Trump’s China grudge match may be spinning out of control


Donald Trump

President Donald Trump must reconcile his love of tariffs and the impact it has on U.S. stock markets. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Trade

A president torn between his love of tariffs and booming markets faces the risk of uncontrollable escalation.

NEW YORK — Donald Trump the Dow Man and Donald Trump the Tariff Man found themselves back on a collision course Monday as U.S. markets tanked and fear of a full-scale trade war between the world’s two largest economies reemerged with a vengeance.

The Dow Jones industrial average plunged more than 700 points, or 2.7 percent, in afternoon trading, after a flurry of belligerent tweets from President Trump — and quick retaliation from China in the form of new tariffs — threw gut punches at hopes for a deal between the two nations.

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The sell-off framed a central conflict inside the White House — and seemingly within the president’s own mind. Trump loves a booming stock market, which he tracks obsessively, and views it as an indicator of success on par with his approval rating. At the same time, he loves his power to unilaterally impose tariffs, and sees winning tough concessions from China as key to his 2020 reelection bid.

But those two political imperatives are once again at odds. And Wall Street traders and economists say that if Trump doesn’t make a deal, and moves forward with a threat to slap 25 percent tariffs on everything China exports to the U.S., he could further rattle markets, tip the economy toward recession and lose his best ticket to re-election.

Worries are also growing that Trump and Chinese president Xi Jingping may have fundamentally, miscalculated, allowing their trade talks to become a political duel with a logic of its own.

“Investors have always assumed that these are rational actors who will eventually realize that it’s in nobody’s best interest to escalate this any further,” said Megan Greene, chief economist at Manulife Asset Management. “But that could turn out to be wrong.”

Speaking to reporters at the White House Monday, Trump expressed high confidence in his approach. “We’re in a very good position and I think it’s only going to get better,” Trump said of the trade fight so far. “We’re taking in tens of billions of dollars, I think it’s working out very well.”

But it doesn’t look that way to all Americans. Pain is already building in key 2020 swing states in the Midwest, including Iowa and Wisconsin, where retaliatory tariffs on soybeans, corn, sorghum and pork are slamming farmers. Steel and aluminum tariffs are also hitting industrial Midwest states critical to Trump’s reelection, including Ohio and Michigan.

“Trump the Dow Man and Trump the Tariff Man can co-exist for a while but at a certain point they can’t,” Greene said. “The Dow is down around 2.5 percent now, but I think it’s got to be down around 10 percent for Trump to feel significant pressure…. So far the tariffs have been angled away from the consumer. But if he goes ahead with the rest of the tariffs, the consumer will really feel the pinch.”

Inside the White House, top Trump advisers remain divided as they have been since the early days of the administration. Hardline China hawks like trade adviser Peter Navarro and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer continue to argue for staying tough on China until they capitulate, viewing the U.S. as in a stronger economic position.

They are bolstered by influential pro-Trump conservatives outside the administration calling for a defining showdown with a Chinese government they say is exploiting the world economic order.

“This is not a trade war. This is an economic war they’ve been running against us for 25 years and Trump is now engaged and it’s as dead serious as it ever gets,” said former Trump White House strategist Steve Bannon. “This is not just about trade, it’s far deeper than that. It’s about a fundamental restructuring of the economy. Trump’s thought this through and markets will eventually respond more positively.”

On the other side are more moderate, free trade-friendly voices like top economic adviser Larry Kudlow and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who continue to nudge the president toward making a deal that will calm markets and spare consumers and U.S. exporters from more pain. China often aims its tariff retaliation at political hotspots in the U.S.

Some of the differing views spilled out over the weekend as Kudlow acknowledged in a Fox News interview that — despite Trump’s recent claim that tariffs are paid “directly” to the U.S. Treasury by China — it is U.S. businesses and consumers who bear the extra costs. “In fact, both sides will pay,” Kudlow said, adding that he did not disagree with the notion, supported by data, that burden of tariffs imposed by Trump falls mainly on the U.S.

At the White House on Monday, Trump suggested otherwise, arguing that it was Beijing that would bear the brunt of the confrontation. “We do much less business with China than they do with us,” Trump said.

Trump began the day with tough tweets saying that China will be “hurt very badly” if it doesn’t make a deal. China then ignored Trump’s warning not to retaliate and fired its latest salvo just before markets opened in New York, saying it would raise tariffs next month on $60 billion in products the U.S. exports to China.

The back-and-forth left Wall Street investors, who have long assumed the two sides would make a deal, wondering whether Trump and Xi are now locked in a political grudge match that could blow a hole in the global economy before it is resolved.

“The market has been inclined to think that we were past all this and now it appears that we are definitely not past all this,” said Eric Winograd, senior economist at asset management firm AllianceBernstein. “And even if a tentative deal is eventually reached it has to shake confidence that this will ever really be behind us. The value of a deal seems lower than in the past because it will seem fundamentally political. And if Trump sees it as in his political interest to restart the trade war, he will.”

Trump is banking on the idea that the U.S. is in a stronger economic position to withstand the impact of a full-scale trade war. One of his tweets cited 3.2 percent growth in the first quarter as evidence that his trade policies are working. Despite Monday’s sell-off, markets remain higher for the year after recovering from the last China scare that hit in December and January.

