Mike Freeman’s 10-Point Stance: Latest Buzz on Most Impactful NFL Stories

New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) runs through drills during an NFL football practice in Metairie, La., Tuesday, June 4, 2019. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)

Gerald Herbert/Associated Press

NFL teams are on vacation, but we here at 10-Point Stance headquarters never stop working.

We have two sayings that guide us in these seemingly quiet times:

1. Slow feet don’t eat.

2. Slow texting leads to vexing.

In this expanded special edition, we look at storylines for all 32 teams. Particularly, what each team accomplished this offseason, what their hopes are for the coming year, and if those dreams can come close to matching reality. Think of this as The Bachelor but with football.

One pattern that has emerged heading into this season is that many teams, including the superpowers, are in some state of flux. The Saints are going to a more traditional single-star running back system instead of splitting the carries, as they have recently. The Patriots are playing for the first time since 2009 without tight end Rob Gronkowski. There remains at least some uncertainty about the knee of Rams back Todd Gurley. The Packers have reconfigured their front office, coaching staff and offense.

On and on it goes. Cam Newton has a new throwing motion. The Seahawks lost one of the best players in the history of their team, wide receiver Doug Baldwin, to retirement. The Buccaneers have a new head coach, and the Chiefs don’t know about the playing status for Tyreek Hill.

There is always turnover in the NFL, but we’ve seen a particularly large amount of it this year.

Yes, teams are resting, but the questions about the future still percolate.

For help assessing each team, I interviewed one scout from each division. They asked to remain anonymous and declined all roses.

Here are the eight teams that have NFL scouts buzzing…

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

What they’ve accomplished: Sean Payton remains one of the best minds in football and often displayed it last year with play-calling that kept defenses off balance and Drew Brees at the top of his game. The seven-time passing leader should pick up where he left off this season after an infusion of youth on the interior (2019 second-rounder Erik McCoy is slated to step in for the retired Max Unger) promises to make an already good offensive line a superb one. That also bodes well for Alvin Kamara, who should get more touches with Mark Ingram II gone, and if you think Kamara was productive before, just wait. On defense, scouts believe the Saints will be better this season than most expect. There’s a level of athleticism from top to bottom on the roster that impresses many around the league. Said one AFC West scout: “They would have kicked the s–t out of the Patriots in the Super Bowl.”

The hope: The franchise can recover from the blown pass interference call in the NFC title game, and most scouts think they will.

Payton has earned a ton of respect from scouts and coaches around the league. No one outside of Bill Belichick is held in higher esteem as a strategist. Payton will need to rely on those skills, as well as any he has as a locker room psychologist, to keep the Saints focused on avenging what happened against the Rams through the grueling months ahead.

The reality: Several scouts predict a Saints-Seahawks NFC Championship Game. It’s not the first time I’ve heard that. Brees is 40, but like Tom Brady, he shows few signs of slipping. The worst record prediction I got from scouts on their season was 11-5.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

BEVERLY HILLS, CA - FEBRUARY 24:  Russell Wilson (L) and Ciara attend the 2019 Vanity Fair Oscar Party hosted by Radhika Jones at Wallis Annenberg Center for the Performing Arts on February 24, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.  (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/G

Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images

What they’ve accomplished: Scouts continue to tell me the Seahawks had a vastly underrated draft, which included three receivers. The loss of Baldwin will hurt, but as one NFC North scout said, “That receiving group is going to be a lot better than people think.” Now in his 10th season, Pete Carroll is getting more praise than maybe ever before, even more than during the Super Bowl years. Teams tell me they’ve heard Carroll has implemented a sense of calm inside the locker room despite the loss of Baldwin and other key veterans.

The hope: The Seahawks can catch a Rams team that may be vulnerable, especially with the health of Todd Gurley’s knee an open question. The Rams have top-line talent all over the roster, but the Seahawks might quietly be one of the deepest teams in football.

The reality: Rival teams believe the Seahawks are going to be good, really good. And a big part of the reason is how Russell Wilson has changed.

“I’ve noticed a looseness from Wilson, on and off the field, that I haven’t seen before,” an NFC East scout said. “You can see it on film [from last season]. He was already a tough son-of-a-bitch, but Ciara has turned him into an absolute killer.”

That would be Wilson’s wife, Ciara, who is a singer, songwriter, dancer and model.

Invoking any player’s partner, and in any way relating it to what happens on the field, can be dicey territory. The two have been married since 2016.

But in this case, scouts believe Wilson’s marriage to Ciara has made Wilson not just more relaxed, but more confident and hungrier for success. And that will only make one of the NFL’s best QBs even more effective. (NFL scouts are now marriage experts apparently.)

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

What they’ve accomplished: The Bucs hired one of the most talented coaches in football in Bruce Arians, went all-in on Jameis Winston—something that people around the league believe is foolhardy (more on that in a moment)—signed defensive line wrecking ball Ndamukong Suh, which some teams believe was a remarkably underrated pickup, and, from what I hear, allowed Arians the freedom to change the culture in the building by creating a more communicative atmosphere that emphasizes instruction. Some players say privately that Arians is already one of the best teachers they’ve ever had.

The hope: That the Buccaneers transition from this coming year, a rebuilding one, into a playoff team in 2021. Yes, the dreaded ‘R’ word is being used, but I can’t find anyone in the league who believes the Buccaneers will win more than five or six games this coming season.

The reality: People around the league continue to have strong feelings about Winston, and few of those feelings are positive. It’s stunning in a lot of ways how low of an opinion some in the game have of Winston as a player. From the way people speak about him, you’d think he peacefully protested during the anthem or something.

In truth, the biggest complaint is that he’s not an accurate passer and never will be.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 13:  Wide receiver Mike Williams #81 of the Los Angeles Chargers rushes up field for a touchdown during the second half against the Kansas City Chiefs on December 13, 2018 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo b

Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images

What they’ve accomplished: The franchise has come a long way in just a few years. It is, without question, one of the deepest teams in the league, scouts say, and with the offseason signing of veteran linebacker Thomas Davis and the securing of defensive playmaker Denzel Perryman, it’s easy to see why. One NFC East scout believes the Chargers will finish the year with the best defense and running game in football. The passing game took a bit of a hit with wide receiver Tyrell Williams leaving for Oakland via free agency, but that could also open a path for the continued emergence of Mike Williams.

