Why Republicans actually like Maxine Waters


Maxine Waters

Of Rep. Maxine Waters, Oklahoma Republican Frank Lucas says: “It is possible to negotiate with her and she’ll keep her word. That’s an important thing in Congress.” | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo

Congress

Trump attacks her, but Hill Republicans say she’s a dealmaker.

President Donald Trump has mocked Maxine Waters as a “low IQ person,” and she has called for the president’s impeachment.

But Republicans who work with the California Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee see something different: a rare deal-maker in a polarized Congress.

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Waters, who would chair the committee if Democrats win the House, has shown a surprising willingness to work across the aisle and with industry groups, even helping to deliver White House-backed legislation to ease regulations and crack down on China.

“There are many, many things that Maxine and I are completely, diametrically the opposite on,” said Rep. Frank Lucas (R-Okla.), who is in the running to be the committee’s Republican leader. “But I have dealt with her enough on issues to understand she can see the whole picture. It is possible to negotiate with her and she’ll keep her word. That’s an important thing in Congress. Not everybody does that anymore.”

It’s a side of Waters that has been far overshadowed by her role as a leader of the anti-Trump resistance.

“People underestimate Ms. Waters,” said Jamie Gregory, vice president of legislative affairs at the National Association of Realtors. “People forget that she’s also a legislator.”

To be sure, Waters led the charge against Republican-led efforts this year to roll back post-crisis banking rules, and she has called the GOP’s signature tax reform bill a scam.

But her track record on other key issues — as well as pressure she will face from more business-friendly Democrats in what could be a narrowly divided House — has left some lobbyists and Republicans cautiously optimistic about the prospects for getting things done even if the liberal firebrand uses the chair as a platform to attack Trump.

The committee’s must-do list in the next session of Congress, no matter who’s in control, is focused on reauthorizing major programs that K Street has a huge interest in maintaining the Export-Import Bank, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program and likely the National Flood Insurance Program.

On this front, Waters will almost surely be an ally for business groups such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce — and may even be more palatable to some lobbyists than the outgoing Republican chairman, Rep. Jeb Hensarling of Texas.

“She likes to cultivate that public image of a brick-throwing, whooping and hollering person,” Lucas said. “But my observation personally is she’s sly like a fox.”

Hensarling, a free-market conservative, tried in each case to rein in the programs as part of an ideological crusade to protect taxpayers and private enterprise. Industry and even fellow Republicans pushed back, giving Waters an opening to capitalize on Hensarling’s conflicts and come to the rescue.

“I have always maintained an open door policy, to hear the priorities and concerns of all stakeholders, including representatives of the financial services industry, as well as advocates,” Waters told POLITICO in a statement. “I look forward to continuing to work with members on both sides of the aisle.”

In the case of the flood insurance program, which protects millions of homeowners from financial risk, Waters went around Hensarling and worked with Republican leaders to pass a bill in 2014 that delayed premium increases for policies.

The price increases arose from a 2012 bill that Waters co-authored. The intent of the law was to shore up the finances of the program, which is heavily in debt to the Treasury after a series of destructive hurricanes.

Waters took the initiative in working with Republicans as Hensarling was unable to produce a compromise, underscoring the reality that when it comes to flood insurance, the politics are regional rather than partisan.

It’s an issue that Waters is expected to return to in the next Congress. The program is set to lapse on Nov. 30 and lawmakers will probably continue providing short-term extensions, likely putting it back on the committee’s to-do list in 2019.

Locking in a long-term extension is a big priority for industries tied to the housing market — such as lenders, builders and real estate agents.

“She’s going to be front and center on that, and that’s something she understands very much,” said James Tobin, chief lobbyist of the National Association of Home Builders.

In 2015, Waters was part of another effort to make an end run around Hensarling, who had forced the charter of the Export-Import Bank to lapse by not taking up legislation to reauthorize it. The move prevented the agency from continuing to offer loan guarantees for foreign purchases of U.S. exports.

Hensarling and other conservatives opposed the bank, saying it engaged in crony capitalism and mostly benefited giant corporations like Boeing and GE.

Waters and other House Democrats teamed up with Republican Ex-Im supporters to force a vote on the bank using a rare parliamentary maneuver that led to the institution being reauthorized through next September.

The bank’s backers are already counting on a Chairwoman Waters to put a spotlight on how the agency benefits the economy and fight to keep it in business.

While Waters has proposed breaking up Wells Fargo and has taken a tough approach with other large financial institutions, small lenders say she’s been helpful and willing to listen over the years.

“I expect we’ll get a very fair shake from her and from the subcommittee chairmen she would put around her,” Credit Union National Association chief advocacy officer Ryan Donovan said.

Financial Services Forum President and CEO Kevin Fromer, who represents large U.S. banks that will likely face heat from Waters, said she was “accessible, approachable and very experienced in the process and knows there’s give and take in every legislative process.”

“If we have disagreements, we’ll agree to disagree,” he said. “But I don’t think that means we’re troubled or concerned about having those discussions.”

Still, lobbyists are paying close attention to committee Democrats who may become subcommittee chairs and will be able to influence her agenda. Waters will be surrounded by moderate Democrats — including members of the New Democrat Coalition — who have been able to work with Republicans on the committee even if Waters wasn’t engaging or outright opposed their efforts.

“There are a number of members on the Democratic side who have worked very well with Republicans this Congress and over the years,” said James Ballentine, executive vice president of the American Bankers Association. “I certainly anticipate that continuing to happen regardless of who’s the chair.”

For some, the anxiety around Waters echoes concerns industry had about former Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) before he — another liberal icon — became the committee’s chairman in 2007.

“A lot got accomplished,” Gregory said of Frank’s tenure, which produced a sweeping financial regulation bill after the 2008 crisis. “It’s similar with Ms. Waters. There’s the public persona and then there’s actuality for what happens in the committee.”

