Fourth Palestinian killed as Israel locks down Ramallah

Four Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces in separate operations over the past 24 hours in the occupied West Bank, with the Israeli army announcing the city of Ramallah a closed military zone.

The closure was announced following a shooting attack near the illegal settlement of Ofra east of Ramallah. Two Israeli soldiers were killed by an unknown Palestinian. According to local news agencies, the Palestinian fled the scene in his car. 

In a statement, the Israeli army said it is carrying out searches near the areas of the roads entering and exiting Ramallah.

The Hamas movement, which governs the besieged Gaza Strip, saluted the shooting and in a statement said it proved “resistance” was still alive in the West Bank.

“The flame of resistance in the West Bank will remain alive until the Israeli occupation is defeated from the entirety of our land, and we regain our full rights,” Hamas said.

For his part, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to legalise thousands of Jewish settlement homes in the occupied West Bank that were built without Israeli permits.

He also vowed to expedite the demolition of the Palestinian attackers’ homes within 48 hours, increase  detentions of Hamas members already in Israeli prisons and beef up Israeli forces in the region.

“Our guiding principle is that whoever attacks us and whoever tries to attack us – will pay with his life,” he said. “Our enemies know this and we will find them.”

Overnight killings

The first of the killings came overnight on Wednesday when Israeli forces killed three Palestinians in separate operations over the span of six hours. They were suspects in alleged attacks on Israelis.

In the pre-dawn hours on Thursday, Israeli forces also shot dead a Palestinian accused of killing two settlers in the West Bank last October, following a two-month manhunt.

Ashraf Naalweh, 23, was killed during the arrest raid in Askar refugee camp in the northern West Bank city of Nablus Earlier, according to Palestinian security sources. The army has withheld his body.

In another overnight raid on a West Bank village, Israeli forces shot dead Salah Omar Barghouti, who was suspected to be behind a drive-by shooting on Sunday, in which seven Israeli settlers were wounded near the Ofra settlement. 

Wafa said the 29-year-old Barghouti was driving his cab when Israeli soldiers opened fire at his vehicle near Surda, north of Ramallah, and that undercover Israeli forces seized his body.

Army units raided the Barghouti residence in the village of Kobar, north of Ramallah, and arrested his father and brothers, Wafa reported.

In the Old City of occupied east Jerusalem, Israeli forces shot dead a Palestinian man, Majd Muteir, after he injured two Israeli police officers in an alleged stabbing attack before dawn. One of the officers was moderately injured, the other lightly.

Israeli forces prevented Palestinians from entering the al-Aqsa Mosque compound for dawn prayers, and were heavily present in the streets of the Old City.

The fourth Palestinian was killed on Thursday afternoon, after an alleged car ramming attempt on a group of soldiers in Ramallah’s twin city of al-Bireh.

The man was identified as 60-year-old Hamdan Tawfiq al-Ardah.

‘Serious security situation’

Speaking from West Jerusalem, Al Jazeera’s Harry Fawcett said the events in the past 24 hours have been “very bloody – one that the occupied West Bank hasn’t seen for a good deal of time”.

“We have the pretty extraordinary circumstance of the entire city of Ramallah, the seat of the Palestinian Authority in Area A – where Palestinian administration is supposed to have at least nominal authority – has been sealed off as a closed military zone,” he added.

Regarding the alleged car ramming attack, Fawcett said that the official Palestine TV reported that “it might not have been a deliberate attack, [but] there might have been a loss of control instead.”

He added, “It’s certainly a very serious security situation that is still prevailing in the occupied West Bank.” 

A total of 56 Palestinians across the West Bank and Jerusalem were also arrested by the Israeli army early Thursday morning.

In the aftermath of the overnight killings, dozens of Israeli settlers attacked Palestinian vehicles with rocks on the busy Route 60 highway, south of Nablus. 

According to the Palestinian Red Crescent, 69 Palestinians were injured in protests against the Israeli army raids into Ramallah and various other towns and villages in the West Bank.

Undercover Israeli forces posing as Palestinians, known as Mustaribeen, were seen by locals roaming the streets of Beiteen village, northwest of Ramallah. 

The closures in the West Bank has led to Fatah, the ruling party of Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, to announce their offices will be open for those who are unable to reach their homes.