One Republican who spoke with Trump recently said the president is now less concerned about market volatility than in the past, thanks to strong economic fundamentals in the U.S.

“He doesn’t have a knee-jerk reaction because when you look at the overall trends in the last 2.5 years, we’ve had more highs than lows and there’s a lot of other positive developments — like unemployment and wage growth — that factor in as well,” said one former White House official.

But economists generally expect the U.S. economy to slow over the course of the year as the impact of tax cuts fade, major fiscal deadlines loom in Washington and the constant fear of bruising trade battles eventually erodes business and consumer confidence. And Wall Street analysts cite a recent return to sharp volatility as an indicator markets are vulnerable to a much sharper sell-off should talks between the U.S. and China completely collapse.

The president’s re-election team has also argued internally that he’s unlikely to lose support within the agricultural industry by continuing to press for changes in China’s trade practices. Echoing comments made by Republican Sen. Tom Cotton, Ark., over the weekend, one senior Trump campaign official said American farmers are “patriots” who recognize that this isn’t a case where “instant gratification is possible.”

“There is no denying that the Trump economy is booming, unemployment is at generational lows, and wages are rising,” said Tim Murtaugh, commucations director for Trump’s 2020 campaign.

“A deal with China to end their bad behavior would provide even more long-term benefit to the economy. It’s also important to remember that China could solve all of this tomorrow by agreeing to stop stealing intellectual property, forcing the transfer of technology, manipulating currency, and dumping steel into the market,” he added.

After the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 712 points by early afternoon, stocks trimmed their losses some after Trump said he would meet with Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit in Japan next month. Many comments from both sides in the trade dispute have been timed to impact markets in both countries.

But as he spoke to reporters, Trump presented himself as unfazed by the drama unfolding on the trading floors of Wall Street.

“We’re in a very good position and I think it’s only going to get better,” he said.

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Everything you need to know about Global Accessibility Awareness Day

In a world of rapidly advancing technology it’s crucial to ensure companies and organizations are doing their best to make digital developments accessible to everyone.

While browsing the internet, catching up on social media, or texting on mobile devices might seem like second nature to some, accessibility-related barriers prevent millions of people with disabilities from easily using basic forms of technology and, in some cases, even discourage them from going online.

In 2012, Global Accessibility Awareness Day was launched to help highlight the need for increased digital accessibility.

In recent years we’ve seen some amazing action taken — from the creation of virtual marches, which give those with physical disabilities a place to protest online, to more advanced social media tools, like Facebook’s face recognition and automatic alt-text tools, which help blind users and people with low vision better identify posts and people in photographs. But there’s still a lot of room for improvement when it comes to disability inclusion.

Approximately 15 percent of the world’s population have a disability, according to the World Health Organization, which means that more than one billion people could face daily challenges when using digital devices. Here’s everything you need to know about the yearly GAAD celebration.

What is Global Accessibility Awareness Day?

The Global Accessibility Awareness Day (GAAD) is a day dedicated to celebrating existing digital accessibility efforts, and also fostering conversations on the importance of inclusion to inspire further action amongst designers, developers, and tech leaders.

GAAD, celebrated on May 16 this year, is held annually on the third Thursday of May. 2019 will mark the eighth year it’s being observed worldwide. 

What inspired this globally recognized day?

This may come as a surprise, but Global Accessibility Awareness Day was inspired by a single blog post written by Los Angeles-based web developer , back in 2011.

The post, titled “CHALLENGE: Accessibility know-how needs to go mainstream with developers. NOW,” was a bold call to action in which Devon brought attention to the lack of readily available information about online accessibility.

“Let’s work together and fix this oversight in our knowledge. As a community, we can work together to change the world.”

“Let’s work together and fix this oversight in our knowledge. As a community, we can work together to change the world,” Devon wrote before suggesting a yearly Global Accessibility Awareness Day. He hoped web developers could set aside this one day to work towards bridging the existing gaps in accessible technology and digital design. 

After digital accessibility professional and GAAD co-founder Jennison Asuncion stumbled upon the blog post on Twitter, he reportedly reached out to Devon and the two worked together to bring the day to life. In a 2014 video, Asuncion described the GAAD as “that single day to think about, to learn about, and to experience digital accessibility.”

What can I do to get involved?

If you’re looking to educate yourself and help raise awareness on digital accessibility there are a bunch of different ways to take part in the global conversation.

Host or attend a GAAD event

To start, consider holding or attending a GAAD event, either in-person or online on May 16. The Global Accessibility Awareness Day website lists dozens of events located all over the world in countries like the United States, India, Germany, Italy, Spain, Canada, South Africa, and more. You can also browse event pages from past years for ideas.

Go virtual

For people unable to attend in-person events due to physical disabilities, or those who are simply interested in learning about digital accessibility awareness digitally, you have a lot of options as well.

Here are a few ways to participate online:

  • Informative webinars — From Blackboard’s “Follow-the-Sun” webinar series — which will focus on accessibility in education — to Finalsite’s webinar on “How To Promote Accessibility At Your Organization,” there’s a diverse selection of webinars ready to enroll in on the GAAD site.