Waters surprised many in July when she negotiated a wide-ranging bill with Hensarling that would ease financial regulations to help growing companies raise capital. Hensarling agreed to drop some “really great right-wing stuff” to win Waters’ seal of approval for one of his last big legislative efforts.

It gave her an opportunity to dismiss doubts about her potential chairmanship. Just weeks earlier, Republicans and fellow Democrats scolded Waters for calling on the public to confront administration officials over the White House’ family separation policy on the U.S.-Mexico border.

The White House praised the “commonsense regulatory reforms” in the bill, which is pending in the Senate.

“I have found my relationship with the congresswoman has been that she is a smart, tough negotiator,” said Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.), a member of the House GOP leadership team who is also a front-runner to lead Republicans on the Financial Services Committee next year. “And while she certainly is far to the left ideologically, there are areas where we can find reasonable compromise.”

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Nicki Minaj Literally Has Tyga In The Palm Of Her Hand In Stylish New Video



YouTube/Empire

Quick! How many guest verses has Nicki Minaj racked up in 2018? The answer, surprisingly, is not as many as last year — but still quite a few. And they run the gamut of vibes, too, from more traditional sexy pop with Little Mix (“Woman Like Me“) and Ariana Grande (“The Light Is Coming“) to harder hip-hop with Post Malone (“Ball With Me“) and YG and others (“Big Bank“). She even did a song with BTS! Remember?

Nicki’s newest feature arrived on Monday (October 29) and comes courtesy of Tyga. “Dip” even finds the pair nodding to Michael and Janet Jackson’s iconic “Scream” music video with harsh and surreal futurism, like an invisible ghost playing a violin and the general feeling of being in a haunted space station. Spooky stuff.

Throughout the vid, Tyga appears as an anthropomorphic puppet being handled by Nicki herself. When he’s not, he floating through the ether rapping couplets like “Sip got me buzzin’, I am not a husband / I can be your daddy, ’cause I am a motherfucker” while Nicki conveys a lot with just a hard stare. When she steps up to the mic, though, she takes her turn to let it go: “Harper’s Bazaar, I’m covering the icon issue / I got issues, yeah bitch, I got issues / W, Vogue, Cosmo (I got issues).

“Tyga and I coordinated fucking well for this video, you would think we put the looks together,” Nicki revealed on Queen Radio recently, via Rap-Up. “All we did was put the colors together. The video is clean and fly as fuck. I’ve shot huge big-budget videos before that didn’t look like that. He’s extremely fucking talented.”

Watch the full thing above, and then go back and revisit the Mark Romanek classic “Scream” below.

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13 spooky YouTube videos that are pure nightmare fuel

Are you one of those people who loves being scared — but, you know, in that not-quite-real way? There’s nothing like the thrill of watching a scary video. And YouTube has plenty of them that are short and free and will totally satisfy your adrenaline craving. 

Plus, watching on YouTube beats spending a ton of money to watch the latest horror flick on the big screen through your fingers.

SEE ALSO: 17 terrifying creepypastas guaranteed to keep you up at night

In the spirit of Halloween, we’ve scoured the creepier corners of YouTube to gather some of the spookiest videos and web series out there. Take a look for yourself, or maybe with a friend or two. These just might give you nightmares for days. 

1. Marble Hornets

Marble Hornets is a YouTube series based off the Slender Man mythos/creepypasta. The story follows Troy Wagner, a young man who tries to piece together the mystery surrounding the disappearance of his friend Alex Kralie after Kralie abruptly quit a film they were working on.

The series began in 2010, and a lot of the early entries show sightings of “The Operator,” a creature who bears an uncanny resemblance to Slender Man. Things only get more terrifying as Wagner continues to dig deeper into his friend’s past.

The series ended in 2014, but there are 87 main entries to binge if you’re feeling up to getting super spooked.

2. day four.wmv

This video is a part of the BEN Drowned creepypasta by YouTuber Alex Hall. According to the story, a boy named Matt unknowingly picks up a haunted copy of The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask, and finds it’s riddled with creepy glitches. 

A statue in the game who represents the malevolent spirit in the cartridge follows the player every time Matt boots up the game. The ghost goes by the name of “BEN,” and he eventually causes Matt to lose his sanity, as the haunting and glitches get progressively worse each time he starts the game.

Videos of the spooky gameplay were uploaded onto Matt’s channel (now Alex’s) to add another layer to the written creepypasta. Take a look if you’re brave enough. 

3. Fighting Buried Alive

This video is based off a creepypasta that said there was an unused model in the original Pokémon games that can only be uncovered through a series of steps. The model in question was a zombie-like figure called “BURIEDALIVE” that fought the player at the top of the Pokémon Tower in Lavender Town.

The video is a recording of the rumored battle. If the player loses the fight, the screen cuts to an image of the zombie creature chomping down on the player. Not to worry, Nintendo would never program something that terrifying in a children’s game — so it’s all fake.

4. Username666

This terrifying video is also based off a creepypasta rumor that said there was a haunted YouTube channel that can be accessed by typing “youtube.com/666” into your address bar. An error screen will show up saying that the user “doesn’t exist.” 

However, according to the legend and this video, if you refresh the page enough times, the link will actually work. After agreeing to a popup that asks if you want to view the page, you’ll be taken to a horrifying channel filled with a lot blood-red images and creepy hands crawling all over the screen.

If you want to watch the video, be sure to prep yourself for the jump scare at the end!

5. I Feel Fantastic

This is Tara. She was apparently built by a man named John Bergeron, who was on a mission to build the world’s first pop star android.

Except Tara is actually pretty scary. A YouTube user named Creepyblog uploaded a video of the android eerily singing “I feel fantastic, hey hey hey” and “run.” It’s safe to say she won’t be making it in the industry anytime soon.

A ton of theories about Tara have sprung up — the most popular being that the Tara’s creator was a murderer, and Tara wore his victim’s clothing. Of course it’s far more than likely this android was just a scrapped project who continues to haunt us.

6. Any of blameitonjorge’s videos

Blamitonjorge is a YouTuber who talks about anything and everything creepy on the internet. A lot of his video center on conspiracy theories, scary rituals, and lost episodes of children’s cartoon shows.

