Tom Cotton ramps up pressure on Trump to attack Iran


Tom Cotton

Sen. Tom Cotton‘s goal: “To inflict enough pain on Tehran that they realize that we’re not going to tolerate these kind of attacks on the high seas.”

| Mark Wilson/Getty Images

defense

The hawkish Republican senator is waging a lonely campaign to bomb the Islamic Republic.

Tom Cotton is the most outspoken champion for bombing Iran in a Senate filled with Republican hawks. And he’s got President Donald Trump’s ear on it, too.

The Arkansas Republican has spoken to several high-ranking U.S. officials and the president himself about the rising tensions with Iran after the U.S. blamed the Islamic Republic for attacking two oil tankers. He declined to describe those conversations beyond saying that he and Trump “discussed the threat that Iran poses to the United States and its partners.”

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But in an interview in his Capitol office on Tuesday, he offered a hard-line case for the president to take action now and not wait, as some of his GOP colleagues are advocating.

“There are more than ample targets that can deter Iran from this kind of malicious behavior whether it’s naval bases or munition storage or refining capabilities,” Cotton said.

His goal? “To inflict enough pain on Tehran that they realize that we’re not going to tolerate these kind of attacks on the high seas.”

Cotton’s eyebrow-raising advocacy campaign comes after several months of lying low in the Senate after a stinging defeat on criminal justice reform and a series of instances in which he broke with Trump, typically a close ally. Cotton voted against the president’s immigration plan to reopen the government and opposed lifting sanctions on Russian companies. He also panned the administration’s plan to bring in more guest workers.

Cotton says he’ll be his own senator despite his alliance with Trump, and he often preserves his political capital for key moments like this one when the president is on the edge of a major decision. On Monday, Trump signaled his resistance to a new Middle East conflict, telling Time magazine that Iran’s attacks have been “minor” and he “wouldn’t say” he’s gearing up for military action.

“I tend to agree with the president a lot more than I did with the last one. And when I don’t, I’ll try to change his mind on numerous occasions, most unknown publicly,” Cotton said. “But if I can’t, then I’ll vote in what I think is the best interest of Arkansas and the nation.”

Cotton first made his suggestion to immediately attack Iran on CBS’ “Face the Nation” on Sunday, an assertion that put Cotton on the leading edge of the GOP’s hawkish wing. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says the intelligence makes clear Iran is responsible for damaging tankers in the Gulf of Oman, behavior Cotton argues will escalate for months if not years if the United States lets it slide.

In interviews Tuesday, several Republican senators itching for a more aggressive approach to Iran said they sympathize with Cotton but can’t explicitly endorse military action. Some say it’s too aggressive, some say it’s not Congress’ job to make such suggestions and others worry the president lacks the legal authority to attack another sovereign nation.

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who is also close to Trump and a vocal foreign policy interventionist, suggested that the United States should threaten to destroy oil refineries but not act without further provocation.

Trump is “dead set against Iran’s behavior, that you can’t be intimidated,” said Graham, who added that Trump is not ruling anything out in private conversations. Graham played golf with Trump over the weekend.

“Sen. Cotton’s probably right, but being the moderate guy I am, I would put them on notice,” Graham added.

Cotton disagrees. And to hear him tell it, there’s little risk in launching what he calls a “retaliatory strike” in reaction to two recent tanker attacks in the Gulf of Oman: “Whatever Iran thinks they can do to the United States or our security partners in the region we can do tenfold to them. One hundredfold to them.”

“We should be doing all we can to avoid confrontation with Iran. Now, if they are striking American personnel, then that’s another story. But so far, we haven’t seen that,” responded Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), another national security hawk. “It’s premature. I don’t believe the [authorization] that we have right now covers Iran.”

But Cotton’s aggressive line on Iran is a return to form.

His first months as a senator in 2015 were defined by his campaign against President Barack Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran, beginning with a letter signed by most Republican senators warning the next president could withdraw from any agreement. Then Cotton played a leading role in Trump’s withdrawal from the deal, which some have blamed for exacerbating the tensions with Iran.

Now, the 42-year-old senator says the United States should drop the diplomacy and attack, citing President Ronald Reagan’s strike on Iran’s navy more than 30 years ago.

Using his staccato twang to go against the party line is nothing new: Cotton helped sink Paul Ryan’s border adjustment tax, savaged the House GOP’s Obamacare repeal bill and led an ultimately unsuccessful effort to thwart the criminal justice reform bill championed by Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner.

These pushes have often put him at odds with his GOP colleagues. And on Iran, Cotton asserted that he’s not alone despite reservations from fellow Republicans about calling the military’s shots in the halls of the Senate.