  • Attend a virtual coffee meeting — The Canadian Association of Professional Academic Librarians (CAPAL) is hosting a virtual coffee meeting on May 16 with guest speaker Lisa Liskovoi, an inclusive designer and digital accessibility specialist at the Inclusive Design Research Institute, the Ontario College of Art and Design (OCAD).

  • Tune in to BBC Access All Areas — In support of GAAD the British Broadcasting Company’s Digital Accessibility teams are hosting a live stream on May 16 to talk innovations in assistive technology and more. Tune in here.

  • The #A11YJAM game jam — The accessibility game jam aims to break down barriers in gaming by asking “developers to adapt a game they made for a previous game jam with changes to make it more accessible.” You can learn more and take part in the #A11YJAM game jam until May 15.

  • Download a GAAD Logo — The GAAD Logo is available for download in case you want to display it on your website or social media accounts to raise awareness.

Be sure to check out GAAD’s full list of virtual events.

Attend an Apple Accessibility Workshop

In 2017, Apple —  a dedicated supporter of GAAD over the years — released a series of powerful short films in honor of Global Accessibility Awareness Day which showed some ways people with disabilities customize their devices.

This year, Apple stores will host accessibility workshops globally to inform people on the importance of assistive technologies and teach them how to use those already present in Mac computers, iPads, iPhones, and Apple Watches. The company will discuss topics such as “Accessibility Features for Vision Loss and Hard of Hearing,” “Using VoiceOver on iPhone and iPad and for Mac,” and “Learning and Literacy Features.”

For more information about GAAD events or to book a seat in one, check your local store page. You can also visit the GAAD website to learn about other companies and organizations hosting internal events.

Help raise awareness by experiencing accessibility first-hand

If you’re unable to attend any GAAD events, have no fear, you can still take action in your own time. The GAAD co-founders suggest everyone set aside an hour of the day to experience digital accessibility first-hand.

Through guidelines on the GAAD website, the co-founders offer simple ways to modify devices such as going without a mouse, using your keyboard to navigate, and using a screen reader such as NonVisual Desktop Access (NVDA) or VoiceOver to engage with websites.

And if you’re a website owner GAAD also offers the perfect opportunity to make some more inclusive changes to your site. Here are some steps to take:

  • Enlarge font sizes to assist blind or low-vision users.

  • Ensure your webpage has proper color contrast.

  • Create a video and caption it.

  • Write a blog post to raise digital accessibility awareness.

  • Have your website professionally assessed by a digital accessibility expert.

A future focused on accessibility

While individuals, designers, programmers, and website owners around the world strive to create a more accessible digital world, major tech companies also plan on putting in the work.

In hopes of making tech and digital design more accessible, companies like Facebook, Google, Microsoft, and more are working together as members of the Teach Access initiative — an organization dedicated educating, promoting leadership, building and sharing tools, and creating additional innovations related to accessibility.

So whether you’re attending an event or encouraging others to gain a better understanding of digital accessibility by experiencing it first-hand, there’s a number of ways you can promote inclusion on Global Accessibility Awareness Day and beyond.

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This sex toy company uses niche meme accounts to spread the joys of masturbation

May is National Masturbation Month, and we’re celebrating with Feeling Yourself, a series exploring the finer points of self-pleasure.


It’s 2019, and people are finally starting to understand that it isn’t just dudes who are allowed to be horny. 

While social media platforms lag behind on allowing sponsored posts for vibrators and other sextech, one sex toy company is getting around these barriers by advertising through something more organic: meme accounts. 

Male sexual enhancement has long been advertised openly. Older men toss footballs and describe how Viagra rejuvenated their love lives. Condom ads run in the same traditionally masculine tone as whiskey and beer spots. Sure, we’ve seen ads for menstrual products, where overly cheery women spike volleyballs on the beach and sprint across stretches of wildflowers as if their uteri weren’t betraying them at that very moment. But products focused on female sexual health — and on pleasure, specifically — remain shrouded in shame. Companies in the sextech space face difficulty securing funding for new products and often can’t advertise using traditional channels. 

As a result sex tech companies have increasingly relied on social media to promote their products. Aesthetically pleasing sex toys found a home on Instagram a while back. (Vox dove into the many companies whose minimalist earth-toned Instagram grids echo those of beauty and skincare brands.) But Unbound, a sexual wellness company founded in 2014, takes a different approach. 

Leaning in to chaotic horniness

The company’s Instagram grid is curated chaos. Unbound also posts ethereal portraits of female and non-binary fans with their toys, but the soul of its Instagram presence is in the memes about eating ass and canceling plans to play with yourself instead.  

“When it comes to subjects that make us feel vulnerable,” Unbound CEO Polly Rodriguez told Mashable during a phone call. “The best thing to make people more comfortable is to laugh at the truths we all know are real but maybe don’t talk about.”