The video above covers some really bizarre and unnerving broadcast interruptions that have occurred throughout the country in the past few decades. It’s definitely not for the faint of heart.

7. Hypno’s Lullaby

This video is based on a Pokémon theory/creepypasta that paints Hypno, a dream-eating Pokémon, as a kidnapper. The theory comes from Hypno’s Pokédex entry, which states: “There once was an incident in which it took away a child it hypnotized.”

That birthed this awful song about the Pokémon luring children away from their parents to feast on their dreams. The singing is pretty terrible, but the lyrics will make anyone’s skin crawl.

8. Lights Out

*JUMPSCARE WARNING*

This short horror film captures feeling like you’re not alone in your house at night. Hopefully none of us ever have to encounter the creature this lady comes face to face with at the end…

9. Paris Catacombs Lost Man Footage

This chilling footage was part of several documentaries — including an ABC Family Halloween special about the Catacombs of Paris — that were broadcast in the early 2000s. 

The Catacombs, a popular tourist attraction in France, contain dozens of tunnels filled with human bones, in which anyone can easily get lost if they’re not careful. The footage in this video is allegedly from a camera that a man dropped in the Catacombs in the 1990s; it was later supposedly discovered by a group of people exploring the tombs. 

It’s really creepy to contemplate why exactly this guy was running in panic.

10. Salad Fingers

This classic series was extremely popular for its unnerving animation, spooky post-apocalyptic atmosphere, and the creepy titular character, “Salad Fingers.” In the opening episode, Salad Fingers looks for the perfect spoon to rub his fingers against in order to feel some sort of pleasure.   

11. Miss Shaye St. John

This creepy relic from the early days of YouTube never fails to make me squirm in my seat. Meet Miss Shaye St. John — a former actress made of mannequin parts after a serious accident left her disfigured — who appears in multiple videos uploaded by surrealist artist Eric Fournier. 

In the video, Miss Shaye makes weird hand movements while gurgling out strange syllables. Another mannequin humanoid walks into the room and pesters Miss Shaye to teach them “the hand thing,” and both of them continue to slam their wooden hands together.

It’s guaranteed to send shivers down your spine.

12. Don’t Hug Me I’m Scared

What starts off as an children’s educational song turns into your own personal nightmare factory. In the video, three puppets learn what it means to be “creative” from a talking notepad. But all three of them get much more than they bargained for when the video jumps to surreal scene filled with blood and guts.

Just remember “green is not a creative color,” and you should be fine watching this video … hopefully.

13. Unwind With the Sweeties

This bizarre YouTube video comes from a public access television show from the ’90s called “Unwind with the Sweeties.” According to Lost Media Wiki, a married couple named Gus and Emma Schlishki were the masterminds behind the petrifying show.

In the video, a couple wearing green and yellow ski masks and glasses with painted eyes are reading together. The husband (in the green mask) is perusing a book that has suggestive images of women. Then the scene cuts to another woman in a yellow ski mask talking about her day in a strange accent, all while squealing “ooooh,” in between sentences. 

What the video lacks in scare factor, it more than makes up for in creepiness. No one seems to know what happened to The Sweeties after the show abruptly stopped airing. I’m sure we’re all OK with that.

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Jenny Han has the purest reaction to fans’ Lara Jean costumes

Image: Masha Weisberg / netflix

2018%2f06%2f27%2fdf%2funnamed2.04764By Alison Foreman

“It’s not like in the movies. It’s better, because it’s real.”

From a small mountain of adorable, quotable moments to the iconic and timeless dreamboat that is Peter Kavinsky, Netflix’s To All the Boys I’ve Loved Before gave us all a lot to love this past summer. 

Now, in the heart of October 2018, the gift of protagonist Lara Jean Covey keeps on giving. This paradigm of effortlessly sophisticated teenage fashion—seriously, has the Peter Pan collar ever looked this good on anyone?—is inspiring dozens of fabulous Halloween costumes and author Jenny Han is taking notice. 

Han published the film’s source material, also titled To All the Boys I’ve Loved Before, as a YA novel in April of 2014. She later executive produced Netflix’s adaptation of the high school love story and, with help from costume designer Rafaella Rabinovich and actress Lana Condor, brought Lara Jean to life. 

Since then, tons of young women have taken to treating Netflix’s imagining of Lara Jean as both a style icon and fictitious big sister. Naturally, in traditional autumnal fashion, that also means plenty of fans are honoring her through, you guessed it, Halloween costumes. 

SEE ALSO: This Banksy-themed costume just hands down shredded Halloween

Han discovered the array of Lara Jean looks on social media this past weekend and instantly began sharing them on her Twitter account. 

“It was such a dark weekend and I started seeing them pop up in my feed,” Han told BuzzFeed News. “I started sharing them just because it was bringing me a little bit of sunlight.” 

Han also noted the importance of Lara Jean costumes in the landscape of representative options for young Asian girls. 

“There are very limited options for Asian girls on Halloween. Like one year I went as Velma from Scooby-Doo, but people just asked me if I was a manga character.” Not this Halloween, Lara Jean 👻 pic.twitter.com/17rVk3KtuY

— Jenny Han can’t come to the phone right now (@jennyhan) October 28, 2018

“As an Asian American woman, I think there’s a sense of belonging to something when I saw those photos. Belonging to something, but also knowing that something belongs to you. And, for me, I think that was what made me feel really emotional about it.”

In honor of the legendary Lara Jean and fearless Jenny Han, here are our (and some of Han’s) favorite To All The Boys I’ve Loved Before Halloween looks.

This horizontal striped beauty

A cutie with a red skirt and kicks

This gal who completely nailed the movie poster

Everyone recreating that selfie magic

This Lara Jean and drinkable yogurt fan

And, of course, the Lara Jean/Croft crossover you didn’t know you needed

Happy Halloween, TATBILB fans! It’s a Lara Jean Halloween. Just remember: the letters are out. 