The hope: That there’s enough left in Philip Rivers’ tank to keep fueling the offense. If there is, the Chargers are easily a Super Bowl team.

The reality: Will we see another quarterback—Rivers—continue to defy time? “There are four old and great quarterbacks: Brady (42), Drew (40) Big Ben (Roethlisberger, who is 37) and Rivers (37),” an AFC East scout said. “I think you’re seeing some significant drop-off in ability with Big Ben, and if I had to pick who was next, it would be Rivers.”

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

What they’ve accomplished: The team overhauled the defense, which should take some pressure off Patrick Mahomes to post video game-type numbers. (He might need the assist considering many scouts think receiver Tyreek Hill will be suspended by the NFL for at least six games because of the recorded threat he issued to his fiancee, Crystal Espinal.) Key to that defensive overhaul was the hiring of coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, whom scouts believe was a smart choice. Others rave about the addition of safety Tyrann Mathieu, whose arrival can only help support a retooled defensive line, now with Frank Clark on it, that could be a huge problem for opposing offenses.

The hope: Not a single scout interviewed thinks Mahomes will have a significant drop-off from last season. The reason is coach Andy Reid, whose track record says he’ll find even more ways to take advantage of Mahomes’ unique abilities after he threw for 50 touchdowns last season.

The reality: Every team drafts a player or two with character concerns. Or three. This is a fact of NFL life. But teams say privately that the Chiefs have taken as many, if not more, chances on these types of players than any team in recent league history. And now those rivals say those gambles have come back to haunt the team, and Hill is a prime example.

This is all debatable. What’s not, however, is the talent the Chiefs have, the star they have at quarterback and the fact that they will be a force in the AFC again. No one should be surprised if they make the Super Bowl.

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

What they’ve accomplished: The Packers have overhauled the entire freaking franchise, starting with hiring Matt LaFleur as the new head coach.

The hope: Best summarized by my second-favorite quote from a scout for this story (my favorite is down below), courtesy of the AFC North: “Aaron Rodgers is going to f–k some s–t up.”

In other words, Rodgers is going to have an incredible year, even by his standards. Why now? The general belief is that Rodgers will treat this entire upcoming season as a sort of revenge tour for all the battles he had with former coach Mike McCarthy, all the questions surrounding his leadership of the team and all the frustrations he’s had within the Packers offense.

The reality: Scouts believe the Packers are one of the great mystery teams. They have a new head coach, new offensive system and new components on defense. They are a total unknown except for one person: Rodgers.

In a lot of ways, Rodgers is this generation’s John Elway, who, for years, carried the Broncos on his shoulders. Rodgers has done the same for the Packers and might need to do it again this year.

CAROLINA PANTHERS

What they’ve accomplished: Cam Newton is getting healthier, running back Christian McCaffrey is becoming further integrated into the offense (McCaffrey is a legitimate Offensive Player of the Year candidate) and significant pieces have been added on both sides of the ball. Inside the locker room, from what I’m told, there is great unity and a sense of optimism not seen in years.

The hope: A younger and more athletic Panthers team can overtake a relentless Saints team. The problem for the Panthers is that Brees remains ageless and the Saints are getting younger and more athletic, too (see above).

The reality: As always, and as it will be for years, how Newton goes, the Panthers go. For now, Newton is healthier. And he has a new throwing motion. So things are looking up for the Panthers.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

FOXBORO, MA - DECEMBER 24: Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots stands with Tom Brady #12 during the second half against the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium on December 24, 2017 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Im

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

What they’ve accomplished: As an AFC East scout said: “I don’t know what year this is the league is chasing them again. Fifth? 10th? 20th? But we’re all chasing them again.”

This offseason, the Patriots accomplished what they always have under Bill Belichick and Brady. They had a solid draft and dipped a toe into free agency, and Brady continued to train and defy all the laws of physics and age.

The hope: That Gronkowski abandons retirement and rejoins the team. As I’ve written before, and as I’ve heard more since first discussing it a few weeks ago, the Patriots believe Gronk already misses football and will miss it even more once the season begins.

The reality: Every year, there’s a chorus, saying, “This season is the beginning of the decline.” And every year, that chorus is wrong. There are teams, yes, again, saying this is finally the year Brady’s play falls dramatically. This year. This is it. This is the one.

Good luck with that.

Now let’s take a quick look at the rest of the league (organized by division) and what the scouts think. Teams mentioned in the top eight are not discussed below…

AFC East

Dolphins: We still won’t know how good new quarterback Josh Rosen is because the offensive line is a problem. However, you will see Miami try to run the football a lot more this year (because its line stinks and there won’t be much time for passing routes to develop).

Bills: Some scouts believe this is a nine- or 10-win team. If that’s true, I’m Denzel Washington.

Jets: One of the safest bets in the league is that Le’Veon Bell will be one of the best running backs in the league. That’s not a shocking prediction. But what is surprising is how many scouts think the Jets could stun the NFL this coming season.

AFC North

Gail Burton/Associated Press

Ravens: There are a lot of Lamar Jackson doubters across the league. They don’t believe he’ll be a consistently good passer. I’m not one of those doubters, but they exist, in no small number.

Steelers: This season will be one of the great tests of the Mike Tomlin era. They lost a future Hall of Famer in wide receiver Antonio Brown and a staggering talent in Bell. Normally a franchise loses that kind of ability and wins five games.

Browns: One NFC North scout had some lofty praise for quarterback Baker Mayfield, claiming, “He’ll end up as a better quarterback than Andrew Luck.”

Bengals: No franchise was more universally torched by scouts for their lack of offseason moves than the Bengals. I mean absolutely blasted.

AFC South

Texans: Is this the year DeAndre Hopkins is finally seen as the best receiver in football?

Colts: The defense this season could be as big a reason as Andrew Luck that the team reaches a Super Bowl in February.

Titans: Scouts tell me this should be a make-or-break year for quarterback Marcus Mariota.

Jaguars: Watch the various contract situations with this team. Several players are looking for new deals and haven’t gotten them. That’s not a huge deal now, but sometimes these things can fester in a locker room.