“More Republicans, even if they haven’t spoken out in public, believe it’s time to take a firmer hand toward Iran given the outrages they’ve perpetrated over the last month or so,” Cotton said.

It’s certainly true that Republicans in the Senate are broadly pushing for a more aggressive stance toward Iran. But Cotton’s position is currently a lonely one in the party, and some Republicans seem almost apologetic they can’t endorse it.

“That’s a military decision that I would leave to commanders,” said Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) “You can make a compelling argument for what he’s saying that what they’ve already done reaches the basis for retaliation. He may be right.”

“Cotton is right on. They’re the enemy,” said Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.), who chairs the Senate Armed Services Committee. Regarding military strikes, however, he added: “I’m just not going to say that’s my idea, too.”

What’s helped embolden Cotton is that Iran is his signature issue. One of the youngest senators, Cotton also served combat tours in Iraq and Afghanistan, perhaps giving his military arguments more sway with his colleagues and the president.

But Cotton is not advocating for a return to a ground war or a sustained air campaign to produce regime change, like that of Obama in Libya. Instead he wants “exactly the kind of action that President Reagan took against Tehran in 1988,” when the United States launched an attack on Iran’s navy after an Iranian mine damaged a U.S. ship.

Cotton added that the military is ready when Trump is: “It’s fair to say that our military is always prepared on the commander in chief’s directives. And part of the job of our senior commanders is to ensure our commander in chief has multiple courses of action to keep the country safe.”

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UN aid chief: Syria, Russia attacks on civilians ‘deliberate’

United Nations officials alleged that Syria‘s and Russia‘s forces may be deliberately targeting hospitals and schools in the rebel-held northwest of Syria as a tactic aimed at “terrorising” civilians.

Both Syria and Russia denied the accusations on Tuesday.

UN aid chief Mark Lowcock told the UN Security Council since late April the World Health Organization had confirmed 26 incidents affecting healthcare facilities in the Idlib region.

Civilian facilities often provide their exact coordinates to military officials involved in conflict zones to help protect them from inadvertent artillery or air strikes.

Lowcock said some hospitals in northwestern Syria were now not sharing their locations with warring parties because it “paints a target on their back”.

“Hitting a facility whose coordinates were shared as part of the UN’s deconfliction system is simply intolerable,” said Lowcock. “A number of partners  … have drawn the conclusion that hospital bombings are a deliberate tactic aimed at terrorising people.”

He said the United Nations was reconsidering its de-confliction system and would inform the UN Security Council next week of its conclusions.

Lowcock told the Security Council since Syrian troops began pushing into Idlib on April 30 an estimated 330,000 people have been forced to flee their homes and more than 230 civilians have died.

‘Decisively reject’

Russia and Syria questioned the sources of the UN information on the attacks on civilian infrastructure.

“We decisively reject any accusation of indiscriminate strikes. We’re not carrying out attacks on civilians,” Russian UN Ambassador Vasily Nebenzia said.

Syrian UN Ambassador Bashar al-Jaafari added: “Syrians and allies do not target schools or hospitals.”

But other ambassadors suggested the practice was indeed taking place.

“Many of those in the civilian infrastructure have stopped giving coordinates because they are concerned giving the coordinate means maybe those people who shouldn’t get the coordinates receive them and use them,” said the German Ambassador to the UN Christoph Heusgen.

Marc Pecsteen, Belgian’s ambassador to the UN, also supported the accusations.

“There is no justification whatsoever [for attacks on civilian facilities]. Even in the fight against terrorism, there is no reason to target a school or a hospital,” said Pecsteen.

Crumbling ‘de-escalation’

Idlib is the last remaining bastion of anti-government rebels after eight bloody years of civil war.

Russia, which supports Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s forces, and Turkey, long a backer of rebel groups, cosponsored the de-escalation pact for the area that has been in place since last year.

But the deal has faltered in recent months, forcing hundreds of thousands of civilians to flee.

“I am deeply concerned about the escalation of the fighting in Idlib, and the situation is especially dangerous given the involvement of an increased number of actors,” UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres told reporters, appealing to Russia and Turkey “to stabilise the situation without delay”.

“Let me underscore, even in the fight against terrorism, there needs to be full compliance with international human rights and international law,” he added.

UN political chief Rosemary DiCarlo told the council for Syria’s close ally Russia, the presence in Idlib of the former al-Qaeda affiliate Hay’et Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) “is not tolerable”, and “for Turkey, time is required to effectively isolate and address HTS’ most hardline fighters”.

‘Not a humanitarian catastrophe’

Nebenzia said the de-escalation deal with Turkey ” was being fully implemented” telling Security Council members it “doesn’t ban but rather encourages the fight against terrorism”.