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Carson Wentz Back Injury Reportedly Diagnosed as Fractured Vertebra

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) throws before an NFL football game against the Dallas Cowboys, in Arlington, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 9, 2018. (AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)

Michael Ainsworth/Associated Press

The Philadelphia Eagles didn’t receive good news regarding quarterback Carson Wentz‘s injured back on Thursday. 

Per ESPN’s Adam Schefter, Wentz’s CT scan revealed a fractured vertebra that will fully heal if he’s given time to rest. 

Schefter added there will be a “continued evaluation of his back to determine if continuing to play this season will make the Philadelphia Eagles’ starting quarterback’s injury worse.”

NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported that Wentz isn’t expected to play on Sunday against the Los Angeles Rams

“Sometimes he just gets a little sore, a little tight, and so we’re just going to rest him today and evaluate him further,” Eagles head coach Doug Pederson told reporters prior to Wednesday’s practice.

Wentz has been prone to injuries dating back to his college days at North Dakota State. He missed eight weeks during his senior season with a broken wrist.

The 25-year-old tore his ACL against the Rams in Week 14 last year, missing Philadelphia’s run to the Super Bowl and the first two games of this season. 

If Wentz has to miss time, Nick Foles will take over as the Eagles quarterback. He hasn’t played since Week 2, and he has thrown for 451 yards, one touchdown and one interception in two games in 2018. 

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POLITICO Playbook PM: Pelosi presses Trump on funding as House adjourns until Wednesday

ALERT — PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP will be on Fox News’ “Outnumbered Overtime” with Harris Faulkner at 1 p.m.

BULLETIN … WAPO’S SPENCER HSU and TOM JACKMAN: “Russian Maria Butina pleads guilty in case to forge Kremlin bond with U.S. conservatives”: “Maria Butina, 30, became the first Russian national convicted of seeking to influence U.S. policy in the run-up and through the 2016 election as a foreign agent, agreeing to cooperate in a plea deal with U.S. investigators in exchange for less prison time. … Butina faces a possible maximum prison sentence of five years followed by deportation.” WaPo

THE HOUSE has gaveled out of session until next Wednesday with no government-funding solution in the offing. That will leave an evening session Wednesday, Thursday and Friday to prevent the shutdown.

— JUST POSTED … PALM BEACH POST: “BREAKING: Trump plans 16-day holiday visit to Mar-a-Lago”

HOUSE DEMOCRATIC LEADER NANCY PELOSI at her weekly press conference said she has not spoken to TRUMP since they talked by phone Tuesday — a conversation she characterized as “amicable.” She indicated there is support on Capitol Hill for a long-term continuing resolution for all seven funding bills and that the president is the only obstacle in making progress.

— PELOSI RAPPED TRUMP for saying he would be “proud” to shut down the government. “Perhaps he doesn’t understand people need their paychecks. Maybe that’s not the life he leads.”

TAX RETURNS … NYT’S SHERYL GAY STOLBERG (@SherylNYT): “.@NancyPelosi says House Ways and Means Committee will ‘take the first steps’ toward obtaining @realDonaldTrump’s tax returns.”

MARIANNE LEVINE: “Senate passes compromise bill to combat sexual harassment on Capitol Hill”: “Under the compromise legislation, members of Congress will be held liable for all forms of harassment and retaliation for harassment claims and will also be required to reimburse the Treasury Department for harassment settlements. … The House is expected to take up the legislation soon.” POLITICO

— THE HOUSE just passed the bill by unanimous consent as well.

2018 WATCH — “Federal Judge Strikes Down Poliquin’s Challenge To Maine’s Ranked-Choice Voting Law,” by Maine Public Radio’s Steve Mistler: “The 30-page ruling by U.S. District Court Judge Lance Walker is a significant blow to [Rep. Bruce] Poliquin’s quest to retain his seat, as well as Republicans’ vigorous campaign to challenge the legality of election law Maine voters approved two years ago. Not only did Walker disagree with the array of constitutional claims Poliquin’s attorneys made against the law, but he also declined to grant Poliquin’s request to order a new election in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race.” MPR

Good Thursday afternoon. JMART SCOOP … NYT’S JONATHAN MARTIN (@jmartNYT): “News: Warren had Bernie over to her DC condo last night, per two Dems. No commitments made by either, i’m told.”