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How worrying is the rise of right-wing extremism in America?

The number of reported hate crimes in the United States rose in 2016, the year Donald Trump was elected president, the second consecutive year the figures increased.

African-Americans, Jews and Muslims were all targeted.

Last week, a Florida man was arrested after mail bombs were sent to some of Trump’s high-profile critics. And on Saturday, 11 people were killed in a synagogue in Pittsburgh.

So, who is to blame? And does Trump’s rhetoric fuel the hate?

Presenter: Imran Khan

Guests: 

Steven Rogers – member of the Trump for President advisory board and a former member of the FBI National Joint Terrorism Task Force

Glenn Carle – former deputy national intelligence officer for transnational threats at the CIA

Stosh Cotler – CEO of Bend the Arc

Source: Al Jazeera News

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The ‘Riverdale’ cameo on ‘The Chilling Adventures of Sabrina’ makes zero sense

Ever since The Chilling Adventures of Sabrina was announced by Riverdale creator Roberto Aguirre-Sacasa, the question of how and when the two shows — both starring characters from Archie comics — would cross over. 

Now that Sabrina’s entire first season is out on Netflix, that question has been answered in a way that makes literally everything else about both shows way more complicated than it has to be. 

SEE ALSO: ‘The Chilling Adventures of Sabrina’ takes a while to cast its spell, but the magic is still there

While characters on Sabrina name-dropped Riverdale High as early on as Episode 2, it took until Episode 7 for a real Riverdale character to show up in the flesh. Ben Button, who has primarily been a background character on Riverdale for its first two seasons, makes a cameo as Miss Wardwell’s pizza delivery boy. The way his scene ends, with the evil Wardwell luring him into her house with the intention to eat him, is meant to emphasize the cannibalistic nature of the Greendale witches…but there’s one big problem with that. 

According to Riverdale, Ben is already dead. And there’s so simple explanation as to why he’s suddenly resurrected. 

Ben dies in the early episodes of Riverdale Season 3 when he throws himself out of a hospital window out of deference to the mysterious Gargoyle King, a cult figure from a board game that seems to encourage teens to take their own lives. The timing of his death is shortly after Labor Day, which is in September. 

Miss Wardwell’s pizza delivery, however, takes place on or around Thanksgiving, three months after Labor Day. The Chilling Adventures of Sabrina is explicitly said to take place in “This Year,” which would only allow Ben to both deliver a pizza on Thanksgiving and die around Labor Day if Season 3 of Riverdale takes place the year after Season 1 of Sabrina, in 2019.

On its face, that theory does make sense. Before Season 3 of Riverdale, Ben Button seemed like a normal kid who worked in a movie theater and showed up in the background of some party scenes. At the start of the third season he was in a game-based cult that worshipped a gargoyle devil in the forest. Maybe Ben had a horrible supernatural experience that made him susceptible to the evils of Gryphons & Gargoyles. 

An experience like nearly being eaten by a witch while on his pizza delivery rounds? The plot thickens.

The idea that Riverdale has somehow been taking place a year in the future solely to preserve the continuity of a background character’s magic trauma is pretty hard to swallow and, not to mention, dumb as hell.

But wait. Come on. The idea that Riverdale has somehow been taking place a year in the future solely to preserve the continuity of a background character’s magic trauma is pretty hard to swallow and, not to mention, dumb as hell. There has to be another explanation. 

Got it!

Zombie Ben. Roberto Aguirre-Sacasa himself has (kind of) supported the idea that the Ben seen in Sabrina may not be of this world. In an interview with Entertainment Tonight, he said of the cameo that “It seemed like [Ben’s death] was pretty final, but yet there he is in Greendale. But in Greendale, everyone pops up — the dead don’t stay dead long in Greendale.” 

So Ben died in Riverdale and was maybe buried in Greendale (did he live there? Why didn’t he enroll at Baxter High then?), and someone or something reanimated him for the grand purpose of making sure the pizza shop had someone to make good on the “delivery in 30 minutes or it’s free” promise on their flyer. Then he got eaten by a witch. 

Ugh, none of this makes sense.

The only other thing Aguirre-Sacasa says about Ben’s appearance is that it “suggests a very deep, deep mythology where time and space bends,” which could mean that he’s playing a long game where the parallel stories of Riverdale and The Chilling Adventures of Sabrina exist in adjacent universes where the life/death states of certain characters are determinant on factors like the existence of witchcraft or other unknowable constants…

or it could mean that he literally didn’t think about it and just thought having Ben show up was cute. 

As far as mysteries go, it feels unlikely that this one is going to be solved on Riverdale or Sabrina, but those who love cameos and crave continuity will surely be scratching their heads about it for months to come. 

In the meanwhile, RIP (???) Ben Button. 

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Red Dead Redemption 2 is the latest video game to get blackjack wrong

Video games suck at blackjack. 

Red Dead Redemption 2 is a convenient target, being the latest and most high-profile offender. But video game blackjack hasn’t ever been done right in my recollection. And it’s because every game gets a central component wrong: The key to blackjack, the thing that makes it interesting, is the betting. Not the rules.

SEE ALSO: ‘Red Dead Redemption 2’ review: Great art at great cost

So let’s talk first about those rules, the absolute basics of blackjack. How each card works, what the goal is, how a typical hand flows.

Blackjack basics

The objective in blackjack is to get a set of cards whose sum is 21. Less than that is OK. More than that is a bust — a lost hand. Numbered cards, 2 through 10, count as the number printed on the card. Face cards also count as a 10. Ace can be either a 1 or an 11, whichever you choose. So if you have a 9 card and two Aces, you have a 21: 9 + 11 Ace + 1 Ace. That’s great.

At the start of a hand, you get two cards and the house gets two cards. Your cards are both visible, but you can only see one of the house’s cards. When it’s your turn — setting aside advanced strategies for a moment — you can choose to either hit (take another card) or stand (end your turn). 