He added all military activities were in response “to provocations from terrorists” saying HTS controls 99 percent of the Idlib de-escalation zone.

“We think that the issue is not that it’s a humanitarian catastrophe,” Nebenzia said.

“It’s clear that the issue is the desire to keep the territories that are not under Damascus’ control for as long as possible regardless of who prevails in them.”

Syria’s war has killed hundreds of thousands of people and displaced millions since it started in 2011 with the repression of anti-government protests.

The conflict has become a geopolitical battleground with Russia, the United States, Iran, Turkey and several Gulf nations all involved and backing various forces. 

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UN rights investigator to issue report on Khashoggi killing

UN rights investigator to issue report on Khashoggi killing
Agnes Callamard is the UN’s special rapporteur on extrajudicial, summary or arbitrary executions [Karim Kadim/AP]

UN extrajudicial executions investigator, Agnes Callamard, is set to release her report on the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi on Wednesday.

Callamard, who has led an international inquiry into Khashoggi’s killing in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul last October, said after a visit to Turkey this year that the evidence pointed to a brutal crime “planned and perpetrated” by Saudi officials.

Khashoggi’s remains have not been found but Callamard has said that she and her team of forensic and legal experts had access to a part of “chilling and gruesome audio materials” of his death obtained by the Turkish intelligence agency.

Her report is expected to include recommendations on criminal accountability of both states and individuals.

The CIA and some Western countries believe Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, also known as MBS, ordered an operation to kill Khashoggi, a critic of the crown prince’s policies and Washington Post columnist.

Saudi officials deny these suspicions.

Khashoggi’s killing by a team of Saudi operatives on October 2 provoked widespread revulsion and marred the image of the crown prince, who was previously lauded for advancing changes in the conservative kingdom including tax reform, infrastructure projects and allowing women to drive.

Callamard has denounced the lack of transparency at the kingdom’s secretive hearings for 11 suspects accused in the murder.

She has called on Saudi authorities to reveal the defendants’ names, the charges against them and the fate of 10 others initially arrested.

US President Donald Trump’s administration said it was pressing its close Middle East ally Saudi Arabia to show “tangible progress” towards holding to account those behind the Khashoggi killing.

Washington wants the Saudis to do so before the one-year anniversary of his murder, a senior administration official said last week.

The report is set to be released online at 10:00 GMT on Wednesday on the website of the UN Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner.

Callamard is due to present it on June 26 to the UN Human Rights Council, whose 47 member states include Saudi Arabia.

The French national is also director of the Global Freedom of Expression initiative at Columbia University in New York.

SOURCE:
News agencies

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Rocket hits site of foreign oil firms in Iraq’s Basra, two hurt

A rocket landed at the headquarters of several global major oil companies, including US giant ExxonMobil, in Iraq’s southern city of Basra early on Wednesday, wounding two Iraqi workers.

It was the latest in a spate of attacks on oil infrastructure in the region. 

The rocket hit the Burjesia residential and operations headquarters west of Basra, Iraqi police said.

Al Jazeera’s Charles Stratford, reporting from Basra, said a local security official said Exxon had evacuated some 20 foreign staff immediately. Other companies operating at the site include Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Italian Eni SpA.

The oil ministry is saying that oil production in the area has not been affected by this attack,” Stratford said.

“[But] we are seeing what can only be described as an increase in frequency of such incidents, over the last month and a half there have been a number of incidents involving rockets fired at what has been interpreted to be foreign interests here,” he added.

More soon … 

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Clint Capela Trade Rumors: Celtics Have ‘Checked In’ on Move for Rockets Star

Houston Rockets center Clint Capela (15) in the first half of an NBA basketball game Friday, Feb. 1, 2019, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

David Zalubowski/Associated Press

The Boston Celtics and Houston Rockets had preliminary discussions about a trade centered around Rockets center Clint Capela, according to SNY’s Ian Begley.

ESPN.com’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported May 29 that Houston was willing to entertain trades for basically its entire roster, Capela included.

It’s unclear whether Boston’s pursuit of Capela will continue in light of recent events. Shams Charania of The Athletic and Stadium reported the Celtics are “preparing for strong scenario that All-Stars Kyrie Irving and Al Horford will leave as free agents.”

The Boston Herald‘s Steve Bulpett reported Horford is now looking for a four-year contract and is prepared to explore all of his options in order to get it. Regarding Irving, Charania reported the star point guard “has been communicative and forthright with top Celtics officials since the season ended, with private and public signals that he will leave the organization in free agency — likely for the Brooklyn Nets.”