Buying toys for the first time can be an intimidating experience, especially if you don’t know what you’re looking for. Traditionally, sex shops were crowded with overwhelmingly flesh-colored silicone molded into equally overwhelming phallic shapes. For decades, Rodriguez says, toys for women were designed by men, based on cis male genitals. When she was diagnosed with cancer and treatment forced her into menopause at the age of 21, a friend who was a nurse recommended buying a vibrator to get a hold of her sex drive again. Rodriguez says she, “questioned why they all had to look like penises.” 

SEE ALSO: How mutual masturbation can help close the orgasm gap

She added that the packaging on the toys depicted women “in lingerie with big boobs and the hair,” and said she didn’t see herself in them. Unbound products are more whimsical and otherworldly than conventionally sexy — one of its vibrators is literally shaped like an alien spaceship. Rodriguez says when it came to designing these toys, she wanted people to feel comfortable leaving it out on their nightstand. 

The fact that Unbound’s toys are rarely shaped like any sort of genital almost makes their Instagram page more approachable for first-time buyers who may be more timid about their desires. It also naturally paves the way for a more chaotically horny, relatable social media landscape. 

“That mentality of not giving a fuck relates to a lot of the audience,” Rodriguez said, explaining the company’s shitpost-y Instagram presence. “We want to follow meme accounts because they make us laugh.”

A shift in the spon con landscape

Although Unbound really started taking off in 2016, at the height of color-coordinated, well-planned grids, Instagram users are moving away from avocado toast and selfies against saturated mural walls. As the Atlantic noted in an article about the decline of the perfect Instagram grid, “Fast-rising young influencers such as Emma Chamberlain, Jazzy Anne, and Joanna Ceddia all reject the notion of a curated feed in favor of a messier and more unfiltered vibe.”

Unbound was ahead of the times. When Glossier’s millennial pink-themed grid was the gold standard for Instagram accounts, Rodriguez said she let her former intern and now social media manager Emily Malinowski take the wheel. 

“Emily was like we’re just gonna post some weird shit and see what happens,” Rodriguez explained. “That’s where Instagram’s trending — people want lowbrow in experience but highbrow in intellect.” 

But while Unbound’s messaging and aesthetic resonated with its audience, Instagram itself still has a long way to go when it comes to sex positivity. The platform doesn’t allow Unbound to use typical advertising methods like promoted posts, Rodriguez says, and frequently removes posts it claims are inappropriate. She calls it a “double edged sword.”

“On one hand Instagram rewards brands and accounts that really care about visual aesthetic,” Rodriguez explained. “At the same time, Instagram is constantly taking down accounts, banning accounts … And yet male sexual wellness brands are allowed to promote.”

Which is why Unbound uses the more unconventional advertising tactic of partnering with meme accounts. Many brands, of course, reach out to influencers to promote their products. But doing spon con through memes, like Unbound is doing, is brilliant. 

Linda Lin found Unbound through the meme account @ghosted1996, and was drawn in by the fact that she didn’t have to visit a “sleazy website” to buy sex toys.

“It made it seem like masturbation was normal to talk about,” she said through Instagram DMs. “Seeing memes and small influencers promote this material makes you feel good about being open about your sexuality.” 

Hyacinth Rios was surprised that when they first bought an Unbound toy and posted about it, a friend reached out to ask how they liked it. 

“I remember being surprised that someone who I considered to be like a normie or local (not that either is bad) would be open about sex toys,” they said through Instagram DMs. “Which made me feel like it was probably super widely accepted now.” 

Normalizing masturbation through memes

The fact that Unbound advertises through meme accounts is so smart because it not only normalizes sex toys in a humorous, approachable way, but because it presents them on the ground level. Sure, masturbation can be a sexy experience for personal awakening and empowerment, but it can also be something you do when you’re bored. 

The memes depict masturbation as any other kind of self care, like popping on a face mask or blasting your favorite album. They aren’t necessarily presented as wholesome — but the fact that so many of the memes are about spending a night smoking weed and flicking the bean out of boredom or distress is what makes masturbating seem so normal. 

By establishing a presence through Instagram memes, Unbound gets around Instagram’s draconian rules for images surrounding female pleasure and also finds its way right into the lap of young people who are over cis men getting to have all the fun. 

“Meme accounts earn the respect of their audience because to be funny is difficult,” Rodriguez concluded. 

She notes that not everyone can nail down the art of meme making — if you get it, you get it, and if you don’t, you don’t. We’ve seen brands attempt to get in touch with the youth and fail miserably. But by going straight to the meme makers, Unbound lessens the risk of making an embarrassing gaff. 

Masturbating isn’t a big deal. Just ask the meme accounts of Instagram.

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Facebook will increase hourly wages for some content moderators

Cause to celebrate at a Facebook office in Austin, Texas.
Cause to celebrate at a Facebook office in Austin, Texas.

Image: Ilana Panich-Linsman / The Washington Post / getty

By Jack Morse

Facebook wants you to know that it’s feeling generous. 

In a Monday blog post, the social media company announced that it will raise hourly wages for some of its contract employees by next year. The move follows criticism that Facebook underpays content moderators forced to constantly slog through the worst digital detritus that humanity has to offer. 