Once you stand, it’s the house’s turn to either stand or hit. They don’t make that decision themselves; it’s dictated by the cards they’re holding. You win a hand if the house goes bust or if the house is forced to stand on a number that’s lower than your own card total.

Now that you know the rules, let’s talk about how blackjack is actually played in practice.

How to play blackjack like you’re in a casino

Dealer puts down a card on blackjack table; Shutterstock ID 1048163848; Project Name: ; Requested By: ; Client/Licensee:

Image: Shutterstock / juliannedev

When you sit down to play blackjack, the only person you’re playing against is the dealer, who represents the house. Everyone else at the table influences the way the cards fall — if someone right before you hits and gets the Ace you need, that’s one less Ace in the deck that could possibly drop — but they’re not the enemy.

When it’s your turn in blackjack, the one house card you can see is as much of an influence on what you do as the cards you’re holding. The dealer always goes after every player’s turn is over, but your decision to hit or stand is based entirely on how the house rules work. Knowing how those rules work is the real key to winning.

It’s pretty simple: If the house has a hand total of 16 or lower, the dealer has to hit. Once that total is 17 or higher, the dealer has to stand. The only wrinkle here is when the house has a “soft 17,” which is an Ace and an 8. Most casinos require the dealer to hit on a soft 17 and then continue playing under the same “stand on 17 or higher” rule.

Whenever you’re playing blackjack, you operate under the assumption that the card you can’t see is probably a 10. It’s an odds thing. There are 52 cards in the deck, but when you factor in all the face cards a total of 16 cards have a value of 10. That’s versus four of each for every other card.

The only person you’re playing against in blackjack is the dealer.

Let’s think about this now in practical terms. Forget your hand for a second. If the dealer’s visible card is a 6, you proceed as if they have a 16 — which means when it’s their turn, they have to hit. If the visible card is a 7, they probably have 17 — an automatic stand.

Your decision to hit or stand is based on the same assumption. You can (and should) safely hit anytime your hand total, the sum of all cards, is 11 or lower. Once your hand total exceeds 11, it’s all about what the dealer has.

If you see the house has a 7, 8, 9, or 10 showing, you want to keep hitting until your hand total is at least one higher than the visible card plus 10. So if you see a 7, you assume it’s a 17 and keep hitting until you’re at 18 or higher (or go bust). But if you see, say, a 6 or a 5, you’re going to want to stand the second your hand total is higher than 11.

At that point, you’re betting that the dealer will bust. If the house has a 16 and has to hit, chances are they’re going to draw a 10. In the case of a 16 specifically, any card higher than a 5 (except Ace) is going to be a bust for the dealer. So if the dealer’s showing a 6, you want to stand even if you only have a 12.

There’s one special case that’s worth highlighting. If the house is showing a 2 or 3 and you have a 12, most pros will tell you to hit. Only a 10 (or 9, if you have 13) will bust you in that situation, and it’s also the one case where you hedge the odds a bit and say “OK, the dealer may not have a 10 hidden here.”

There are other advanced strategies, like doubling down or splitting your hand, but I’m not getting into all of that here. It’s good to understand those finer points of the rules if you want to get serious about blackjack gambling, but they’re irrelevant to this discussion. (Learn more here.)

The magic of progressive betting

Dealer puts down a card on blackjack table; Shutterstock ID 1048163875; Project Name: ; Requested By: ; Client/Licensee:

Image: Shutterstock / juliannedev

Now we come to the heart of what makes blackjack an interesting table game: the gambling.

Red Dead Redemption 2‘s blackjack (and, really, every other video game version I’ve encountered) emphasizes “straight betting.” You put money down, you play the hand, you double what you bet if you win. When the next hand starts, you bet the same amount of money and keep on playing that way.

It’s a viable blackjack strategy in terms of the math and the way the odds work out. It’s also ridiculously boring and slow. Thankfully, it’s not the only option. Enter progressive betting.

With this approach, the amount you’re wagering in each hand is influenced by the amount you won or lost in the previous hand. There’s a multitude of ways to go about doing that, but I’ll share the strategy that has always worked for me. That doesn’t mean I’ve never lost; it’s just a reflection of how I’ve played the odds most successfully.

With progressive betting, the amount you wager is influenced by your win or loss in the previous hand.

Start with the table minimum bet. Let’s say it’s $5. You bet that. You win. Now you have $10, double your original bet. Let it ride. You win again, bringing your total on the table to $20. At this point, pull back $5 and bet $15. Whether you win or lose that next hand, taking your initial $5 back means you’ve already broken even and are gambling entirely with “won” money.

How you bet from that point on depends on how conservative or aggressive you are as a gambler. If I win that third hand, the $15 bet doubles to $30 and, personally, I take $10 back. So now I’ve got a $20 bet on the table — $5 more than the previous bet — and I’ve added $10 from my winnings to what I have banked.

The goal in blackjack, at least the way I play, is to stay afloat and keep betting conservatively until I go on what’s called a “run,” a consecutive series of winning hands. Once I get past that starting hump of two straight winning hands (i.e. once I’ve paid for my initial bet), I’m not risking anything in each successive hand.

In a more aggressive strategy, you might only take back $5 and bet $25 on the fourth hand. You’re growing your winnings more slowly by leaving more won money out on the table to be gambled. But, as your run continues, you’re also growing that pile much more quickly.

The particulars vary from strategy to strategy. My approach is definitely more conservative, aimed at keeping me in the game longer until I can hopefully go on a run. Like I said, there’s no surefire way to win. That’s just what works for me.

Where video games get it wrong

Red Dead Redemption 2 blackjack

Image: rockstar games

The problem in Red Dead and other games: When you win a hand, those winnings go right into your master cash supply. It emphasizes straight betting because there’s only one number to keep track of: The amount you bet on every hand. If you want to roll with progressive betting, you’ve got to manually set the next hand’s bet each time.

It’s an easy thing to keep track of early in a run, but it becomes increasingly complicated as your string of wins gets longer. There isn’t a thorough accounting on the screen of what you bet and what you won, so it all comes down to following the math in your head.