AFC West

Broncos: Some scouts think John Elway has finally found his quarterback in Joe Flacco…at least for the short term.

Raiders: People around the league are popping popcorn waiting to see what happens when Antonio Brown becomes Antonio Brown, both on and off the field.

NFC East

Cowboys: Most people in the league think this is Jason Garrett’s last season as coach, barring the team winning a Super Bowl. However, people have thought this before.

Eagles: A lot of people are sleeping on this team. Wake the hell up.

Washington: Rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins has many fans in the scouting community. I’ve been slightly surprised at how many believe he’ll be Rookie of the Year.

Giants: Scouts think Daniel Jones will start the season at quarterback because Eli Manning is half dead.

NFC North

D. Ross Cameron/Associated Press

Bears: How much wear and tear can 5’6″, 181-pound running back Tarik Cohen take as the now (mostly) every-down back?

Vikings: The biggest question—the only one, really—from this offseason, the regular season and the near future is when will Kirk Cousins play like a superstar and earn his $84 million guaranteed contract?

Lions: Have had one of the busiest offseasons of any franchise, led by an overhaul of their defensive personnel with the additions of Trey Flowers, Justin Coleman and Andrew Adams. Some scouts think it will translate into nine or 10 wins. Some aren’t so sure.

NFC South

Falcons: Atlanta is focusing on making its defense more physical. The Falcons should focus on hiring a magician because that defense will still be bad.

NFC West

Rams: Some scouts worry the league will adapt this year to the coaching of Sean McVay. Count me as one of those not worried.

49ers: This is true with many teams but especially true with the 49ers: They will only go as far as their quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, can take them.

Cardinals: Rookie QB Kyler Murray, so far, is as good as advertised.

Mike Freeman covers the NFL for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter: @mikefreemanNFL.


NFL analyst Ross Tucker joins Adam Lefkoe to talk about what it was like to play against Ray Lewis, what every player tries to avoid when working under Bill Belichick and why Tom Brady is obsessed with snapping the football. All that and more on The Lefkoe Show.

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Women’s World Cup Power Rankings After the Round of 16

REIMS, FRANCE - JUNE 24: Megan Rapinoe #15 of the United States looks on during a 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup France Round of 16 match between Spain and the United States at Stade Auguste-Delaune on June 24, 2019 in Reims, France.  (Photo by John Todd/isiphotos.com/Getty Images).

John Todd/ISI Photos/Getty Images

The second round of the 2019 FIFA Women’s World Cup is over, and as quick as a flash we are down to the final eight. 

As the best of the best get set to go head-to-head, here’s how things are shaping up based on the form of the teams left. See our previous rankings

8. Italy (+3)

Italy have been the surprise package of the World Cup so far, and a rather comfortable 2-0 victory against China on Tuesday means they have secured a quarter-final spot for the first time since 1991. They face European champions the Netherlands on Saturday, but they’ll fancy their chances against a team that haven’t yet hit their peak during the tournament.

7. Norway (+3)

After pushing France close in Group A, Norway announced their intent to the world with an impressive penalty shootout victory against Australia last weekend. Their mix of solid defending and exciting attacking play will cause England plenty of issues on Thursday night, and Martin Sjogren’s side will be looking to cause another upset. Caroline Graham Hansen’s return to fitness is a huge plus and nobody will be writing off their chances of a semi-final spot.

6. Sweden (+2)

PARIS, FRANCE - JUNE 24: Stina Blackstenius of Sweden celebrates after scoring her team's first goal with her teammates during the 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup France Round Of 16 match between Sweden and Canada at Parc des Princes on June 24, 2019 in Paris

Quality Sport Images/Getty Images

Peter Gerhardsson’s Sweden march on after beating a solid Canada side 1-0 in what was at times a less than enthralling second-round tie. Stina Blackstenius’ goal was the difference at one end, but Hedvig Lindahl’s superb penalty save at the other, in among some excellent defensive play overall, means Sweden can keep going about their business. Germany await in the quarter-finals on Saturday.

5. Netherlands (-1)

The European champions are through but only by the skin of their teeth. They were too often opened up by 2015 finalists Japan, and on another day we’d have been saying goodbye to the Netherlands. A late penalty awarded for handball against Saki Kumagai allowed Lieke Martens to secure a 2-1 win and send her side into the quarter-finals where they face outsiders Italy. Despite their mixed form, Sarina Wiegman’s team will still be favoured to reach the last four.  

4. England (+1)

England have yet to hit their peak in the tournament, so it will please manager Phil Neville that they’ve won four out of four and conceded just once so far. Their 3-0 win against Cameroon will be remembered for a long time, mainly due to the behaviour of their opponents. However, it did also somewhat gloss over more uncertainty in defence for the Lionesses, something that may be exposed by Norway. Either way, they’re still the favourites to progress to a semi-final where they would face the hosts or the holders.

3. France (Stay)

The hosts are still yet to convince and will have been relieved to come through a potential banana skin 2-1 against Brazil. Valerie Gauvin gave them the lead before Amandine Henry scored the winner. However, that wasn’t before Thaisa equalised for Brazil, and only a superb goal-line clearance from Griedge Mbock Bathy in extra time and an offside flag stopped them going out early. A mouth-watering clash against champions USA in Paris awaits, but there will have to be improvements for the hosts to reach the final four.

2. USA (-1)

REIMS, FRANCE - JUNE 24: #15 Megan Rapinoe of USA celebrates her the second goal by penalty during the 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup France Round Of 16 match between Spain and USA at Stade Auguste Delaune on June 24, 2019 in Reims, France. (Photo by Zhizhao

Zhizhao Wu/Getty Images

The USA drop off top spot after a less than convincing performance in their first big test. They were in control for large parts of the game against Spain, but uncertainty at the back allowed their opponents to regain a foothold almost as soon as they had gone behind in the first half. The U.S. failed to score from open play and instead had to rely on two penalties from Megan Rapinoe in a 2-1 victory. Like their next opponents France, there are definitely things to work on before their big meeting in Paris on Friday night.