The exact amount of the raise depends on where the employees in question live, and what type of work they do. For starters, this change only applies to contract workers in the U.S., and a chef in Seattle will not see as large of a raise as one in San Francisco. 

“The work we do to connect people around the world would not be possible without the talented and dedicated people who do contract work at Facebook,” reads the blog post. “They are employed by outside vendor partners to work either part-time or full-time and provide important services across content review, security, culinary, transportation and other teams.”

Content moderators, in particular, will see their base wage raised the highest. Facebook says that those working for “vendor partners” in the Bay Area, New York City, and D.C., will eventually earn $22 per hour. Those in Seattle will earn $20, and workers in other U.S. metro areas will earn $18. 

This is up from a base wage of $15 an hour for those who do a “do a substantial amount of work with [Facebook].”

“Content review at our size can be challenging and we know we have more work to do,” continues the blog post. “We’re committed to supporting our content reviewers in a way that puts their well-being first and we will continue to share steps forward on this important topic.”

The company also announced a series of changes designed to mitigate the soul-crushing work that is moderating Facebook. Specifically, expanded on-site counseling, “resiliency training,” and the ability to temporarily blur graphic images are all forthcoming. 

If you do contract work for the company in one of the aforementioned fields that isn’t content moderation, the promised future wages are a little different: $20 per hour in San Francisco, New York City, and D.C., and $18 in Seattle — also up from $15 an hour. 

SEE ALSO: Facebook gets petulant after co-founder’s call to break up the company

The kitchen staff at Facebook’s Menlo Park office unionized in 2017

Importantly, many of Facebook’s content moderators live outside of the United States. A 2018 documentary, The Cleaners, highlighted one such group in the Philippines. A New York Times report from May of last year focused on a “deletion center” in Berlin that employs 1,200 content moderators for Facebook. In other words, while nice, this promised raise doesn’t touch many of those working to keep Facebook relatively sanitized. 

And sure, this increase in wages is no doubt meaningful to those who will receive it. However, according to MIT’s living wage calculator, $20 per hour still falls below a living wage for a single adult with no children living in San Francisco. For an adult with one child that number is $39.86.

But hey, Facebook cares. It promises. 

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Election scandal, ‘bathroom bill’ shadow GOP in North Carolina redo primary


Dan Bishop

North Carolina state Sen. Dan Bishop, who authored the much-derided “bathroom bill,” is the GOP’s frontrunner in the state’s do-over election. | Chuck Burton/AP Photo

elections

The top two candidates for the GOP nomination in the do-over election have links to recent Republican controversies in the state.

The two most explosive recent episodes in North Carolina politics — involving bathrooms and alleged election fraud — will reemerge Tuesday in a high-profile congressional race that Democrats are targeting to pad their House majority.

The top GOP candidate in the contest is state Sen. Dan Bishop, author of the state’s much-derided “bathroom bill,” which was widely seen as discriminatory against transgender people and triggered a fierce backlash nationally. The No. 2 candidate in polls, Stony Rushing, is the hand-picked choice of Mark Harris, whose apparent victory over Democrat Dan McCready last fall in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District was tossed out after credible claims of illegal ballot collection. A new election was ordered, and Republicans are set to pick their candidate Tuesday in the first round of voting.

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The GOP hopes the redo will end an embarrassment that’s added to the party’s woes as it plans to host President Donald Trump’s 2020 convention and keep the state’s 15 electoral votes in the Republican column. But with polls showing Bishop and Rushing leading the 10-candidate field, the election fraud scandal and HB2 — the “bathroom bill” that led to the defeat of the state’s then-GOP governor in 2016 — continue to hover over the party.

Still, Republicans say they’re confident they can hang on to the House seat. And many see Bishop as their best bet, since polls suggest he’s the only candidate with a chance to win the nomination outright by clearing 30 percent of the vote.

If no candidate reaches that threshold, the second-place candidate can request a runoff. If the nomination is decided on Tuesday, the general election will be on September 10. But if a runoff is needed, it would be on that date, with the general election on November 5.

“Every day we don’t have a Republican nominee advantages McCready, because it advantages him financially to raise national money online while Republicans slug it out amongst themselves,” said Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) “So the faster we can get a nominee, the better it is for Republicans.”

The seat has sat vacant since former Republican Rep. Robert Pittenger’s term ended at the close of the last Congress. A year ago, Harris ousted Pittenger to win the GOP nomination in the first place, vaulting a conservative pastor into a battleground House race against a highly touted Democratic recruit. And it’s been a little more than seven months since Harris appeared to edge McCready by fewer than a thousand votes out of nearly 283,000 cast.

But the state declined to certify the results, and a redo was ordered in February after officials found evidence of election fraud earlier this year. Harris declined to run in the do-over race — and since then Republicans have debated which kind of candidate would be the best to take on McCready, a Marine veteran who has mostly embraced moderate policy positions.

In Bishop, Republicans have a conservative Trump loyalist with a long, and at times controversial, voting record. Bishop is leading the pack in polls, with Rushing — who was endorsed by Harris and is perhaps best known for dressing up as Boss Hogg, the corrupt politician on “The Dukes of Hazzard” — in second place.

