people really lost their insurance, Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said, it would be a long-awaited catalyst for bipartisan solutions.

“If everyone around here took their meds that day, we would all get together and pass something,” he said.

Others would prefer to leave it to free markets and the states.

“Obviously, voters will demand certain benefits, and state lawmakers will provide them,” said conservative activist Dean Clancy, who now leads an organization promoting health savings accounts.

But as much as he detests Obamacare, Clancy thinks it will survive the court challenge “entirely or mostly intact” but with enough structural problems that Congress will have to revisit it, again and again.

“Obamacare will never be out of the woods, not for a really long time,” he said. “So it’s always going to be part of our politics, I guess.” And right now, in his view, the threat to benefits favors the Democrats.

The next phase of the political fight — activating public opinion during the appeal of the Texas ruling, which could spill into the 2020 election season — may well focus on protections like coverage of young adults, or no-charge preventive services like mammograms and childhood vaccines. That could put Republicans on defense again, much like pre-existing conditions protections did during the failed repeal efforts that set the stage for Democratic gains in the 2018 elections.

Kaiser’s most recent tracking poll, in November, found most of these middle-class coverage provisions had around 80 percent approval among the public — much higher than the health law overall. While Democrats tended to have more favorable views, a majority of Republicans also liked them.

AEI’s Miller also thinks some of the animus toward Obamacare has dissipated after the GOP eliminated the individual mandate penalty — the law’s most unpopular provision — in its tax cut last year. Getting rid of the penalty, Miller said, also made it harder for Republicans to keep up their decadelong war on a health law that contains many things people like.

Obamacare’s political constituency turned out in a big way for the midterms, becoming one of the major forces in returning Democrats to power in the House of Representatives, flipping seven governorships and recapturing more than 300 seats in state legislatures.

Exit polls found voters cited health care more than any other single issue as the most important factor in their vote, and they overwhelmingly trust Democrats more than Republicans on health policy. Obamacare has also become more popular than ever, and strong majorities say it’s important to keep barring insurers from turning away people with pre-existing conditions or charging them higher insurance premiums.

O’Connor, a George W. Bush appointee, ruled last week that Obamacare could not stand without the individual mandate Congress had scrapped. The Trump administration, which broke from tradition of defending laws the federal government enforces, had urged the judge only to strike the law’s protections for pre-existing conditions.

Republican lawmakers, including many who just campaigned on saving pre-existing conditions, have been scrambling to distance themselves from the judge’s ruling.

“The judge’s ruling was far too sweeping,” said Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), who faces reelection in 2020 and was one of the three GOP senators who blocked the party’s repeal efforts in 2017. “He could have taken a much more surgical approach and just struck down the individual mandate and kept the rest of the law intact.”

“There are many good provisions of the law,” Collins added. “Those should be retained.”

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