1. Germany (+1)

Laurent Cipriani/Associated Press

Germany have continued to go quietly about their business, and after recording four wins from four without conceding a single goal, they have to be considered up there with the USA and France as favourites. Germany’s 3-0 win over a potentially tricky Nigeria side was as simple as it gets, and while Sweden will be no easy match, they will fancy their chances of progression if they keep things up.


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Teams Eliminated in the 2nd Round

9. Japan (-2)

For the first time since 2007, the World Cup final won’t include Japan. A sloppy group stage handed them a tough second-round tie against the Netherlands, and they paid for it.

10. Brazil (+2)

LE HAVRE, FRANCE - JUNE 23: Marta Silva of Brazil in action during the 2019 FIFA Women's World Cup France Round Of 16 match between France and Brazil at Stade Oceane on June 23, 2019 in Le Havre, France. (Photo by Marcio Machado/Getty Images)

Marcio Machado/Getty Images

Brazil go home, and perhaps it’s the last time we will see Marta on the world stage, but they did themselves justice after coming into the tournament in the worst of form, pushing France all the way.  

11. Spain (+2)

Spain were knocked out, but their performances were impressive. 2019 was perhaps too early for a team with plenty of talent. They pushed the current champions USA all the way and went out to two penalties. 

12. Canada (-6)

Very much a case of what could have been for Canada. Their defensive record coming into the tournament gave reason for optimism, but they struggled to break down a solid Sweden side in the second round.  

13. Australia (-4)

It looked as though Australia had bounced back a little after an opening-match defeat to Italy, but history will show that this tournament was a disappointment for the Matildas as they crashed out on penalties to Norway. 

14. China (Stay)

China will sense a real missed opportunity in their second-round clash with Italy as they again failed to find the net when it really mattered.

15. Nigeria (Stay)

Despite some promising moments in attack during the group stages, Nigeria found it difficult to cause Germany any problems in the knockout stage.

16. Cameroon (Stay)

Cameroon’s defeat to England caused all kinds of controversy, but they just couldn’t quite live with the Lionesses’ extra bit of quality on the pitch.

Teams who were eliminated in the group stage: 17. Argentina, 18. Scotland, 19. Chile, 20. South Korea, 21. New Zealand, 22. South Africa, 23. Jamaica, 24. Thailand 

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Gambia’s Jammeh ‘handpicked’ women for rape, abuse

Former Gambian president Yahya Jammeh “handpicked” women to rape or sexually coerce by offering cash, gifts and other privileges, international rights groups alleged.

In a statement released on Wednesday, Human Rights Watch (HRW) and Swiss NGO TRIAL International said three women accused Jammeh of rape and sexual assault while he was in office between 1996 and 2017.

Jammeh’s administration was notorious for its brutality and corruption, but it was the first time that sexual abuse of women was extensively and publicly documented.

Yahya Jammeh treated Gambian women like his personal property,” said Reed Brody, HRW’s legal counsel.

“Rape and sexual assault are crimes and Jammeh is not above the law – and no woman is beneath it,” he added.

‘Protocol girls’

The investigation was based on evidence from four women, eight former Gambian officials, and several other witnesses, the rights groups said.

Gambia’s comedians enjoy new-found freedom to joke about ex-leader

Jammeh had “protocol girls” who were required to be on call to provide him with sex.

He “handpicked young women to satisfy his sexual fantasies”, according to a top aide quoted.

The findings also alleged as an inducement, Jammeh would lavish gifts on them, provide support for their impoverished families, or offer a scholarship to study abroad.

They were required to live next to his residence and were barred from leaving without his authorisation. If they refused his sexual demands, he would threaten or hit them, according to testimonies.

The “protocol girls” were overseen by his female cousin, Jimbee Jammeh, who also procured other women for him, the statement said.

One of the victims was Toufah Jallow, then an 18-year-old drama student, who was the 2014 winner of the main state-sponsored beauty pageant, which Jammeh had lauded as “a means to empower girls”.

Over six months, she refused his advances, rejected his offer to become a “protocol girl”, and a proposal to marry him, Jallow said.

After aides brought her to attend a pre-Ramadan Quran recital at the State House, Yahya locked her in a room, hit and threatened her, injected her with a liquid and raped her, according to her testimony.

She fled to Senegal days later.

‘Redress and justice’

Gambia has set up a Truth, Reconciliation and Reparations Commission (TRRC), modelled on South Africa’s post-apartheid body, to shed light on Jammeh’s reign.

In addition to Wednesday’s revelations, the former leader is also accused of spiriting hundreds of millions of dollars out of state coffers while serving as president.

The 54-year-old is currently in Equatorial Guinea, where he sought exile after losing the 2016 presidential election to Adama Barrow. Jimbee Jammeh fled with him.

Marion Volkmann-Brandau, who led the research, called on TRRC to initiate proceedings against the ex-president, adding it was “time for the ‘shame’ of rape to switch sides”.

“These admirable women broke the culture of silence. It is now crucial that the TRRC and the government give them a path to redress and justice,” she said.

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Why 2020 Democrats Pretend to Be Radical

Here’s one way to follow the action on the Democratic presidential debate stage in Miami over the next two days: Listen to what the candidates say, then squint through the haze to read their unspoken thought bubbles. There’s always tension between what politicians say and what they really believe. But in 2020, that familiar gap has taken on a new twist: Many of these candidates are trying to sound more extreme than they really are.

A quarter-century ago, when I first started covering national politics in Bill Clinton’s Washington, it was common for ambitious Democrats to project themselves as more moderate, more cautious, more incremental—less liberal—than they really were inside.

Story Continued Below

Listening closely to Al Gore, for instance, it was clear he was a more restless ideologue—more radical by intellect and temperament on the subjects he cared most about—than ever would have been wise for an ambitious politician from a conservative Southern state to advertise.

The enormous, diverse 2020 Democratic field is historic for a lot of reasons, but one big change has gone less remarked. There’s abundant evidence that most of these candidates are projecting themselves as more disruptive, more ambitious, more contemptuous of conventional politics, more liberal, than their previous careers actually suggest.