If Bishop and Rushing run first and second, Bishop will be the party’s nominee even if he falls short of the 30-percent threshold. Rushing has said that should he take second place on Tuesday he will not request a second election.

“We’re optimistic about [Bishop’s] prospect of avoiding a runoff,” said Bishop strategist Jim Blaine.

Blaine brushed aside any concern that Bishop’s voting record would hamstring him against McCready. Despite the close election result in 2018, Trump carried the seat by 11 percentage points in 2016.

“In the general election we believe the race is going to be a referendum on Trump, and Dan Bishop is going to stand with Trump,” Blaine said.

Other GOP strategists agreed that the “best option” for Republicans if they want to maintain control of the district is to avoid a runoff, but some argued that Bishop wasn’t the best candidate. At a time when Republicans say they want to boost female candidates over male ones in open primaries, real estate agent Leigh Brown is seen as potentially more effective in a face-off with McCready. But national Republicans have refrained from weighing in, even as they’ve started to get behind candidates who are running for the House in 2020.

Brown’s been heavily backed by the realtors’ national political arm, which has spent $1.3 million on advertising to boost her campaign. But polls of the race, which show Bishop hovering right around the 30-percent threshold, don’t suggest Brown is gaining much traction.

Chris Sinclair, Brown’s strategist, said there some 20,000 realtors in the district and their votes could have a notable impact on the outcome. But Brown has faced aggressive attacks from the conservative Club for Growth, which is backing Bishop, through ads and a website calling her a liberal who opposed Trump’s tax overhaul bill.

When it endorsed Bishop last month, the Club specifically cited his ability to win the nomination outright in Tuesday’s primary. “Republicans can’t afford a four-month runoff that will drain resources needed to defeat … McCready, while allowing McCready to focus on November,” former Rep. David McIntosh (R-Ind.), the Club’s president, said at the time.

A runoff wouldn’t just give McCready an extended financial head start, Republicans warn. It would also schedule the general election on the same day as municipal elections in Mecklenburg County, home to the city of Charlotte — and many of the Democratic voters in the district, who would have an added incentive to come out to the polls.

McCready is running unopposed in Tuesday’s Democratic primary, which allows him to continue presenting himself as an independent voice in the Democratic Party that puts “country over party.” He’s also been stockpiling cash for the general election: As of April 24, McCready had nearly $1.6 million in cash on hand.

If Bishop ends up winning the GOP nomination, McCready’s campaign plans to draw a sharp contrast with the Republican, who has a long voting record in the state legislature. The primary area of attack will center on Bishop’s health care voting record rather than the bathroom bill, which was partially repealed in 2017.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, meanwhile, will continue aiding McCready largely behind the scenes with field infrastructure and voter outreach — but doesn’t plan an aggressive advertising push unless warranted closer to the general election.

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Here’s where everyone stands going into the ‘Game of Thrones’ finale

From the very first shot of its opening credits, Game of Thrones has visually and thematically stressed that the machinations of its characters and plot are all part of an actual game. 

Westeros and Essos are the board, the powerful are its players, and those who get in their way are the unfortunate pieces whose lives tally the game’s victories and defeats. 

It its eight seasons on TV, Thrones has shown how the maneuvers of the players have changed the board and the way the game is played. What began as a simple blood feud between the Lannisters and Starks evolved into a convoluted war involving Greyjoys, Tyrells, Martells, Targaryens, and more — but all of those movements led to the defining moment of “The Bells,” wherein Daenerys Targaryen burned King’s Landing to the ground in a blaze of dragonfire. 

The destruction of King’s Landing and the irrefutable proof that Daenerys’ only intentions for Westeros are fire and blood are both game changers for the show leading into its finale, and the position of major players like Sansa, Tyrion, Jon, and Daenerys in the show’s last episode are unlike any seen so far on Thrones. Here’s where everyone stands. 

Team Jon

The Starks: Obviously Team Jon.

The Starks: Obviously Team Jon.

Image: Helen Sloan / HBO

Dany’s burn-’em-all attitude lost her the support of Jon Snow and the North, as seen when Jon tried to order his men to retreat from King’s Landing once he realized his queen wouldn’t accept the surrender of the bells. It’s possible he’ll be able to hightail it back to Winterfell (everyone on the show has a teleporter now, that’s just canon) and shore up the Northern forces for a stand against Daenerys, risking the mad queen’s rage but fighting once more against an elementally overpowered enemy. 

SEE ALSO: The case for Jon Snow to end up on the Iron Throne

Tyrion is undoubtedly anti-Dany as well, having betrayed her to free Jaime from her capture only to see his plans burn up in her wrath. He also betrayed Jon Snow, however, when he admitted that he should have told Daenerys that he knew about Jon’s secret Targaryen heritage. Considering Tyrion’s failures in picking the right side this season, he doesn’t really have a place to go — Daenerys will consider him a traitor while Sansa and Jon will fault him for staying loyal to Dany as long as he did. 