THE INVESTIGATIONS … NBC’S CAROL LEE, KRISTEN WELKER and NICOLLE WALLACE: “Trump confides to friends he’s concerned about impeachment”: “Trump’s fear about the possibility has escalated as the consequences of federal investigations involving his associates and Democratic control of the House sink in, the sources said, and his allies believe maintaining the support of establishment Republicans he bucked to win election is now critical to saving his presidency. …

“The president has yet to acquire a team to combat the expected influx of congressional investigations and continued fallout from multiple federal investigations of his associates. He’s been calling around to his friends outside the White House and allies on Capitol Hill to vent and get the input. On Wednesday the president wasn’t in the Oval Office until noon.” NBC

— WAPO’S CAROL LEONNIG: “Federal judge seeks documents related to Michael Flynn’s January 2017 interview with FBI agents”

ZACH WARMBRODT: “Hensarling, Waters bill stalls amid dispute with Trump administration”

THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION — NYT’S HIROKO TABUCHI: “The Oil Industry’s Covert Campaign to Rewrite American Car Emissions Rules”: “When the Trump administration laid out a plan this year that would eventually allow cars to emit more pollution, automakers, the obvious winners from the proposal, balked. The changes, they said, went too far even for them. But it turns out that there was a hidden beneficiary of the plan that was pushing for the changes all along: the nation’s oil industry. …

“The Trump plan, if finalized, would increase greenhouse gas emissions in the United States by more than the amount many midsize countries put out in a year.” NYT

HEADS UP — “How U.S.-China tensions could get a lot worse,” by Wesley Morgan and South China Morning Post’s Minnie Chan: “Rising tensions over Beijing’s accelerating military buildup in the South China Sea are stoking fears of a major-power clash between China and the United States — fueling urgent calls for new security talks before the two nations stumble into a shooting war.

“But the worries come amid a dearth of official dialogue between two of the world’s largest militaries, and as U.S. leaders espouse an increasingly harder line against China’s actions. … Military experts say the showdown could easily spin out of control.” POLITICO

WHAT’S ON THE PRESIDENT’S MIND — @realDonaldTrump at 7:38 a.m.: “I often stated, ‘One way or the other, Mexico is going to pay for the Wall.’ This has never changed. Our new deal with Mexico (and Canada), the USMCA, is so much better than the old, very costly & anti-USA NAFTA deal, that just by the money we save, MEXICO IS PAYING FOR THE WALL!”

WAPO FACT CHECK: “‘Boy, this is a stretch,’ said William Hoagland, the former Republican staff director of the Senate Budget Committee.” WaPo

… at 8:17 a.m.: “I never directed Michael Cohen to break the law. He was a lawyer and he is supposed to know the law. It is called ‘advice of counsel,’ and a lawyer has great liability if a mistake is made. That is why they get paid. Despite that many campaign finance lawyers have strongly……”

… at 8:25 a.m.: “….stated that I did nothing wrong with respect to campaign finance laws, if they even apply, because this was not campaign finance. Cohen was guilty on many charges unrelated to me, but he plead to two campaign charges which were not criminal and of which he probably was not…”

… at 8:34 a.m.: “….guilty even on a civil bases. Those charges were just agreed to by him in order to embarrass the president and get a much reduced prison sentence, which he did-including the fact that his family was temporarily let off the hook. As a lawyer, Michael has great liability to me!”

… at 11:07 a.m.: “They gave General Flynn a great deal because they were embarrassed by the way he was treated – the FBI said he didn’t lie and they overrode the FBI. They want to scare everybody into making up stories that are not true by catching them in the smallest of misstatements. Sad!……” … More context from Caitlin Oprysko, Josh Gerstein and Darren Samuelsohn

THE LATEST IN WISCONSIN … AP’S RILEY VETTERKIND: “Scott Walker defends controversial lame-duck bills on social media”: “Gov. Scott Walker on Tuesday defended several measures included in lame-duck bills Republicans passed last week that would strip the incoming governor and attorney general of some of their powers, while saying he is considering at least one line-item veto. In a social media post Walker, who is still reviewing the legislation, sent the clearest sign yet he intends to sign the bills into law.” AP