Judging by the campaign so far, the Democratic debates will be generously salted with bold slogans and ideas: “Medicare for All,” a “Green New Deal,” abolishing the Electoral College or reparations for descendants of slaves. In all but a few cases, these will come from people who have defined their public lives by the more prosaic work of coalition-building and consensus, as congenial senators and tough-minded prosecutors and pro-business mayors—ladder-climbing careerists who got where they are through a shrewd sense of what the political market will bear.

The shift in sensibility, from hiding to exaggerating those radical bona fides, shines a light on a more profound change: This cadre of Democrats believes the ideological tides, within the party and the country more broadly, have shifted leftward. And in this environment, with candidates desperate for attention and activist support, it is no longer safe to play it safe.

If this calculation is right, it means the end of several decades in which Democrats won nationally by playing good defense—by reassuring skeptics that there was a difference between being progressive and being left-wing, by running partly by making arguments of who they were (sensible, tough-minded, pro-growth, fiscally responsible) that were really arguments about who they were not (George McGovern, Walter Mondale, Jesse Jackson).

The Democratic electorate plainly is clamoring for good offense—no more softening the edges, to hell with patter about civility and common ground—and the competition over two consecutive nights at NBC’s debate state in Miami will be over who can give it to them.

***

Senator Elizabeth Warren was early to enter this derby in March when she told a CNN town hall that she wanted to amend the Constitution to get rid of the Electoral College. Good idea, 12 of her rivals have since said, while five more have said it is something to think about (“open to the discussion,” said Senator Kamala Harris).

Pete Buttigieg, the moderate and highly credentialed mayor of a small Midwestern city, has said he wants to expand the Supreme Court to 15 seats, blowing up a norm that has prevailed since 1869. A bunch of his rivals, like Senator Michael Bennet, have said that goes too far, and some, like former vice president and current front-runner Joe Biden, have left their position unclear. But many others found it advantageous to at least seem like they were on board. “I’m taking nothing off the table,” said Senator Cory Booker, a let’s-take-a-look stance that was echoed by fellow Senators Kirsten Gillibrand, Harris and Warren.

It’s fair to presume that the South Bend mayor genuinely does believe—in theory, and all things being equal, in a way that they rarely are in real life—that expanding the High Court by six members to reduce undue conservative influence is a good idea. Those who believe he would really intend to make this the hallmark of a President Pete administration might answer: What episodes in the career of this person who has prospered at every turn within establishment institutions (Harvard, Oxford, McKinsey consulting, the U.S. Navy, and so on) suggest an eagerness or proficiency at championing this kind of battle for truly disruptive change at an institution like the Supreme Court?

It’s also possible that he is practicing the offensive-politics equivalent of when Clinton, playing defensive politics in 1996, endorsed a balanced-budget amendment to the Constitution, before never mentioning it again after his reelection.

The one candidate on the debate stage—Thursday night, thanks to a random lottery—who can reasonably be presumed to mean what he says even when uttering radical words is Senator Bernie Sanders. He is, after all, a socialist running in the Democratic Party, and he has spent decades waiting for a return to the politics of the 1960s or even the 1930s.

This week, in particular, showed how Sanders is driving the debate and altering the incentives for other candidates. Warren released her plan that called for free college tuition and widespread student debt forgiveness to the tune of $640 billion. An ambitious plan, for sure—until Sanders came out Monday with free tuition and $1.6 trillion to cancel not some but all student debt.

But even Sanders can get caught in the derby of having to project more left in public than he feels when left to his true thoughts in private. In 2016, Sanders said he opposed slavery reparations: “First of all, its likelihood of getting through Congress is nil. Second of all, I think it would be very divisive.” This year, he supports Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee’s bill for a commission to study reparations. Its companion bill in the Senate was introduced by one of the candidates, Cory Booker, and co-sponsored by six others.

***

If you’re looking for evidence of the individual tug of war between candidates’ bold personas and more temperate souls, look no further than the equivocation on the question of Medicare for All and the Green New Deal. Thirteen candidates say they support a version of Medicare for All, one of the most popular new policy slogans on the left. But most stop short of Sanders’ definition of the idea, which would eliminate the current health insurance system in favor of a mandatory government-run system. Harris at CNN town hall in January implied that she would eliminate private insurance; four months later she clarified that’s not what she meant.

Senator Amy Klobuchar is a co-sponsor of the Green New Deal championed by Senator Edward Markey and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and she’s one of 18 presidential candidates to give rhetorical support to the proposal, with its aggressive timelines for carbon reduction and a federal jobs guarantee. But, as she told The Hill, “I see it as aspirational” and when “it got down to the nitty-gritty of actual legislation … that would be different for me.”

Perhaps no one is laboring over how to handle the swing of the ideological pendulum revealed by this year’s race than the person at the top of every poll so far, Biden. He first won election to the U.S. Senate in 1972, a few weeks before he actually reached the minimum age requirement of 30, and when the liberal tide unleashed in the 1960s was strong enough that even a Republican president like Richard Nixon was swept along to support liberal ideas like the establishment of the Environmental Protection Agency.

For most of his career, however, the Delaware senator was governing in an environment in which Democrats generally and Biden particularly had to play defense on certain polarizing issues. It was with a reason that Biden opposed court-imposed busing to desegregate schools—he saw first-hand how much resentment it was causing among working-class white families toward Democrats. In 1994, his leadership in passing a tough crime bill was a triumph for both Biden and Clinton—it advertised a Democratic Party that would not accept the bleeding-heart label Republicans had tattooed on so many liberals.

He presumably did not foresee that decades later he would be playing defensive politics again—this time from activists in his own party, many of whom were not yet born when he came to the Senate, demanding repentance for what now looks like ideological heresy.

In truth, however, Biden’s predicament—like that of all politicians trying to navigate the ideological currents while balancing ambition and prudence—was entirely foreseeable.

The Cycles of American History was a signature work of the historian Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr., who argued that recurrent and broadly predictable swings of the ideological pendulum are the essence of American politics. Seasons of liberal activism and heightened concern over the public interest are inevitably followed by seasons of conservative retrenchment and elevation of private interests.

Schlesinger, one of the dominant liberal intellectuals of the mid-20th Century, in the late 1940s wrote a book called The Vital Center, but late in life (he died at age 89 in 2007) he often lamented that cautious progressives were confusing the vital center with the dead center—espousing a middle-of-the-road incrementalism that didn’t offend, but also didn’t inspire.