Speaking of Sansa, she’s killing it right now. She’s kicked back ruling the White Walker–free North, probably supervising some building projects and getting Brienne of Tarth drunk enough to admit Jaime Lannister ain’t shit. She has every right to say “I told you so” to Jon if he comes crawling back with news of Daenerys’ destruction, but it’s also in her best interest to take Dany out to protect the North and potentially maintain its independence. Sansa also has Bran with her, for whatever he’s worth these days.

Arya abandoned the North and was ready to risk it all for a shot at killing Cersei Lannister. Witnessing the destruction of King’s Landing changed her, and going by her furious look in Episode 5’s final scene she may have added Daenerys Targaryen to her list. Arya’s murder skills are unparallelled in Westeros, but wanting to kill Daenerys is not the same as being on the side of the North. She works better alone, without armies or massive battle plans, so if the whole game of thrones comes down to a blowout battle it’s not likely Arya will charge in on a horse and join the fray. She’s freaked out, angry, and extremely murderous; that’s a side unto itself. 

Team Daenerys?

Will Yara Greyjoy come through for Dany?

Will Yara Greyjoy come through for Dany?

Image: HBO

One of Westeros’ forgotten powers is Yara Greyjoy, queen of the Iron Islands. She allied with Daenerys with the condition that Dany grant the Iron Islands independence; now that Jaime Lannister has wiped out her creepy uncle Euron, she has the strongest and largest navy in Westeros and no particular reason to fight against Daenerys. Mass murder is generally bad, but it’s also kind of what the Ironborn do, and going against her Targaryen ally would mess with Yara’s queendom. Drogon’s ship-burning powers are also a check against Yara’s naval strength, so it’s difficult to determine if she’ll even turn up to the final showdown.

Daenerys doesn’t have a problem with ruling by fear these days. 

With Yara (and to some extent, Tyrion) in the wind, Daenerys doesn’t have many solid allies. Varys mentioned in Episode 4 that “the new Prince of Dorne” supports her, but it’s unlikely that he’ll be important enough to appear in the finale. Missandei’s execution and a desire for revenge should keep Grey Worm and the Unsullied on her side, and the Dothraki don’t have anywhere else to go. The people of King’s Landing are sure to hate her even more than they hated Cersei, but Daenerys doesn’t have a problem with ruling by fear these days. 

Another possibly ally for Daenerys is Gendry. She removed his bastardy and raised him to the Lord of the Stormlands earlier in the season. Like Yara, Gendry owes his ascent to Daenerys, but unlike the Ironborn queen, he has little or no armies since Stannis and Renly split and wasted most of the Baratheon bannermen in the War of the Five Kings. Still, with the Iron Islands, Dorne, the Stormlands, and the Crownlands, she has secure control of at least four kingdoms and their rulers. 

The Resteros

Hey, what's this dude been up to?

Hey, what’s this dude been up to?

Image: HBO

Aside from the North, the remaining kingdoms are the Vale, the Reach, the Westerlands and the Riverlands. Robin Arryn is Lord of the Vale and no one has thought about him since Season 6. The Knights of the Vale came through for the North in the Battle of the Bastards, but that was Littlefinger’s doing and he’s dead as hell. 

The Reach has no ruling family since the Tyrells were wiped out, but Tyrion promised to give Highgarden to Bronn, who will undoubtedly come to collect now that Cersei is too deceased to give him any more money. If Tyrion leaves Daenerys, however, Bronn won’t be able to collect on anything. 

SEE ALSO: The history behind that special crossbow Cersei gave Bronn in ‘Game of Thrones’

The power vacuum in the Reach, which controls most of Westeros’ food, is a huge problem for whoever rules, but Sam Tarly’s right to Horn Hill as one of the Tyrells’ strongest former leal lords might put him in a position to deliver the kingdom. Of course, that could only happen if the fall of the Wall / defeat of the Night King officially caused the Night’s Watch to disband and release him from his vows. Since he’s starting a family with Gilly, Sam might consider his watch ended. 

As for the Riverlands, they technically belong to Edmure Tully, who at last count was imprisoned while the Lannisters and Freys took Riverrun. If Edmure is still alive, he’s probably too weak to do much of anything, especially since he doesn’t have control of his castle. Still, any army coming or going to King’s Landing has to cross the Riverlands to get to the North, so it’s a strategically important place to control. 

With only one more episode of Game of Thrones left, there isn’t time to wrap up all of these loose ends. Recent seasons have narrowed the scope of the show to two locations and a handful of characters, but the finale could still come through in a way that proves how much every previous move in the game mattered. George R.R. Martin’s book series was concerned with the interplay between its characters and the kingdoms almost to a fault, but the books and show have both set up the game board for a complex and explosive conclusion. 

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‘The Last Watch’ documentary shows the making of ‘Game of Thrones’

By Alexis Nedd

Game of Thrones may be almost over, but HBO is gearing up for one final ride for fans of its massive hit show. The Last Watch is a two-hour documentary about the making of the show’s eighth and final season, and going by the trailer it looks like it will go in-depth with the show’s creators to explain how they brought Thrones to an epic conclusion, as well as what the experience has meant for those who have spent years making the biggest show on television.

The Last Watch airs on May 26th.