What’s frustrating is this is such a fixable problem! All video games I’ve encountered deal with blackjack in the same way: Win or lose, your bet resets to the minimum once a hand is over.

Instead, these games should be more reflective of how it would work in a casino. When you win on a $5 bet, the dealer puts another $5 into the space where your bet was placed. It’s then up to you to leave the money there or pull it back as you like.

That’s what video game blackjack ought to do. Leave my money on the table, let me decide how much to bet next based on how much I just won. It would make virtual blackjack a whole lot more interesting and in line with the way things tend to work in a real casino.

Is blackjack just a minor piece of Red Dead Redemption 2, something that no one has to engage with and a bunch of players probably won’t? Sure! But this has been bugging me, a gambler, for a long, long time. And if any game can fix this, it’s Red Dead.

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Real Madrid and Julen Lopetegui Part Ways After 5-1 El Clasico Loss to Barcelona

MADRID, SPAIN - OCTOBER 23:  Real Madrid head coach Julen Lopetegui looks on prior to  the Group G match of the UEFA Champions League between Real Madrid  and Viktoria Plzen at Bernabeu on October 23, 2018 in Madrid, Spain.  (Photo by Etsuo Hara/Getty Images)

Etsuo Hara/Getty Images

Real Madrid confirmed Monday that they have parted ways with manager Julen Lopetegui.

Despite only being confirmed as the successor to Zinedine Zidane in June, the European champions said in a statement on their official website that a change had been made. Santiago Solari was named as Lopetegui’s replacement.

In the statement, Real Madrid said “the board understands that there is a big difference between the quality of Real Madrid’s squad, which has eight players nominated for the next Ballon d’Or, something without precedent in the history of the club, and the results obtained to date,” via Dermot Corrigan of ESPN.

The announcement comes after Sunday’s Clasico showdown with Barcelona at the Camp Nou. Despite Lionel Messi being absent with a broken arm, Barca won 5-1 as Luis Suarez bagged a hat-trick.

The result sees Real remain ninth in La Liga, seven points behind their Catalan rivals and with a goal difference of zero.

Per the Spanish Football Podcast, results earlier in the day had left Los Blancos in an unfamiliarly lowly position going into the game against their bitter rivals:

The Spanish Football Podcast @tsf_podcast

Betis follow up their midweek European exploits with a 2-0 defeat at Getafe, who go above Real Madrid in the table… Madrid will go into #ElClásico in NINTH place!

While this result appeared to be the final straw for key figures at the Santiago Bernabeu, the damage was done long before the contest.

According to Sid Lowe of the Guardian, following the shock loss to Levante at home on October 20, Los Blancos made the decision that there was no way back for Lopetegui, with only the date of his departure to be settled.

In the summer, Lopetegui did enter a difficult position at Madrid. While he took over a team that had won three UEFA Champions League titles in a row, replacing club icon and former manager Zidane was always going to be a big challenge.

Per Dermot Corrigan of ESPN FC, while there was a connection between key players and the Frenchman, there doesn’t appear to be the same link between them and Lopetegui:

Dermot Corrigan @dermotmcorrigan

Marcelo pointing to his badge during celebration, nobody running to bench to celebrate with Lopetegui though, and he seemed to go back to bench and sit down when ball the net.

Additionally, Lopetegui also had to cope with the sale of Cristiano Ronaldo, who transferred to Juventus after nine memorable years in the Spanish capital. He became the club’s all-time record goalscorer and was vital in four successful Champions League terms.

Given his potency in front of goal, he was always going to be tough to replace. However, Madrid only brought in Mariano Diaz in terms of attacking reinforcements, and the goals have dried up as a result.

During Lopetegui’s tenure, the team went through the longest scoreless spell in the history of the iconic club:

B/R Football @brfootball

Real Madrid have now gone 465 minutes without scoring—their longest goal drought in their 116-year history 👀 https://t.co/rgeSobJ2aw

Even so, Madrid do have some fine attacking players, and midfielder Isco said there’s an onus on the players to perform better:

AS English @English_AS

Isco: “If they get rid of Lopetegui, then they need to get rid of us all”.
A show of solidarity for the under fire coach from the Real Madrid star.
Today’s cover of AS.
https://t.co/SlGwXqddxK https://t.co/81XmREszK5

But it’s too late for Lopetegui, and given the way in which he was appointed by Madrid—he took the position during his time as Spain boss, only to be sacked by the national team immediately prior to the 2018 FIFA World Cup—his reputation as a manager has now reached a nadir.

Whoever does come in at the Bernabeu has a big job to turn things around. According to Marca‘s Carlos Carpio, former Los Blancos player and current Real Madrid Castilla coach Santiago Solari is the leading candidate to take over, while names like Antonio Conte and Laurent Blanc are also in the frame.

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Managing Trump’s 2018 ground game to try to save the midterms


Donald Trump

President Donald Trump personally views his rallies as determinative, and he is bullish about Republicans’ Senate chances. | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

White House

Undergirding Trump’s rally schedule is insight from political director Bill Stepien, who evaluates the latest campaign data each morning on more than 70 races.

President Donald Trump set off early alarms when he signaled an interest in Kelli Ward, a right-wing candidate in Arizona’s competitive Republican primary for a U.S. Senate seat.

But after reviewing the polls and conferring with political advisers and Senate officials, who warned him that Ward was likely to lose, Trump decided to subordinate his gut instinct for the bold stroke and ultimately stayed neutral in the race.

Story Continued Below

So when Ward lost to her establishment GOP rival, Martha McSally, it was easier for Trump to back the Arizona congresswoman, despite her past criticism of him. Now, with a McSally win seen as crucial to preserving the GOP’s Senate majority, national Republicans are thankful they don’t have a family feud on their hands in the state.

It was one of several cases in which Bill Stepien, the White House’s political director, was able to help guide the president — with polling numbers and a deep knowledge of national campaigns — in ways that don’t always match Trump’s shoot-from-the hip style.