Suddenly, the Celtics are looking at a 2019-20 season in which they could fall well out of the NBA title picture.

Because of that, acquiring Capela may not be the best use of Boston’s assets.

Capela turned 25 in May and averaged 16.6 points and 12.7 rebounds this past season. He’s also owed a little more than $66.2 million over the next four years, which is a reasonable sum given his age and production.

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The Swiss international would theoretically be a good fit for a team built around Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Gordon Hayward and Marcus Smart. The problem is that the Rockets could likely demand a high price for Capela.

The Boston Globe‘s Adam Himmelsbach reported Saturday the odds of a Capela trade coming together appeared slim “because Boston would not have interest in surrendering the players needed to complete the trade.”

As good as Capela is, he wouldn’t significantly improve the Celtics’ championship hopes. And parting with one or two skilled young players would exacerbate what is already a tenuous time for the franchise.

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A ‘muted’ Johnson inches closer to PM chair after TV debate

London, United Kingdom – The frontrunner to become Britain’s next prime minister edged precariously one step closer to Downing Street last night after an at times messy television debate largely spared him from detailed scrutiny of his Brexit policy.

However, Boris Johnson – who has pledged to take the UK out of the European Union on October 31 without a withdrawal deal – came under pressure in the BBC discussion over tax cut pledges and comments that have earned him a reputation as reckless.

Upstart rival Rory Stewart – who has pledged to avoid a “no deal” Brexit at all costs – was unable to capitalise on unexpected momentum he had gained earlier in the day during a second poll among Conservative MPs, who are whittling down the field of candidates.

“My colleagues and I all came to the same conclusion – we felt it was a bit of a rabble really,” said Dr Anthony Ridge-Newman, a senior lecturer at Liverpool Hope University and the head of conservatism studies in the UK.

“There is no clear narrative coming out because all the candidates are trying to compete with each other.”

Dr David Jeffery, a lecturer in British politics at the University of Liverpool who has studied the Conservative Party, described the debate as “a bit of a farce” in which members of the public posing questions to the candidates clearly came away dissatisfied.

“Nobody moved away from their pre-prepared scripts. At some points Boris Johnson looked a bit uncomfortable – but there was nothing there that changed the status quo.”

All eyes on Johnson

The debate was the first in which the Brexit approach proposed by Johnson – who was “empty chaired” in a similar programme on Sunday by broadcaster Channel 4 for refusing to turn up – could be dissected in public.

Although his bid to become Conservative leader and, as a result, Britain’s prime minister, now appears unstoppable – in a vote earlier in the day Johnson secured the support of 126 out of 313 Conservative MPs – but critics say he remains vulnerable.

His campaign strategy has been to keep a low profile and avoid journalists, despite being a highly paid newspaper columnist himself whose florid language often gets him into trouble – once comparing Muslim women in burqas to “letterboxes”.

Jeffery said: “Boris Johnson was definitely muted – he wasn’t forcing himself into the spotlight because he doesn’t need to. His first choice would have been to not be there today. His second choice is to say as little as possible, and avoid making a gaffe.”

Staying below the parapet put Johnson at particular risk from attack by Stewart – who has openly denounced his Brexit strategy as bogus, and is the only candidate to rule out ‘no deal’.

In the debate the frontrunner’s pledge to cut taxes for high earners was also heavily criticised by other candidates.

Johnson told viewers: “We must come out on the October 31 because otherwise I am afraid we face a catastrophic loss of confidence in politics. The British people are getting thoroughly fed up. They were asked a question, they returned a verdict, the politicians said they were going to honour that verdict, and three years later we have still failed to leave.

“Unless we get out on October 31, I think we will all start to pay a really serious price.”

According to Ridge-Newman, by keeping his head down Johnson has enhanced his strategic position in the contest, which will eventually go to a final vote in July among 160,000 Conservative Party members.

“He has clearly been schooled in the last couple of weeks in terms of a very clear strategy to essentially make him come across as a lot more boring than we have ever seen Boris before.

“I actually think it is absolutely the right strategy for him, because although he didn’t really engage much in the debate or offer anything new or particularly interesting, it was absolutely his to lose.”

Stewart fires a blank

Stewart, who has scored well with television audiences but is not the favourite of Conservative Party members, failed to live up to the momentum he had gained in recent days.

Insisting that the way to unify a divided country was to be “honest and realistic”, he said: “If I were lucky enough to be your prime minister I am committed that there would never be ‘no deal’ – it is unnecessary, it is damaging, and it is so unnecessary and damaging that it is not even a credible threat.”

Jeffery said that despite Stewart’s leap in Tuesday’s ballot – in which he doubled his support – he had not come across well.