He would likely note the irony that it was a radical president in Donald Trump who served as catalyst for another liberal swing of the pendulum. And he’d approve of the willingness of the current cadre of Democrats on stage to go on offense and take ideological risks.

This is the path, Schlesinger argued, walked by consequential presidents from Lincoln to the Roosevelts and—though he disapproved of the agenda—on to Ronald Reagan.

“Great presidents are unifiers mostly in retrospect,” Schlesinger told me in 1997, as Bill Clinton was preparing for a second term by promising to bridge partisan divides and unify the country. “The greatest presidents have started by dividing the country on important questions, as a way of uniting the country at a new level of understanding.”

Ruairí Arrieta-Kenna contributed to this report.

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Khashoggi killing: UN rapporteur Callamard to present report

Agnes Callamard, the United Nations special rapporteur on extrajudicial executions, is set to present her report on the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Callamard’s presentation before the UN Human Rights Council in the Swiss city of Geneva is set to start at 13:00 GMT on Wednesday, and will be followed by a news conference.

In her 100-page report, which was made public on June 19, Callamard says that Khashoggi’s killing at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul in October last year constituted a premeditated extrajudicial killing for which Saudi Arabia’s leadership was responsible.

The report also concluded that Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, also known as MBS, should be investigated regarding the incident.

The killing of Khashoggi by a team of Saudi operatives inside the consulate on October 2 provoked outrage and marred the image of MBS. Khashoggi’s body has never been found.

Callamard says in her report that Saudi Arabia violated the Vienna Convention on consular relations, the UN charter on the prohibition of the use of force in times of peace as well as the principle of the right to life.

The targeted killings of journalists, dissenters and human rights defenders, more generally, are on the increase, warned Callamard in her recent remarks, adding that the most worrying pattern is the impunity that surrounds those actions.

Hatice Cengiz, the fiancée of Khashoggi, has called for for an international investigation into the killing.

“Not only high-level officials are involved in the killing, but the report says Saudi Arabia has tried to eliminate the evidence of it. It’s scandalous,” Cengiz said earlier this week.

Changing Saudi narrative

Khashoggi was a contributing columnist for the Washington Post and a US resident.

He was killed at the consulate when he arrived to pick up documents he needed for his planned marriage.

The 59-year-old Saudi insider-turned-critic was strangled and his body cut into pieces by a team of 15 Saudis sent to Istanbul for the killing, according to Turkish officials.

Turkish media reports suggested his remains, which have never been found, were dissolved in acid, while sources of Al Jazeera said there was circumstantial evidence suggesting Khashoggi’s remains were incinerated in the garden of the consular general’s residence, 300 metres from the consulate.

Riyadh officials say they do not know where Khashoggi’s remains are and blame his death on “rogue” agents.

Saudi Arabia’s narrative of what happened changed over time.

Riyadh first maintained Khashoggi left the consulate shortly after entering, but as Turkish authorities continued to leak evidence of high-level involvement, the country eventually admitted its agents carried out the killing with a series of contradictory explanations.

Saudi Arabia now says Khashoggi was killed in their consulate after a fight broke out with the people he met there, a claim that was debunked by Callamard’s report, in which the Saudi agents were cited discussing the journalist’s murder and dismemberment before he arrived at the consulate. 

Eighteen Saudi nationals were arrested over the issue, but the international community is sceptical about their trial going on in Riyadh.

In November the CIA concluded that MBS ordered Khashoggi’s assassination, according to US media reports. The finding contradicts Saudi government assertions that MBS was not involved. US officials expressed high confidence in the CIA assessment.

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It’s No Mistake: Sebastian Maniscalco Will Host The 2019 VMAs


With exactly two months to go until the Video Music Awards touch down in New Jersey, we have another big announcement coming your way. Get ready, because your 2019 VMA host is… drumroll please… Sebastian Maniscalco!

The comedian and actor broke the news during an appearance on The Tonight Show on Tuesday, reveling in the excitement with Jimmy Fallon (who, by the way, is a VMA veteran, having hosted the show back in 2002). Maniscalco is now the latest in a long tradition of comedians who have emceed the awards show — past VMA hosts include Chris Rock, Chelsea Handler, Arsenio Hall, Russell Brand, and Kevin Hart.

While Maniscalco — who has four Comedy Central stand-up specials to his name, as well as this year’s Stay Hungry on Netflix — is guaranteed to bring the laughs to the VMA stage, he still needs a little help getting familiar with the world of popular music. In the hilarious vid below, he breaks the hosting news to his trusty robot, who quips, “Are you sure they haven’t made a mistake?” The comedian then gets a crash course in today’s biggest artists, like Cardi B (“Is that a spice or a supplement?”), Billie Eilish (“Can’t wait to meet him!”), and Childish Gambino (“The Italians are breaking into hip-hop!”).

Stay tuned for further announcements about this year’s nominees, performers, and Video Vanguard recipient. And make sure you catch the VMAs live on Monday, August 26 on MTV!

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US House passes $4.5bn emergency border aid bill

Washington, DC – Setting up a policy confrontation with US President Donald Trump over his administration’s handling of the surge of migrants at the US southwest border, the Democrat-controlled US House of Representatives approved a $4.5bn emergency border aid bill late on Tuesday.

The 230-195 vote follows an outcry over reports of inhumane conditions for children held by the United States at border detention centres.

It also comes amid deep and long-running divisions between Democrats and Republicans over how to reform the US immigration system.

Trump, despite having requested the $4.5bn border aid package, on Monday warned he would likely veto the House bill as Senate Republicans, who back the president’s hardline immigration policies, prepared to advance an emergency spending bill without the same restrictions on how the funds can be used.

“It is my hope that we send a resounding message today in the house, and that the Senate does what it has said it wants to do, which is address the humanitarian needs of those who are most vulnerable who are in our care today,” said Representative Veronica Escobar, a Democrat from El Paso, Texas, located on the border with Mexico where agencies have been overwhelmed by migrants.