In interviews with nearly two dozen White House officials, presidential advisers and Republican operatives working on the midterms, Stepien’s political office is credited with doing the early spadework to put their famously impulsive boss in the best position to help Republicans.

The partnership between Stepien and Trump marks a kind of crash course for the president, who as a New York real estate mogul had little experience with congressional campaign politics before he launched his 2016 campaign for president. Aides say Trump, recognizing that the trajectory of his presidency is at stake, has been willing to listen, absorbing poll data and forgiving past grudges as he works to limit Democratic midterm gains.

Each morning, Stepien sifts through more than 70 races, analyzing the latest polling and intelligence gathered through conversations on the ground and in Washington, and moving the contests up and down, backward and forward, left and right. Depending on the day, Stepien’s team sees a narrow path to keeping the House, according to senior officials and advisers familiar with election planning. But a recent internal memo from Stepien also tempered expectations, conceding that such a prospect is “challenging,” and other White House officials are now saying publicly that retirements are making it tough to retain House control.

Regardless of the outcome, much of the attention on Nov. 7 will turn to Stepien, who works behind the scenes. Besides Trump himself, the political director is poised to get notable credit if Republicans have a better-than-expected showing, but he is also on the hook if the GOP takes a drubbing. In midterm elections, the president’s party has lost, on average, 25 House seats since 1946. And the polling in 2018 indicates that the GOP may lose that many seats — and its House majority with it.

Stepien, 40, clean-cut and a veteran of former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s campaigns, has been a close adviser to Trump since the 2016 campaign on everything from endorsements and messaging to his travel schedule. In recent months, he teamed with the 2020 reelection campaign and GOP committees to create a game plan to raise tens of millions of dollars and dispatch Trump to more campaign trail stops than his two immediate predecessors.

“While other parts of the White House were in disarray, the president’s political shop was prepared to utilize his time and the bully pulpit to motivate voters and sell a positive legislative agenda,” said Bryan Lanza, a spokesman for Trump’s 2016 campaign.

If Republicans lose badly, though, much of the second-guessing will circle back to Stepien’s team. Other political figures working with the president are viewed as having more protections: Trump recently asked Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel to serve a second term, and Trump relies heavily on 2020 campaign manager Brad Parscale’s data operation.

“These guys are sitting there. The whole world is watching them. There are so many critics,” said Matt Schlapp, George W. Bush’s political director in 2004. “And everything is on the line.”

Stepien’s job is not to manage campaigns, but to advise Trump about the political landscape so he can advance his policies and agenda.

This summer, his office worked with other Trump advisers to arrange the president’s flurry of rallies and fundraisers ahead of the midterms. Stepien, often in early-morning phone calls, provided the president with the pros and cons and the numbers behind a candidate or race. In August, aides presented Trump with their plan for his final two-plus months of rallies and fundraisers before the midterms. The president told them it wouldn’t be enough — and to add more stops. His final blitz reflects that.

“He’s the boss. He makes the final decision,” Stepien said in an interview. “But when he often asks for input, I weigh in and make a recommendation. And I could only do so because we’ve spent the time kicking the tires.”

Stepien’s team last week dropped Trump into Montana, Arizona and Nevada to take advantage of early voting — each of the states has at least two-thirds of their votes cast before Election Day. Florida, where Trump will be next week, is another major early-voting state.

Trump personally views his rallies as determinative, and he is bullish about Republicans’ Senate chances, particularly in Montana, North Dakota and Indiana — all states where he has held rallies in recent months.

The political shop also dispatched Trump to Delaware County, Ohio, in August to campaign for Republican Troy Balderson, then a state senator, in the special House election against Democrat Danny O’Connor. Balderson ultimately squeaked out a narrow win, which Republicans credited in part to Trump’s appearance.

But Trump’s presence can be tricky for Republicans running in districts where the president isn’t popular. And since district-by-district public polling is often unavailable and/or suspect, much of the onus is on Stepien to read the tea leaves. For instance, the president recently went to Kentucky to support Rep. Andy Barr’s reelection bid, a decision that not every Republican thought would help Barr.

“If Barr winds up winning by a point or two, which I think is possible, it would be hard not to look at the president’s rally in Richmond, Ky., and say, ‘It didn’t help,’” said Scott Jennings, who worked in Bush’s political shop during the 2006 cycle.

Trump has also shown a willingness to back candidates who had previously criticized him or broken with his agenda, in part because his political advisers have helped convince the president of the importance of doing so.

Trump threw himself into Nevada with Republican Sen. Dean Heller, a candidate who was critical of the president early on. Trump urged Republican Danny Tarkanian to drop his bid against Heller and instead run for the House — a move that set the tone for the president’s hatchet-burying approach to the midterms.

In a New York primary, Trump backed incumbent Republican Rep. Dan Donovan over former Rep. Michael Grimm, despite the fact that Donovan had voted against Trump’s signature tax bill and that Grimm was using much of his comeback run to argue that his opponent was insufficiently loyal to Trump. Donovan ultimately came from behind in the polls and won.

But Trump stayed out of other primaries, such as in Arizona. Trump’s public flirtation with Ward in August 2017 came before Sen. Jeff Flake announced he wasn’t seeking reelection. By withholding his endorsement, Trump avoided siding with weaker general-election candidates Ward or former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, but also steered clear of alienating their conservative supporters.

Unsurprisingly, though, Trump sometimes does his own thing.

After Republicans urged him to stay out of the Minnesota House race against incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, given Peterson’s work across the aisle, Trump weighed in for underdog Republican Dave Hughes. The surprise tweet sparked a wave of “WTFs” from the political shop. Trump also was not expected to back GOP megadonor Foster Friess in the Wyoming governor’s race, but did so on the recommendation of his son Don Jr.

But most of the time, the president, his party and Stepien’s office have been on the same page — particularly in the Senate.