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Report: Warriors’ Kevin Durant Likely out 1st 2 WCF Games vs Blazers with Injury

OAKLAND, CALIFORNIA - MAY 08:   Kevin Durant #35 of the Golden State Warriors reacts during their game against the Houston Rockets in Game Five of the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2019 NBA Playoffs at ORACLE Arena on May 08, 2019 in Oakland, California.  NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

The Golden State Warriors will have to start the Western Conference Finals without arguably their best player.

According to Ramona Shelburne of ESPN, Kevin Durant is out for Game 1 and it’s “unlikely” he plays Game 2. He will be reevaluated for his strained calf on Thursday.

The upcoming series against the Portland Trail Blazers is set to begin Tuesday night at Oracle Arena.

Durant first suffered the injury in Game 5 of the second-round series against the Houston Rockets. After undergoing an MRI, the team confirmed that he wouldn’t play the rest of the series.

Despite the missed time, head coach Steve Kerr was optimistic the forward would be back “at some point in conference finals,” per Nick Friedell of ESPN.

Still, this makes the Warriors more vulnerable heading into the conference championship.

Although Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson carried the squad to victory against the Rockets, Durant’s absence is a significant one. He leads the league with an average of 34.2 points per game during the playoffs, including three games with at least 45 points.

This has helped keep the team afloat while Curry and Thompson have struggled with consistency.

The forward has also proved he can make a greater impact as the stakes get higher, winning NBA Finals MVP in each of the last two years.

With that said, Golden State has showed it can excel without Durant. Before he joined the team in 2016, this core had reached the NBA Finals in two straight seasons while winning it all in 2015. The remaining players will get a chance to prove they can win on their own for at least the first game or two.

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Sri Lanka under nationwide curfew after crowds attack mosques

Sri Lanka has imposed a nationwide overnight curfew after the worst outbreak of communal violence since the deadly Easter bombings.

Police imposed the island-wide curfew from 9pm local time (15:30 GMT) to 4am, a police statement said on Monday.

Officials told the AFP news agency the curfew was aimed at preventing an escalation of violence, after a second day of anti-Muslim riots in the country.

Curfews were previously limited to specific areas where attacks had taken place, including Puttalam, Kurunegala and Gamphala districts near Colombo.

Residents in Muslim areas of North Western Province said crowds attacked mosques and damaged Muslim-owned businesses for a second day on Monday.

“There are hundreds of rioters, police and army are just watching. They have burnt our mosques and smashed many shops owned by Muslims,” a resident, who asked not to be identified, told the Reuters news agency. “When we try to come out of our house, police tell us to stay inside.”

‘Several shops attacked’

Police said there were incidents of mobs pelting stones and torching motorcycles and cars owned by Muslims.

“Several shops have been attacked,” a senior police officer told AFP. “When mobs tried to attack mosques, we fired in the air and used tear gas to disperse them.”

There were no immediate reports of casualties or arrests.

Al Jazeera’s Minelle Fernandez, reporting from Habarana, said the violence was mainly local and sporadic and that authorities wanted to contain the attacks.

“Over the last 24 hours there were localised police curfews to contain tensions between Christians and Muslims in these particular areas,” she said. “The authorities are trying very hard to clamp down on this.”

Sri Lanka also temporarily banned some social media networks and messaging apps, including Facebook and WhatsApp, after a posting sparked anti-Muslim riots across several towns.

Christian groups threw stones at mosques and Muslim-owned shops in the northwest Christian-majority town of Chilaw on Sunday in anger over a Facebook post by a shopkeeper, police said.

“Don’t laugh more, 1 day u will cry,” was posted as a comment on Facebook by a Muslim shopkeeper, and local Christians took it to be a warning of an impending attack.

Mobs smashed the man’s shop and vandalised a nearby mosque prompting security forces to fire in the air to disperse the crowd.

Authorities said they arrested the author of the post, identified as 38-year-old Abdul Hameed Mohamed Hasmar, as well as a group of men in the nearby Kurunegala district for allegedly attacking Muslim-owned businesses.

Muslims make up around 10 percent of Buddhist-majority Sri Lanka’s 21 million population and Christians about 7.6 percent.

‘Worrying trend’

Sri Lanka has been on edge since the April 21 attacks by Muslim suicide bombers on three hotels and three churches that killed at least 257 people.

Rights group Amnesty International said there was “a worrying trend of attacks against the Muslim community coming out of Sri Lanka” following the Easter Sunday bombings. 

The country’s main body of Islamic scholars, the All Ceylon Jamiyyathul Ulama (ACJU), said there was increased suspicion of Muslims. 

“We call upon the members of the Muslim communities to be more patient and guard your actions and avoid unnecessary postings or hosting on social media,” the ACJU said.

Sri Lanka has used temporary bans on social media in a bid to deter misinformation and rumours.

On Twitter, Sri Lanka’s leading mobile phone operator Dialog said it had also received instructions to block Viber, IMO, Snapchat, Instagram and Youtube until further notice.

The latest unrest came as Catholic churches resumed their public Sunday masses for the first time since the bombings.

Sri Lanka has been under a state of emergency since the attacks. Security forces and police have been given sweeping powers to arrest and detain suspects for long periods.

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