— MEANWHILE, IN NEW JERSEY … NYT’S NICK CORASANITI in Trenton: “Democrats in New Jersey Have a Firm Grip on Power. They Want Even More”: “They are seeking to make Republicans a permanent minority by essentially writing gerrymandering into the State Constitution. … Even some national Democratic leaders have criticized the plan.” NYT

2020 WATCH — “Democrats shift toward impact on jobs as climate change moves to the front of the 2020 agenda,” by WaPo’s Michael Scherer: “Spurred by dire scientific warnings and new Capitol Hill protests, Democrats preparing to run for president have been rushing to shift their plans for combating climate change, highlighting an issue once considered a political liability …

“At the core of the push is a broader effort by some party leaders to reframe the political debate over climate away from policies that would impose new costs on carbon pollution — through taxes or a cap-and-trade program — toward a focus on investing in energy conservation and efficiency as a way to spark economic development, especially in economically depressed areas.” WaPo

— LAURA BARRÓN-LÓPEZ: “Bustos taps ex-chief Jaslow as new DCCC executive director”

HEADLINES THE PRESIDENT WON’T LIKE — “How Trump Let His Goal of Building a Border Wall Slip Away,” by Bloomberg’s Sahil Kapur and Steven Dennis: “Trump’s best chance for border wall funding at the level he wants came in February 2018, when Republican Senator Mike Rounds teamed up with independent Senator Angus King on compromise immigration legislation. …

“Now, with Trump and congressional Democrats at an impasse over the wall money with no clear path to a resolution bringing heightened risk of a partial government shutdown starting next Friday night, Republicans are expressing regrets over the deal that slipped away.” Bloomberg

HEADLINES THE PRESIDENT WILL LIKE — MEGAN CASSELLA: “In win for Trump, Beijing makes major U.S. soybean purchase”: “China purchased 1.13 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans this week, offering a sign that the two countries are beginning to make progress in alleviating trade tensions. The Department of Agriculture on Thursday reported the purchase, which historical data shows is the ninth-largest daily sale of U.S. soybeans ever.” POLITICO

TOP-ED — SEN. MARCO RUBIO (R-FLA.) in THE ATLANTIC: “America Needs to Restore Dignity of Work”

HOLIDAY PARTY CIRCUIT — SPOTTED at the Recording Academy’s holiday reception and opening of its new office Wednesday: Reps. Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), David Cicilline (D-R.I.), Ted Deutch (D-Fla.), Ron Estes (R-Kan.), Grace Meng (D-N.Y.) and Norma Torres (D-Calif.), Julia Michaels, Matt Squires, Kenny Aronoff, John Troutman, Diane Blagman, Daryl Friedman and Todd Dupler.

— SPOTTED at a Bush-Cheney alumni holiday party at the Decatur House: Ed Gillespie, Sara Fagen, Karen Knutson, Dan Meyers, Craig Stevens, Megan Bloomgren, John McConnell, Danny Diaz, Terry Nelson, J.T. Jezierski, former RNC COS Anne Hathaway, Jessica Ennis and Jeff Berkowitz.

MEDIAWATCH — Ron Nixon will be international investigations editor for the AP. He is currently the NYT’s homeland security correspondent in Washington. The announcement

TRANSITIONS — Scott Sloofman will be staff director for the Senate Republican Communications Center. He previously was communications director for Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan’s re-election campaign. … Lauren Claffey is now a managing director and Lloyd Miller is now a senior director at Hamilton Place Strategies. Claffey previously founded Claffey Communications and is a Trump DHS alum, and Miller was previously VP of technology and talent at Delve.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Emma Barker, features editor at Time and a Hearst and News Corp. alum, and Frank Bonomo, the owner and designer at Studio Bonomo, on Monday welcomed Eve Bonomo.

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Janet Jackson, Radiohead, More Are 2019’s Rock And Roll Hall Of Fame Inductees



Dave Hogan/MTV 2018/Dave J Hogan/Getty Images for MTV

Every year, the internet gets very mad about who didn’t get nominated for or inducted into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. And every year, there are valid points about inclusion, especially as it comes to the race and gender of the folks who end up with guaranteed spots. There’s also the larger question of whether or not such designations matter at all — much like whether art needs to be commodified and rewarded with shiny baubles like Grammys and Oscars — or if it’s really just the music that’s important.