“He is saying basically the only thing we have got is Theresa May’s withdrawal agreement, which is still hideously unpopular with Conservative Party members. So nothing has changed.”

Ridge-Newman added: “Stewart has been talked up a lot in the last couple of days and I think it is possibly even going to his head, because he was very awkward in the debate.”

Hunt, Gove and Javid

The race now appears to be on for second place to secure a slot in July’s final runoff among Conservative members, with foreign secretary Jeremy Hunt vying with environment secretary Michael Gove as the two most likely runners up.

Hunt told the BBC debate: “We have to resolve Brexit and we have to resolve this quickly because this is about the trust of the British people in people like us, the politicians, and whether we actually do what we are told or whether we impose our will – and we mustn’t let them down.”

Gove, an architect of the victory secured by the “Leave” campaign in the 2016 Brexit referendum but damaged by an admission that he snorted cocaine, described Stewart’s approach as “cooled porridge”.

However, he admitted that a short delay after the October 31 Brexit deadline might be necessary to achieve the UK’s aims.

“You sometimes have extra time in football matches in order to slot home the winner,” he said. “My view is that the most important thing is to win for Britain and that means getting out, honouring the vote.”

Home secretary Sajid Javid – currently polling last among the five candidates – said: “One of the fundamental mistakes we have made so far is that we didn’t prepare well enough for ‘no deal’ – and that’s why we are in this mess today.”

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‘Keep America Great’ makes the crowd go wild


Donald Trump

President Donald Trump during his re-election kickoff rally at the Amway Center on Tuesday in Orlando, Florida. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

President Donald Trump officially launched his reelection campaign Tuesday, and few things got the assembled crowd going like a modified slogan.

Speaking in Orlando, Fla., Trump issued a common refrain for his rallies and asked the audience of supporters which slogan it preferred: the classic “Make America Great Again” or the more recent “Keep America Great.”

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When he announced the latter, the audience exploded in screams, prompting the president to cover his ears, before the arena burst into chants of “USA! USA! USA!”

“Wow, I’m sorry, MAGA country,” Trump said. “That wasn’t too close.”

Trump has tested out the new slogan in past appearances, and Keep America Great posters have already become a fixture at Trump rallies. But as the president officially announced the start of his reelection efforts, his comments offered a subtle nod that he was ready to move on from his old slogan.

“How do you give up the greatest theme of all time with a new theme?” Trump said. “If I lose, people are going to say what a mistake that was. But we’re not going to lose, so it’s not going to matter.”

Few things defined Trump’s meteoric rise in the lead-up to 2016 as his MAGA slogan and merchandise did. Make America Great Again hats have maintained a steady presence in the president’s public life, appearing in visits abroad and outings to disaster-stricken areas of the country.

Regardless of the rising popularity of a new theme, Trump returned to his classics at the end of the Orlando rally, bellowing to the crowd: “We will make America strong again, we will make America safe again, and we will make America great again,” before heading off the stage to the sound of the Rolling Stones’ “You Can’t Always Get What You Want.”

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Trade Packages and Landing Spots for Chris Paul

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    Rick Bowmer/Associated Press

    The two-year partnership between Chris Paul and James Harden in Houston appears to be at its end. On Tuesday, Yahoo Sports’ Vincent Goodwill reported that the relationship between the two star guards is “unsalvageable,” and that Paul had asked Rockets management for a trade.

    Despite Paul’s credentials as a future Hall of Famer and arguably the best point guard of his generation, finding a palatable trade for him will be a tall task for Rockets general manager Daryl Morey. Paul is 34 years old and has long-standing concerns about his health and durability. He’s also due $124 million over the final three seasons of his contract, including a staggering $44.2 million in the 2021-22 season, when he will be 36 years old.

    In his role on the board of the players’ union, Paul helped to negotiate an over-38 max contract provision that essentially only benefits himself and his close friend, LeBron James. Now, that same provision will make it extremely difficult for the Rockets to find a viable trade for an expensive, past-his-prime version of Paul.

    The best the Rockets can hope for in this situation, in all likelihood, would be a swap of bad contracts with another team looking to get off some long-term money. It’s unrealistic to expect Paul to be able to fetch an attractive package of picks or young players, but there are a few teams who could be in position to roll the dice on a Paul trade while giving the Rockets a different mix of players to put around Harden.

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    Stacy Bengs/Associated Press

    Minnesota Timberwolves get: Chris Paul

    Houston Rockets get: Andrew Wiggins, Jeff Teague

    This would be a swap of bad contracts in hopes that a fresh start would rejuvenate all of the players involved.