In Mississippi’s nonpartisan Senate primary, Trump backed Cindy Hyde-Smith — a Democrat until 2010 and the preferred GOP establishment candidate — over Chris McDaniel, the hard-line conservative. The endorsement came after Hyde-Smith’s campaign met a series of benchmarks related to fundraising and polling. McDaniel lashed out at the president and accused him of being beholden to the party establishment.

“He is his [own] adviser,” a Republican close to Trump said. “But the infrastructure and architecture [inside the White House,] he’s using well.”

Stepien and the president have a bond rooted in the rambunctious 2016 campaign.

When the president regales crowds in private fundraisers with tales of his upset 2016 victory, he still credits Stepien as the lone staffer who said he could win when the early returns trickled in and the GOP candidate was behind in key states. Trump of late has been asking him to give the audiences of donors a state of play on the midterms.

After shocking the world with his victory, Trump has become by nature a political optimist. But few around the president felt he was being served well politically by senior White House advisers in his first year. Power struggles over even minute matters normally handled by the political office were common.

Stepien, despite his title, was largely relegated to a background role, overshadowed by chief of staff Reince Priebus, the former RNC chairman, and chief strategist Steve Bannon.

The knock on Stepien was that he didn’t have Trump’s ear, despite being brought on to the president’s campaign in August 2016 by his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, after Christie broke with Stepien over his alleged knowledge of the Bridgegate plot, in which key traffic lanes were closed down as political retribution (Stepien denies any knowledge of the scheme). He impressed Bannon, and Kushner pushed to land Stepien the White House job.

But in that first year, party leaders and politicians often dealt with higher-level aides, or Trump directly. And fair or not, Trump confidants started questioning Stepien’s operation. Criticisms intensified after the party’s failed effort to repeal Obamacare.

The disastrous handling of the Alabama Senate race didn’t help, either, even though the some in the White House and other outside advisers had warned Trump to stay neutral in the GOP primary between the establishment choice, then-Sen. Luther Strange, and conservative firebrand Roy Moore. When Moore won the primary, they recommended that Trump not embrace a man accused of sexual misconduct, but the president did so anyway, and was embarrassed by the loss.

Late last year, Republicans around Trump began sounding the alarm that they weren’t prepared for the upcoming election. Corey Lewandowski, Trump’s former campaign manager, wanted the president on the road more stumping at rallies as the titular head of the party. The president reshuffled his staff and tapped Johnny DeStefano, who initially ran the office of presidential personnel, to help Stepien run the political office.

Observers said DeStefano and Stepien complement each other. Stepien has a background in polling, data and grassroots organizing, while DeStefano has a broad portfolio and network, having come out of the upper ranks of Capitol Hill staffers. John Kelly, who by then had replaced Priebus as chief, made sure Stepien was on Trump’s calendar every week. To prepare for the midterms, which have historically been brutal for a president’s party, Trump retreated with leaders to Camp David to get in sync.

With a new internal process in place, the political shop got to work on the elections with the expectation its efforts would be put to greater use.

“There’s not a single person on the political side the president trusts more than Bill,” one senior White House official said. “It was just getting Bill in the position to add as much value as he is capable of adding.”

Stepien’s office interviewed and surveyed hundreds of GOP candidates and compiled files on their voting records and statements, including their public remarks about Trump, who invited a crush of condemnation after the release of the “Access Hollywood” tape on which he bragged about groping women. The files became invaluable when Trump started shaping primaries with endorsements. And Stepien has been getting a lot more face time with the boss while traveling with him to events.

“Bill Stepien is a very good political director,” Lewandowski said. “It’s going to be much easier to Monday morning quarterback this day after the election.”

Such goodwill has been possible because Trump’s endorsements have largely worked out thus far — and because the team is mostly on the same page regarding Trump’s hard-line political messaging.

But the first signs of finger-pointing are rising in Trump’s orbit. Some confidants scrutinized decisions to send Trump to areas where Republicans won’t appear with the president on the stump. They also questioned Trump’s stops in Texas and Mississippi — both seen as likely GOP wins in Senate races — so close to the midterms. Trump advisers defended the Mississippi stop as helping push Hyde-Smith over the 50 percent threshold she needs to avoid a late November runoff.

For Stepien, it all comes down to the final numbers.

As one Trump adviser put it, “The difference between 25 seats and 50 seats is very likely the difference of who stays in the building.”

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Apple Watch’s ECG feature release will reportedly be limited to U.S.

The Apple Watch Series 4 comes with the ability to take an Electrocardiogram (ECG).
The Apple Watch Series 4 comes with the ability to take an Electrocardiogram (ECG).

Image: dustin drankoski/mashable

2017%2f09%2f19%2ffa%2frakheadshot.f59fbBy Rachel Kraus

Apple prompted many oohs and ahhs when it unveiled its electrocardiogram (ECG) feature for Apple Watch Series 4 in September. At the time, the impressive technical feat was bolstered by the FDA approval Apple had received for this new health feature.

But Apple fans outside of the U.S. may have to wait a bit longer for the ECG feature, which hasn’t rolled out yet. And when it does, 9to5Mac reports that availability will reportedly be limited to the U.S., based on code spotted in iOS.

SEE ALSO: Apple Watch Series 4 review: Sidekick no more

The limitation makes sense: an ECG is a medical feature, and therefore would need approval from any particular country’s health body. It appears this isn’t a case of “Ask for forgiveness, not permission.”

But 9to5Mac says the limitation is governed by software, not hardware. No matter where you are, the Apple Watch Series 4 will come with the sensors that enable the ECG. 

What’s more, if you’re outside of the U.S., there should theoretically be an easy way to get access to the ECG. All you have to do is go to your Apple Watch’s Settings and change your region to the U.S.A. However, that will also probably mess with the date, time, and weather alerts as well. But if you’re abroad with your new Watch and just need a quick heart reading, you may be able to deliver your own, uh, bypass.

Of course, none of this is to say how accurate or effective the ECG feature is. We’ll only be able to gauge that when it’s available, and so far Apple hasn’t given a date.

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