These are all worthwhile conversations to have! But it’s also worthwhile when legitimate legends do get recognized and inducted. In fact, it’s worth celebrating. This year, Janet Jackson, Stevie Nicks, and Radiohead lead an impressive class of inductees, as revealed on December 13.

The Rock Hall also welcomes goth-pop phenoms The Cure, arena-rock scorchers Def Leppard, glam experimentalists Roxy Music, and ’60s baroque-rock forebears The Zombies to its 2019 class.

Also nominated this year were Rage Against the Machine, Kraftwerk, MC5, Rufus & Chaka Khan, LL Cool J, Devo, Todd Rundgren, and John Prine.

The newly inducted artists will (presumably) accept their newest honor in March 29 ceremony at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. I say “presumably” because certain artists — namely Radiohead — have made known their feelings on the very idea of an institution dedicated to Rock and Roll greats. “I don’t care,” the band’s guitarist Jonny Greenwood — no stranger to awards himself — reportedly said in a 2017 interview about the band’s then-potential recognition.

Then again, it’s terribly exciting for anyone’s faves to be honored at such a level. And if MTV’s reigning EMA Global Icon Janet Jackson will be there, that sounds unequivocally great to me. Relive her expansive 2018 EMA performance below while you count down the days until the ceremony.

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Stephen Curry: Raptors ‘Dont Get Any Extra Points’ for Season Sweep in Finals

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) during the second half of an NBA basketball game against the Toronto Raptors in Oakland, Calif., Wednesday, Dec. 12, 2018. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

Jeff Chiu/Associated Press

Stephen Curry isn’t reading too much into the Golden State Warriors‘ two losses to the Toronto Raptors this season. 

Speaking to Yahoo Sports’ Chris Haynes after the Warriors’ 113-93 loss to Toronto on Wednesday, Curry noted the regular-season results have no bearing on what might happen if the two teams meet in the NBA Finals:

“We’ll remember what it’s like playing against them, but it’s 0-0 from here. The sweep doesn’t mean nothing in terms of when the lights are the brightest on the biggest stage in the playoffs. Everything’s different. We’ll remember how tonight was. It’s a tough vibe, but they don’t get any extra points if we were to face them in the Finals.”

The first meeting between these two teams was Nov. 29 when the Warriors didn’t have Curry or Draymond Green available due to injuries. 

Granted, the Raptors won on Wednesday without Kawhi Leonard due to a hip injury. Their defense was fantastic in holding Curry, Green and Klay Thompson to a combined 26 points on 2-of-16 from three-point range. 

This has been an unusual start to the season for Golden State. The two-time defending NBA champions have dealt with injuries to Curry and Green. Kevin Durant and Green had a heated argument last month during a game against the Los Angeles Clippers. 

Despite any possible turmoil, the Warriors are only percentage points behind the Denver Nuggets for the top seed in the Western Conference. No other team can match their top-tier talent with Curry, Durant, Thompson and Green. DeMarcus Cousins will also make his debut for the team at some point. 

Even though the Raptors own the NBA’s best record at 23-7, the road to a championship will go through the Warriors until someone knocks off them off their perch. 

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Accused Russian secret agent pleads guilty


Mariia Butina

STR/AFP/Getty Images

A woman accused of being a secret agent for the Russian government has pleaded guilty to a conspiracy charge in federal court in Washington.

Maria Butina appeared in court after reaching a deal with prosecutors. As part of that deal, she says she tried to infiltrate the National Rifle Association and relay intelligence on American politicians to a Russian government official.

Story Continued Below

The case involving the 30-year-old gun rights activist has offered insight into how Moscow tries to influence American policy. But Butina’s case is separate from special counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation.

Butina has agreed to cooperate with investigators. She’ll remain jailed while awaiting sentencing.

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Their house in London broke them up. So they bought a boat and brought up two kids on it. — Mashable Originals

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Mashable’s short documentaries feature compelling individuals, innovations, and movements from around the world.

Nikolay Nikolov

Katy and Tom bought a boat 12 years ago. Today, they still live on that boat, which is fit with a secret bookcase passage and a large garden overlooking a field of wild horses. Oh, and they have two kids who have lived on the boat all their lives. 

Katy says the boat saved their marriage. It also offers a very different perspective on how to live happily ever after in an pricy city like London.