The House bill provides funding for “beds, blankets, diapers, food, and legal assistance”, Escobar told reporters at the US Capitol earlier on Tuesday. 

It would also fund “alternatives to detention, policies we know have worked effectively in the past, but that were abandoned by this administration in favour of incarceration,” she said. “We are also funding a pilot programme to make sure that non-profits and law enforcement are expediting families getting to their sponsors.”

In a statement on Monday, the White House accused Democrats in the House of “ignoring the administration’s request for desperately needed funding to address the humanitarian crisis at the border”.

The White House said Democrats were seeking to “take advantage of the current crisis by inserting policy provisions that would make our country less safe”.

US relocates hundreds of migrant children from border facility

‘Hungry, sick, terrified’

Democrats and some Republicans in Congress were outraged by reports over the weekend about a US Border Patrol detention centre in Clint, Texas, where hundreds of children had been held for weeks in filthy conditions, according to immigration rights lawyers who had visited the site.

“When we arrived there last Monday morning on June 17 we learned that more than 350 children were detained there. The children were hungry, dirty, sick and terrified,” Elora Mukherjee, director of the Immigration Rights Clinic at Columbia Law School in New York City, told Al Jazeera.

“It is typically an adult detention centre that has capacity for just over 100 adults,” Mukherjee said. “We’re demanding immediate congressional hearings and investigations into the CBP facilities along the border where children are detained, as well as adults.”

Authorities said on Monday most of the children had been moved out of the Clint facility, designed to be a temporary holding facility, to other locations, although immigration rights advocates said as many as 100 children had been moved back the Clint centre.

Hours before the House vote, John Sanders, the acting head of the US Customs and Border Protection agency, announced his resignation in an email to colleagues, according to reports.

Family separations

The Trump administration had asked Congress for the $4.5bn in emergency funding to address the situation at the border.

Many House Democrats have said they would be loath to approve any funding for the Trump administration’s handling of refugees and asylum seekers at the border that does not include restrictions on family separations.

Trump supporters build private US-Mexico border wall

The restrictions on spending in the House bill would seek to prevent the Trump administration from using any of the funds to create an Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) deportation force, or for mass deportations, which the president has threatened to do, Escobar said.

Trump tweeted on Sunday that at the request of Democrats, he had delayed for two weeks the start of a planned ICE deportation drive aimed at migrant families living and working within the US.

The House bill provides $934.5m for processing facilities, food, water, sanitary items, blankets, medical services and safe transportation, according a summary issued by Democrats.

It seeks to reduce the use of influx shelters to house children by providing $866m for other housing.

The House measure provides $200m for a multi-agency processing centre that would work with NGOs to help families and unaccompanied children with an additional $100m for legal services for unaccompanied children, child advocates and post-release services.

“This is a crisis that was manufactured by Donald Trump to feed the xenophobic beast that he has unleashed on the American people,” Representative Hakeem Jefferies, a member of the House Democratic leadership team.

“We need to end it. There is no decency as a nation to have these children being subjected to these horrific conditions. That shouldn’t be a Republican issue or Democratic issue. That’s an American issue,” Jefferies told reporters.

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Mueller to testify, Schiff and Nadler say


Robert Mueller

Former special counsel Robert Mueller agreed to testify after being served a subpoena. | Alex Wong/Getty Images

Former special counsel Robert Mueller will testify in public before the House Intelligence and Judiciary Committees on July 17, both panels announced late Tuesday.

Mueller was served with a subpoena after the Democratic-led committees and the former special counsel failed to agree on terms for his voluntary public testimony.

Story Continued Below

“Americans have demanded to hear directly from the special counsel so they can understand what he and his team examined, uncovered, and determined about Russia’s attack on our democracy, the Trump campaign’s acceptance and use of that help, and President Trump and his associates’ obstruction of the investigation into that attack,” Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) and Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) said in a joint statement.

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Jimmy Butler Rumors: Rockets to Pursue 76ers Star Through Sign-and-Trade

Philadelphia 76ers' Jimmy Butler in action during the first half of Game 6 of a second-round NBA basketball playoff series against the Toronto Raptors, Thursday, May 9, 2019, in Philadelphia. 76ers won 112-101. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)

Chris Szagola/Associated Press

The Houston Rockets are planning to pursue free-agent guard Jimmy Butler when free agency begins Sunday, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Although the Rockets don’t have the salary-cap space to add Butler to their roster, they would push for a sign-and-trade with the Philadelphia 76ers. Such a move could include Clint Capela and Eric Gordon for salary-matching purposes, Wojnarowski noted.

Per Wojnarowski, Philadelphia will be “aggressive” in trying to re-sign Butler, whom they acquired in a trade during this past season.

He averaged 18.2 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game in 55 appearances for the 76ers. 

The Sixers can offer Butler a five-year, $189.7 million max deal to stay in Philly and try to make another run alongside Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons. 

On the other hand, the Rockets could provide him a chance to play next to James Harden and Chris Paul. Butler would give them another go-to option offensively who can also play elite defense on the perimeter.

Houston can sign him to a four-year, $140.6 million contract via a sign-and-trade with Philadelphia. Although the Sixers wouldn’t need to comply if the Rockets somehow cleared enough cap space to sign him outright, it would allow them to add get something back for Butler instead of letting him go for nothing.

The Rockets acquired Paul from the Los Angeles Clippers via a sign-and-trade in 2017, sending out Lou Williams, Montrezl Harrell, Patrick Beverley and more. That deal helped the Clippers remain in playoff contention, which the Sixers would likely look to emulate if they do go this route.

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Beleaguered refugee office girds for another wave of migrant children


Border fence

A surge in migrants crossing the southern border has swamped the Office of Refugee Resettlement and strained Border Patrol resources. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images

immigration

The crunch is driven by a record influx of people crossing the border and complicated by the Trump administration’s policies.

Hundreds of migrant children being transferred from squalid, overcrowded Border Patrol detention centers are heading into the custody of a federal refugee agency that’s already struggling to feed and care for tens of thousands of minors.

The Office of Refugee Resettlement is so swamped with new arrivals that it is burning through cash to house children in military bases around the country, including one in Oklahoma that interned Japanese-Americans during World War II. On Tuesday, the agency even had to send 100 children back to a much-criticized Border Patrol station in Clint, Texas, saying it lacks the room to take them.