    Wiggins has been largely disappointing throughout his five-year career, and he has four years remaining on the max extension he signed in October 2017. Putting him next to Harden, in a situation where he’d have less responsibility as a primary creator on offense, would give him a new lease on life in the NBA.

    Teague’s expiring contract will help the Rockets clear some money off their books after 2019-20 while giving them a proven short-term solution at point guard.

    With Derrick Rose likely priced out of a return and Tyus Jones entering restricted free agency, the Timberwolves need help at point guard. New president of basketball operations Gersson Rosas spent more than a decade in the Rockets’ front office and was involved in the decision to trade for Paul in the first place.

    Given their preexisting relationship, Rosas could sell Paul on the young Timberwolves as a landing spot for the final years of his career.

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    Matt Slocum/Associated Press

    Miami Heat get: Chris Paul, Clint Capela

    Houston Rockets get: Hassan Whiteside, Goran Dragic

    Paul is close friends with Dwyane Wade, who retired at the end of the season but still has strong ties to Miami Heat. He would fit into the culture of hard work established throughout the organization by team president Pat Riley and head coach Erik Spoelstra.

    Including Capela, whom the Rockets seem ready to move on from, would give the Heat a strong rim protector and finisher who has proved to work well with Paul.

    Whiteside has been open about his frustration with his role in Miami and would assuredly welcome a change of scenery in Houston. Both he and Dragic are entering the final year of their contracts, which will help the Rockets as they look to clear long-term salary to continue to build around Harden for the rest of his prime.

    In the meantime, both players will allow the Rockets to remain competitive next season.

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    Doug McSchooler/Associated Press

    Washington Wizards get: Chris Paul

    Houston Rockets get: John Wall, a future first-round pick

    This is a straight swap of All-Star point guards in toxic situations with huge contracts and health concerns.

    Wall’s deal is just as onerous as Paul’s (more than $170 million over the next four seasons), and he’ll spend much of the 2019-20 season rehabbing a torn Achilles. That short-term sunk cost and the extra year on Wall’s contract is why Washington would have to include a first-round pick.

    Once Wall gets healthy, Houston would be betting that he and Harden can fit together better than Harden and Paul did.

    The Wizards, meanwhile, would get out from under Paul’s contract one year earlier than they would with Wall’s. They’d get more short-term production out of a (relatively) healthy Paul next to Bradley Beal as they look to get back to the playoffs after a disastrous 2018-19 season ravaged by injuries and dysfunction.

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    David Zalubowski/Associated Press

    San Antonio Spurs get: Chris Paul

    Houston Rockets get: DeMar DeRozan, Patty Mills

    Chris Paul and San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich feel like a match made in heaven. Paul would have an ideal pick-and-pop partner in LaMarcus Aldridge, too.

    As presently constructed, the Spurs are never going to be more than they are right now—a playoff team without any real hope of contending—so taking a gamble on Paul’s final years might make sense.

    The fit between Harden and DeRozan is questionable, as both are ball-dominant scorers. However, Harden has burned out in recent years down the stretch as he’s had to shoulder too much of Houston’s scoring load.

    DeRozan would at least give the Rockets another go-to scorer. He could also be moved in another trade down the line.

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    Matt York/Associated Press

    Utah Jazz get: Chris Paul

    Houston Rockets get: Derrick Favors, Dante Exum, Kyle Korver

    The Jazz may be in the market for a veteran point guard to replace Ricky Rubio, who is likely to leave in free agency. They had discussions with the Memphis Grizzlies at February’s trade deadline about Mike Conley, and those talks could pick up again in the coming days.

    If they fall through, Utah could look to Paul as an option. He’d have some scoring help in Donovan Mitchell and a great finishing and rim-protecting big in Rudy Gobert.

    This deal would give the Rockets options and flexibility. Favors’ $16.9 million salary for 2019-20 is nonguaranteed, while Korver’s deal is only partially guaranteed. Houston could keep either player or flip them as expiring contracts. Either way, this trade would help the Rockets create cap room beyond next season.

    Exum has injury problems, but he could be a reclamation project in the backcourt.

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UN calls for ‘prompt and transparent’ probe into Morsi’s death

The UN has called for a “thorough and transparent investigation” into the death of Mohamed Morsi in court, as thousands of people across the Middle East paid their respects to Egypt’s former president.

The UN human rights office on Tuesday said the investigation should encompass all aspects of his treatment during nearly six years of his incarceration.

Egypt’s first democratically president was buried in a small family ceremony early on Tuesday a day after he suffered a fatal heart attack in a Cairo court, his sons said.