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ESPN OTL Health Report Uncovers Disturbing Food Violations in Sports Stadiums

DENVER, CO - MAY 05:  Fans visit the grille on the upper concourse of the stadium as sun sets while the Atlanta Braves defeat the Colorado Rockies 13-9 at Coors Field on May 5, 2012 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

ESPN’s Outside The Lines released data Thursday regarding food safety violations in the 111 major professional sports venues in North America.

According to ESPN.com’s Paula Lavigne, 16,900 routine inspections were conducted at the venues in 2016 and 2017, resulting in 28 percent of them incurring a high-level violation at half or more of their food stands.

Lavigne noted that a high-level violation is one that “poses a potential threat for foodborne illness.”

Per the data, the Charlotte Hornets’ Spectrum Center had the highest percentage of food vendors with a high-level violation at 92 percent.

That included specific violations such as beer leaking from the ceiling at a bar in the venue and a bartender using their hands to handle garnishes in 2016.

Other venues with a violation rate over 80 percent are the now-closed Palace of Auburn Hills (Detroit Pistons, 86.11 percent), American Airlines Center (Dallas Mavericks and Dallas Stars, 83.08 percent), Bank of America Stadium (Carolina Panthers, 82.61 percent) and Broncos Stadium at Mile High (Denver Broncos, 80.43 percent).

Per Lavigne and Sandra Fish, some of the most egregious violations occurred at the Colorado Rockies’ Coors Field, which ranked 99th on the list with violations at 71.96 percent of its vendors.

The report noted that a commercial-size bag of Cracker Jacks was found to have a mouse inside of it in 2016. Also, cockroaches and mouse droppings were found on or near food at the ballpark.

Patricia Buck, the co-founder and executive director of the Center for Foodborne Illness Research & Prevention, made mention of the fact that the number of patrons at a sporting event means food safety is of the utmost importance: “There will be thousands of people at the stadium and there will be maybe 100 at a restaurant, so the sheer number of people being exposed is going to be higher, so it would tend to be riskier if something like contaminated romaine lettuce was going to be served on a taco.”

While the data is jarring in some cases, not all venues housing NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL teams are rife with violations.

The lowest percentage belongs to the Golden State Warriors’ Oracle Arena at just 1.12 percent, which is nearly three percentage points better than the 4.17 percent of high-level violations that occurred at the second-place State Farm Arena of the Atlanta Hawks.

Other venues that fared relatively well in the investigation include the Houston Texans’ NRG Stadium (4.44 percent), the now-closed former home of the Milwaukee Bucks in the Bradley Center (6.67 percent) and the New England Patriots’ Gillette Stadium (7.33 percent).

Of the 111 venues, four did not have enough vendor data to be included in the report. They are the Washington Capitals’ and Washington Wizards’ Capital One Arena, the Houston Rockets’ Toyota Center, the Atlanta Falcons’ Mercedes-Benz Stadium and the Montreal Canadiens’ Bell Centre.

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May won a confidence vote but the Brexit battle is unchanged

London, England – Britain’s beleaguered Prime Minister Theresa May has defeated an attempted coup by Conservative MPs unhappy at her handling of Brexit but has been politically wounded and compelled to signal that she will step down before an election in 2022.

Her win on Wednesday evening by 200 votes to 117 in a secret ballot was announced by Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee of Conservative backbenchers, to the applause of loyalists packing committee Room 14 in the House of Commons.

The prime minister has come under heavy criticism since cancelling a parliamentary vote on Tuesday on her deal to exit the European Union – a move that prompted MPs opposed to her proposal to launch a plot to overthrow her – and the outcome of last night’s confidence motion is unlikely to affect the parliamentary arithmetic that prompted her to shelve the vote.

Maddy Thimont Jack, a researcher at the Institute for Government in London, said: “The fundamentals of Brexit haven’t changed – Theresa May still has to try and get her deal through parliament, she still has to have a meaningful vote, she still has to pass the legislation – so the scale of the challenges hasn’t changed.” 

Paul Webb, professor of politics at the University of Sussex, said the vote reflects only what is happening inside the Conservative parliamentary party at the moment.

“That’s a very febrile electorate and possibly a duplicitous one. But, on the face of it, Theresa May will still not have a majority for her Brexit deal and this is unlikely to make a lot of difference to that.”