Story Continued Below

The result: Already-traumatized children are being thrust from one agency in crisis to another, while Congress has been wrangling over a $4.5 billion emergency border funding measure. Two-thirds of that money would go to the refugee office, which has warned that it will run out of funds as soon as this month.

The refugee office’s shelters have taken in more than 52,000 children since October — a 60 percent jump from the previous year, driven by a record influx of migrants and complicated by the Trump administration’s aggressive border policies. Its parent agency, the Department of Health and Human Services, is pursuing strategies to cope with the surge, which include freezing money for anti-trafficking efforts and services for survivors of torture, and possibly furloughing employees.

The crunch is also slowing HHS’s oversight of shelters, efforts to expand the number of beds and attempts to unite migrant children with sponsors in the United States.

And it is adding to a growing crisis surrounding the federal government’s detention of migrant children. The Border Patrol is under fire following disclosures that some of its detention centers lack soap, toothbrushes, clean bedding or other necessities for the children, some of them infants, in conditions that doctors, lawyers and public health experts call a potential breeding ground for disease. At least seven children have died in U.S. custody since September.

“These kids are really suffering,” said Jennifer Podkul, senior director for policy and advocacy for KIND, which provides legal services to migrant children. “If you put all of these changes together, I think this is a moment when kids have had less protection than they have in the past.”

The HHS-funded refugee shelters — where kids may live for weeks under the supervision of social workers, usually in small standalone structures, until they’re placed with U.S.-based sponsors — are distinct from the Border Patrol facilities that cannot legally hold children for more than 72 hours.



The latest escalation of the border crisis comes as Congress is trying to complete the long-stalled border aid package. HHS Secretary Alex Azar for weeks has pushed Congress to fund an emergency $4.5 billion package that would provide nearly $3 billion to shore up his agency’s services for migrant children.

“This historical influx is challenging the capacity of the federal government to shelter UAC [unaccompanied alien children] and presents child welfare concerns beyond the treacherous journey that these minor children take across the southern border,” said an HHS spokesperson in an emailed statement.

But the Trump administration has also taken steps that worsened pressure on the HHS refugee office.

Some would-be sponsors have been scared away from taking custody of children, fearful that they’ll be deported under an administration policy requiring them to share information with immigration authorities. Some states and nonprofit shelters have repeatedly rejected HHS’s efforts to expand capacity, because of the cloud hanging over the refugee program. Congressional investigations are taxing the refugee office’s personnel and morale, according to department officials who spoke on the condition they not be identified.

“It’s a very difficult time,” an HHS official told POLITICO. “The program grew faster than we were ready.”

House and Senate versions of a border funding bill would boost oversight of the facilities, but the House version goes further, for example by imposing strict standards on unlicensed influx shelters and requiring that all unaccompanied children receive comprehensive legal services. The House package had faced resistance from progressive Democratic lawmakers, who fear the administration would use the funding to accelerate enforcement efforts against immigrants.

“We do not provide a ‘blank check’ to the administration to continue its punitive and failed immigration policies,” Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.), a senior appropriator who supports the bill, said at a House Rules Committee meeting on Monday. “This bill includes an unprecedented level of legal conditions to ensure the safety and protection of children in federal care.”

But any new funding would subsidize HHS refugee operations only through September — setting up another spending fight almost immediately.

Meanwhile, the refugee office is reeling from staff shortages and lack of experience placing migrant children in the United States, say former agency employees and shelter workers familiar with its operations.

“There are fewer staff to oversee and manage these processes,” said Bob Carey, who was a director of the office in the Obama administration. “That is a significant risk posed by lack of funding, not to mention the demoralizing effect on staff who have worked in a crisis situation for a long period of time.”

HHS recently ordered educational and recreational activities in shelters to be scaled back to save money, including English classes, leading to weeks of confusion and harsh headlines. The refugee office reversed the decision when it realized that licensed shelters had to provide those services to comply with state law, one shelter staffer told POLITICO.

HHS said in an email that federal law requires it to scale back all activities not required for direct care and the safety of children because of the funding shortage. Three nonprofit shelter operators said they were also relying on emergency donors to provide funding for additional services.

The administration in May 2018 also began requiring shelters to share immigration information on the children’s sponsors with Immigration and Customs Enforcement, a policy that has deterred some sponsors from coming forward to claim children. While Congress in February directed the refugee office to temporarily halt the policy, the office delayed informing shelter operators until a June 10 email, which was obtained by POLITICO.

Bracing for a surge, the health department for months has been overhauling the personnel dealing with migrant children’s care. Lynn Johnson, the HHS assistant secretary who joined the administration last fall and oversees children’s and family services, has imported a new team of advisers in recent months and brought more rigor to running the refugee office, say three officials who have worked with her.

Meanwhile, several political appointees who were involved in last year’s family separation crisis have left the agency. Maggie Wynne, the HHS counselor who helped oversee family and children’s services, was recently detailed to the White House’s domestic policy council, say four people with knowledge of the move. Scott Lloyd, who ran the refugee office during last year’s crisis and was effectively removed from the role for mishandling family reunifications, transferred to a different office in December and left the administration this month.

Some shelter officials say the refugee office has improved its operations since last year’s crisis. “There has been progress,” said Dona Abbott, of Bethany Christian Services, which helps place migrant children with foster families until they move in with sponsors. The number of days that children spent in refugee office custody has decreased to 44 days in May from 90 days in November, as HHS finds homes for the children more quickly.

However, the damage from the Trump administration’s defunct family-separation policy — beyond the harm to the families themselves — is lingering as states reject efforts to help HHS boost shelter capacity and some nonprofits have backed away, too.

That means HHS is relying more heavily on for-profit operators to house the children, a more expensive approach that is forcing the department to spend its limited funding faster. The temporary shelters cost at least three times as much as regular shelters. The temporary shelters also aren’t subject to state oversight, unlike licensed facilities that normally contract with the refugee office to operate shelters. And it means thousands of children being house together, compared with the more individualized attention they would get in foster care or smaller shelters.

“I think it’s unfortunately one of those situations of last resort,” Carey said.

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