“Concerns have been raised regarding the conditions of Mr Morsi’s detention, including access to adequate medical care, as well as sufficient access to his lawyers and family…,” UN human rights spokesman Rupert Colville said in a statement.

“The investigation should be carried out by a judicial or other competent authority that is independent of the detaining authority and mandated to conduct prompt, impartial and effective investigations into the circumstances and causes of his death,” he said.

Morsi was overthrown on July 3, 2013 after barely in power for a year in a coup staged by current President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and placed under house arrest before being moved to prison.

Erdogan attends prayer

Morsi’s death has brought an outpouring of condolences from around the Middle East.

“I mourn, for myself and all the free people of the world, the death of a great striver on the path of freedom,” said Tawakkol Karman, joint recipient of Nobel Peace Prize.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan attended a prayer service in Istanbul for the former Egyptian president.

At Istanbul’s Fatih mosque, where thousands joined in prayers, Erdogan called Morsi a “martyr” and blamed Egypt’s “tyrants” for his death, adding that he doesn’t believe that Morsi died of natural causes.

President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan

The Turkish president called Morsi a “martyr” and blamed Egypt’s “tyrants” for his death [Kayhan Ozer/Anadolu Agency]

“I don’t believe that this was a normal death,” Erdogan, a key supporter of Morsi, said.

The Turkish president also denounced the Egyptian authorities for burying Morsi discreetly, with only a small number of family members and confidants present.

Exiled Egyptian opposition politician Ayman Nour called Morsi “a martyr who was killed deliberately”.

Amr Darrag, senior member of Brotherhood’s political party who also lives in exile, said “Sisi is the murderer and there must be a transparent and independent international investigation.”

Rights bodies, Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, have also called for credible investigation into Morsi’s death.

“The government of Egypt today bears responsibility for his death, given their failure to provide him with adequate medical care or basic prisoner rights,” HRW said in a statement to Al Jazeera.

“He’s been in prison and treated worse than the already terrible conditions for Egypt’s prisoners,” Sarah Leah Whitson, executive director of the HRW’s Middle East and North Africa division, told Al Jazeera, decrying Morsi’s “terrible but entirely predictable” death.

“The Egyptian government has known very clearly about his declining medical state. He had lost a great deal of weight, he had fainted in court a number of times and was being kept in almost around-the-clock solitary confinement.”

What does Morsi’s death mean for Egypt?

A leading member of the Muslim Brotherhood group, Morsi won Egypt’s first free presidential election in 2012, a year after an uprising that toppled longtime leader Hosni Mubarak.

Turkey’s ruling AK Party supported Morsi’s government and many Brotherhood members and supporters have fled to Turkey since its activities were banned in Egypt in 2013.

“There are Arab dissidents and journalists who have been residing in Turkey since the Arab Spring began and people are here to give support for Morsi’s cause,” Al Jazeera’s Sinem Koseoglu, reporting from Istanbul’s Fatih Mosque, said. 

At the time of his death, Morsi, 67, faced a host of legal charges, which he, along with many human rights groups and independent observers, said were politically motivated.

Thousands of members of now outlawed Muslim Brotherhood organisation, who were arrested in the crackdown following the 2012 coup, are still languishing in jails.

Egypt’s government has dismissed accusations that the former president was badly treated.

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‘Every hero becomes a bore at last’


Donald Trump

President Donald Trump kicks off his 2020 campaign in Florida on Tuesday night. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

2020 elections

With 2020 underway, Donald Trump needs to keep the ‘Trump Show’ interesting.

Hillary Rodham Clinton could not stop him, and Robert Mueller so far has landed something less than a fatal blow. So the task of defeating Donald Trump in 2020 may now fall to Ralph Waldo Emerson.

“Every hero,” wrote 19th-century America’s foremost man of letters a century before Trump was born, “becomes a bore at last.”

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And every villain, too, Democrats are urgently hoping from their own vantage point.

So far, however, Trump is beating Emerson in early returns. The raucous chants and cheers of thousands of backers Tuesday night at a rally in Orlando, Fla., where the president launched his reelection campaign, underscored the obvious: The 45th president is hero to some and boor to others, but he is for most Americans anything but a bore.

Four years after he served notice to an incredulous political class that he was not joking — he really intended to run for president and win — Trump has retained his abilities to provoke and thrill, to make soft-spoken people spit and foam, to endlessly entertain that segment of the population that enjoys seeing the other segment in a state of outrage. He still sends his partisans into paroxysms of ecstatic devotion. Against all odds, long after one might have supposed he would have surrendered any ability to shock people by defying precedents or shredding old standards of decorum, he still has not lost his ability to surprise.