The Conservative leader cannot now face another no-confidence vote among her own MPs for 12 months – giving her time to see through the infighting over Brexit.

She is talking to EU leaders on Thursday in an effort to make headway in securing concessions over the deeply unpopular Northern Ireland “backstop” that fuelled the revolt. 

But Wednesday’s vote is also unlikely to impact those talks – EU leaders have repeatedly insisted that they will not change their draft deal reached with London. 

Professor Anand Menon, director of the UK in a Changing Europe academic think-tank on Brexit, said: “It does not affect their attitude towards concessions because for them this is a legal matter, not a political matter. For them this is just a matter of law, the backstop is the backstop, there’s no going round it.”

Interpreting the result

The result of Wednesday’s vote was a temporary relief for May, allowing her to paint 200 votes as a triumph because this exceeds the 199 she won in her original leadership ballot in 2016.

However, her victory was at the price of her premiership – a majority of Conservative MPs backed her only after she signalled she would step down before the 2022 election.

Moreover, May’s win will do little to heal divisions within the wider Conservative party: The European Research Group of hardline Brexiteers behind last night’s vote are also claiming victory. 

The vote also weakens the PM even further in the House of Commons, which is still smarting from her last-minute decision to push back the Brexit vote until January.  

Professor Menon said: “What we know in the structural sense is that we’re exactly back where we started – she has got a deal that no one likes that there aren’t the numbers to get through parliament.”

David Jeffery, a lecturer in British politics at the University of Liverpool who has studied the Conservative Party, said the vote of confidence in May could signal an acceptance among most of her MPs that her deal is the best they are going to get.

“A lot of the tweets in support of her yesterday were about ‘getting on with the job’ of Brexit – a lot of them want it over and done with so the next election scheduled in 2022 can be possibly on a different playing field, it can be in a post-Brexit environment and they can talk about other issues that they might be less divided on.”

British Prime Minister Theresa May meets with European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker to discuss Brexit at the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium on December 11, 2018 [Yves Herman/Reuters]

May still remains vulnerable to a no-confidence vote within the House in the government itself, something the opposition Labour Party has been poised to launch.

Thimont Jack said: “The confidence vote illustrates what we already knew to be the case, but at the same time, because you can’t trigger another confidence vote for 12 months, so it does give May some breathing room. But of course, the political pressure doesn’t go away for her.”

The scale of disillusionment has prompted some to suggest that hardline Conservatives who rebelled against May might now be prepared to join the opposition to unseat her – the so-called “nuclear option”.

Webb said: “There might some elements of the European Research Group who are so disillusioned and angry that if Labour called a vote of no confidence they actually could either abstain on that or maybe even vote with the opposition.”

Questions are also being asked about May’s promise not to lead the Conservatives into an election in 2022. MPs have not forgiven her for an historic miscalculation in calling the 2017 general election in which the party lost seats and ended up relying on the small Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) to retain power.

How infighting affects public confidence 

May’s sternest opponents within the ERG hinted that they did not entirely believe she will stick to her pledge to go before 2022.

Webb said: “If they were forced to go into an election now with her as a leader that puts her in an extremely difficult position to campaign – which would be very difficult for the Conservative Party. But it would also be very difficult to find anyone to replace her.”

By carefully avoiding offering a specific date on which she would resign, while powering ahead to deliver her own vision of a “softer Brexit”, May risks deepening Conservative divisions as the economic pain Brexit is likely to cause hits voters.

A golden rule of British politics is that voters do not vote for divided parties.

Jeffery believes, however, that despite their divisions, the Conservatives can still go into the next election with a chance of winning.

“They are very lucky in the fact that they are against an equally divided Labour Party. At the moment they are being saved by their own opponents.”

Menon pointed out that voters’ “memories tend to be quite short” and the things that stick are the things that affect them directly. 

“But this is different, this is just pantomime, and there is an element of ‘A plague on all your houses’. The divisions in the Labour Party are equally bitter, equally deep.”

Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the Labour Party, which has previously threatened to table a no-confidence motion against May, said Wednesday’s vote changes nothing.

If the next general election is in 2022, Webb said, a lot can happen before then.

“But if it is an election any time soon, notwithstanding the doubts the electorate has about Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, I think Labour would win it.”

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