Above all, he has not lost his ability to make himself the story on command. “I’m done with him,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the other day. Perhaps those words were sincere, but the sentiment has yet to catch on with cable news, or for that matter with most of Pelosi’s fellow Democrats, who loathe Trump on nearly every point but agree with the incumbent on the one most important to him: There is no subject in contemporary politics so deserving of discussion as Trump.

The Florida rally, with a size and enthusiasm calculated to make Joe Biden envious, implicitly raised a key 2020 question: At what point has Trump broken so many norms that he has become the new normal, the status quo he rails so effectively against, and therefore burns away the very source of his appeal?

The reason Trump so far has avoided this fate may be that he is defined by paradox, which in turn creates suspense: No one can confidently say how this story will end.

His reelection prospects put the Trump paradox under a bright light.

Seen in one light, it is easy to imagine Trump once again defying his haters and winning another term. As my colleague Scott Bland notes, when you run the numbers on some of the most influential models favored by economists and political scientists to predict incumbent performance, they typically point to his reelection. These models — such as one by scholars at Yale University and another by Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz — rely in either full or heavy measure on economic performance. Not only is unemployment low, 3.6 percent, but popular perceptions of the economy are strong: 71 percent of respondents to a Quinnipiac University poll last month said the economy was excellent or good, the highest rating since 2001. Steven Rattner, a financier and former Obama administration official, recently summarized the models in The New York Times. The bottom line was clear: Ordinarily, presidents just don’t lose in these circumstances.

But in another light, it is hard to imagine how Trump could possibly win. The current approval rating average from the FiveThirtyEight site shows Trump at 42.5 percent approving versus 53.2 percent disapproving. While Trump’s approval rating has a solid floor, thanks to ardent supporters, it also has a seemingly impenetrable ceiling—never over 50 percent. Ordinarily presidents just don’t win in these circumstances.

Of course, none of the operatives trying to reelect Trump or trying to beat him have any confidence that they know what “ordinary” means anymore.

Nor, likely, would any of Trump’s three immediate predecessors likely answer the question with much confidence. The Trump moment did not spring out of nowhere. Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama all have experience trying to navigate around, and sometimes exploit, the tribal, hyper-partisan, conspiracy-minded politics which vaulted Trump to power, and which he now expects will keep him there. But they surely are all confounded by how things they thought were rules of the game so far have not applied to Trump.

Clinton would have loved to fire hostile FBI director Louis Freeh every bit as much as Trump wanted to fire FBI director James Comey. But only Trump did it. Clinton survived the investigations of his term by insisting that he was rigorously “compartmentalizing” his public work away from private travails. Trump makes no such distinction, moaning constantly about the unfairness of the probes into his conduct, and says he is being treated worse than any other president. How many voters believe Trump cares more about his or her problems than his own?

Bush and his team knew how to use societal divisions over war or cultural debates like gay marriage to electoral advantage. But even when doing so he never retreated from his claim that he saw the job as president as being a uniter. Are there voters who were impressed by Bush’s vow to “restore honor and dignity to the White House” who are backing Trump for reelection because they think he has done so?

Obama believed the public wants their presidents focused on big questions, and not dragged down in “cable chatter.” Is there a Trump voter who loves his policies but is concerned by reports that the president watches several hours of cable news each day, and sometimes is stirred to personnel and policy decisions based on what he has seen?

Those were three presidents who each won two terms by following political rules as they understood them. (It has happened only once before that three U.S. presidents in a row served two full terms, in the early 1800s with Virginians Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, and James Monroe). Can Trump really believe he will make history — with a fourth consecutive two-term presidency — by breaking those very rules?

The answer may lie partly in one more paradox: Trump is in numerical terms the most voluminous teller of falsehoods ever to occupy the presidency. The Washington Post’s “Fact Checker” team has the 45thpresident closing in fast on 11,000 false or misleading claims since taking office, about a dozen per day.

At the same time, Trump partisans could reasonably claim that there is in some sense a fundamental candor about this president. When he announced four years ago, he offered himself as a radical disrupter, and made no effort to disguise his vanity or his obsessions — against immigration and free trade — or his contempt for conventional politics. In an earlier generation, scholars and the general public needed Richard Nixon’s secret tapes to learn about that president’s seething vendettas and grievances. The modern audience must only rely on Trump’s Twitter feed. Trump dissembles on many questions but not about the essence of his own character, his high regard for himself and his contempt toward many others. He heads into 2020 as the most important and arresting figure in national life not because he is constantly changing but because he never is.

And Emerson may have had Trump figured out after all: “There is a certain satisfaction in coming down to the lowest ground of politics, for we get rid of cant and hypocrisy.”

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